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AFL ROUND SEVENTEEN
Date Match Venue AEST
Fri Jul 25 Hawthorn vs Geelong MCG 19.40
Sat Jul 26 Essendon vs Collingwood MCG 14.10
Sat Jul 26 West Coast vs St. Kilda Subiaco 16.10
Sat Jul 26 Richmond vs Brisbane Telstra Dome 19.10
Sat Jul 26 Sydney vs. Adelaide SCG 19.10
Sun Jul 27 Port Adelaide vs Fremantle AAMI Stadium 13.10
Sun Jul 27 Melbourne vs Kangaroos MCG 14.10
Sun Jul 27 Bulldogs vs Carlton Telstra Dome 16.40
 
Thursday 17th July

The battle with punters was a real roller coaster ride last weekend, but thanks to a couple of results late in the round, we managed to come out on top.

There has been a lot of talk about 'tanking', with the Eagles the primary target, but punters dismissed that and charged into the West Coast in the last game of the round. It was a costly manoeuvre as the Eagles were thrashed by over 12 goals by Richmond, after trailing at the end of the first quarter. Lasseters gave 2.05 for the Eagles earlier in the week (prior to Matthew Richardson pulling out), but on Sunday they were backed from 1.85 into 1.75. On that performance, it may be a while before we see that sort of move for the Eagles, and they now find themselves as 2.00 favourites to win the wooden spoon.

A couple of the outsiders for the round attracted good support, especially at the handicap start. Adelaide had one bet of $18,000 placed on them with 15 points-start against Collingwood, and they were travelling along nicely until suffering injuries to Porplyzia and Burton. The Crows only scored three goals after half time, and the loss of Burton has seen their flag odds blow out to 61.00. There was also plenty of money to say that the Swans could beat Hawthorn, and also stay within 14 points, but they also fell well short. Three separate $10,000 bets were placed on the Swans with 15, 14 and 13 points-start. Looking at the draw, while the Swans look certain to make the finals, it does seem likely that they may finish in the bottom part of the eight, so we have chased their price out to 17.00.

Geelong are another side to suffer injuries, and we will find out how good they are this week. The Cats host the Bulldogs at Skilled Stadium on Saturday, and this is one game that the Cats could lose. We have posted them at 1.56 in early markets, but there has been limited action, with only one bet ($2200) exceeding three figures. The Bulldogs were a bit ordinary against Melbourne last week, but they would have had their eyes on this upcoming match for weeks. A win at Geelong would be a good thing from a psychological point of view leading into the finals.

Richmond defeated Essendon by over six goals back in May, and while the Tigers have improved since then, so have the Bombers. Richmond are returning from that big win over the Eagles, and while we are normally happy to risk sides after an interstate trip, Richmond have a good recent record of three wins in every four games after travelling. When betting opened on Monday, the Tigers were 1.85, but a series of bets (including one of $3500) has seen that price move into 1.78. More
 
ROUND SEVENTEEN

$20,000 @ $1.83 ON RICHMOND V BRISBANE
$12,000 @ $2.52 ON GEE/STK/SYD/KANG MULTI
$11,000 @ $1.90 ON FREMANTLE +15.5 V PORT ADELAIDE
$10,000 @ $2.75 ON FREMANTLE V PORT ADELAIDE
$10,000 @ $1.33 ON GEELONG V HAWTHORN
$7,000 @ $1.38 ON GEELONG V HAWTHORN
$5,000 @ $1.90 ON FREMANTLE +15.5 V PORT ADELAIDE
$5,000 @ $1.82 ON FREMANTLE +15.5 V PORT ADELAIDE
$5,000 @ $1.28 ON COLLINGWOOD V ESSENDON

$10,000 @ $3.57 ON GEELONG/MELB AFL/NRL PREM DBLE

ROUND SIXTEEN

$15,000 @ $1.82 ON PORT ADELAIDE +6.5 V ADELAIDE
$10,000 @ $1.38 ON HAWTHORN V ST KILDA
$10,000 @ $3.38 ON WESTERN BULLDOGS/HAWTHORN MULTI
$5,000 @ $1.90 ON KANGAROOS +15.5 V COLLINGWOOD
$5,000 @ $1.52 ON GEELONG V WESTERN BULLDOGS
$5,000 @ $1.93 ON GEELONG -13.5 V WESTERN BULLDOGS
$10,000 @ $1.25 ON ESSENDON TO MISS TOP 8

ROUND FIFTEEN

$10,000 @ $1.10 ON WESTERN BULLDOGS V MELBOURNE

ROUND FOURTEEN

$11,000 @ $1.90 ON ADELAIDE +26.5 V GEELONG
$6,750 @ $1.85 ON ADELAIDE +26.5 V GEELONG
$6,000 @ $4.50 ON ADELAIDE UNDER 39.5 V GEELONG
$5,500 @ $1.90 ON ADELAIDE +26.5 V GEELONG
$4,400 @ $5.00 ON ADELAIDE V GEELONG
$4,000 @ $1.90 ON ADELAIDE +26.5 V GEELONG

$15,000 @ $2.25 ON ST KILDA V KANGAROOS
$15,000 @ $1.85 ON HAWTHORN -43.5 V WEST COAST
$15,000 @ $1.14 ON WESTERN BULLDOGS V PORT ADELAIDE
$15,000 @ $1.90 ON RICHMOND V CARLTON
$10,000 @ $1.90 ON RICHMOND V CARLTON
$10,000 @ $1.80 ON RICHMOND V CARLTON
$10,000 @ $1.90 ON ST KILDA +11.5 V KANGAROOS
$10,000 @ $1.90 ON ST KILDA +11.5 V KANGAROOS
$10,000 @ $1.90 ON ST KILDA +11.5 V KANGAROOS
$10,000 @ $1.85 ON ST KILDA +11.5 V KANGAROOS
$10,000 @ $1.90 PORT ADELAIDE +33.5 V WESTERN BULLDOGS
$10,000 @ $1.82 ON BRISBANE -25.5 V MELBOURNE
$10,000 @ $1.82 ON BRISBANE -25.5 V MELBOURNE
$9,000 @ $1.60 ON KANGAROOS V ST KILDA
$8,800 @ $2.24 ON RICHMOND -6.5/BRISBANE MULTI
$6,600 @ $1.65 ON KANGAROOS V ST KILDA
$5,000 @ $1.75 ON ST KILDA +11.5 V KANGAROOS

SEASON 2008

$5,000 @ $2.25 ON KANGAROOS TO MAKE FINAL 8
$5,000 @ $1.75 ON GARY ABLETT TO WIN BROWNLOW MEDAL
$5,000 @ $8.00 ON SYDNEY TO WIN FLAG
$10,000 @ $10 SYDNEY/GEELONG (to win $90,000)
$7,000 @ $15 on SYDNEY/HAWTHORN (to win $90,000)
$6,000 @ $31 on SYDNEY/COLLINGWOOD (to win $180,000)
$4,000 @ $37 on SYDNEY/WESTERN BULLDOGS (to win $144,000)
$2,000 @ $201 ON CARLTON TO WIN WOODEN SPOON
$5,000 @ $1.50 ON COLLINGWOOD TO MAKE FINAL 8
$3,000 @ $51 ON RICHMOND TO WIN WOODEN SPOON
$2,000 @ $21 ON COLLINGWOOD TO WIN FLAG
$6,000 @ $1.50 ON MELBOURNE TO WIN WOODEN SPOON
$20,000 @ $4.50 ON CARLTON TO WIN WOODEN SPOON
$3,000 @ $21 ON WESTERN BULLDOGS TO WIN FLAG
$1,000 @ $21 ON WESTERN BULLDOGS TO WIN FLAG
$5,000 @ $1.85 ON GEELONG TO BE TOP VIC TEAM R1-22
$137,500 @ $1.22 ON HAWTHORN TO MAKE FINAL 8
$2,000 @ $26 ON BRISBANE TO WIN FLAG
$700 @ $51 ON KANGAROOS TO WIN FLAG
$10,000 @ $1.30 ON ST KILDA TO MAKE FINAL 8
$2,000 @ $18 ON SYDNEY TO WIN FLAG
$4,000 @ $12 ON HAWTHORN TO WIN 2008 FLAG
$1,500 @ $3.65 ON GEELONG TO WIN 2008 FLAG
$500 @ $11 ON COLLINGWOOD TO 2008 FLAG
 

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MARKET WATCH
.
2008 US OPEN TENNIS
Roger Federer YES 2.40
Roger Federer NO 1.63
Rafael Nadal YES 3.34
Rafael Nadal NO 1.36
N Djokovic YES 5.16
N Djokovic NO 1.19

MARKET: PINNACLE SPORTS
.
FUTURES

 


AFL

 

TO MAKE TOP EIGHT
AFTER ROUND 15

Brisbane 1.31

St Kilda 1.40

Adelaide 1.50

Kangaroos 2.45

Richmond 3.30

Carlton 5.25
Essendon 6.00

(At Pinnacle)

 

TO MAKE GRAND FINAL
AFTER ROUND 15

Geelong 1.40
Hawthorn 2.50
Western Bulldogs 2.50
Collingwood 3.50
Sydney 7.00
St Kilda 12.00
Brisbane 16.00
Adelaide 26.00
Kangaroos 34.00
Carlton 41.00
Essendon 41.00
Richmond 41.00
(At Sportsbet)

 


FUTURES


BEIJING
2008

 

MEN 100M FREE GOLD

Bernard (France) 2.25
Sullivan (Australia) 2.35
Lezak (USA) 7.00
Weber-Gale (USA) 11.00
Magnini (Italy) 13.00

(At Sportsbet)
 

MEN 100M SPRINT GOLD
Bolt (Jamaica) 2.25
Tyson Gay (USA) 2.75
Powell (Jamaica) 4.80
Atkins (Bahamas) 15.00
Walter Dix (USA) 34.00
(At Sportsbet)

 
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QUICK QUOTES
 
PREMIER LEAGUE 09
Man Utd 2.25
Chelsea 2.88
Arsenal 6.00
Liverpool 8.00
Tottenham 67.00
(At Paddy Power)
.
US OPEN 2008
Roger Federer 2.20
Rafael Nadal 3.50
Novak Djokovic 3.50
Andy Murray 17.00
Andy Roddick 26.00
(At Victor Chandler)

 
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