SPORTSBETTING
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|
INTRODUCTION |
Sportsbetting can be a fun way to turn a sporting event into exciting evening in
front of the TV or even at the game. It's one of the few forms of gambling
that may actually be enjoyable. (if you win that is!)
The
actual meaning of a wager says it all - "the betting or staking of something of value, with consciousness of
risk and hope of gain, on the outcome of a game, a contest, or an
uncertain event whose result may be determined by chance or accident or
have an unexpected result by reason of the bettors miscalculation".
If you are new to sportsbetting, we hope our simple guide will help you
get on the right track to start backing winners. If you're old hand at the
game, we're sure you'll find something interesting in the guide as well.
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|
THE BET
& THE BOOKIE |
The most common form of bet concerns the outcome of a single game or
contest. Put simply, you guess the result and find another person who is
taking the opposite view.
Instead of finding an individual to oppose, the easiest way is to use a
bookmaker. The bookmaker (also known as a bookie) is an individual or
organisation that makes a business from taking bets. Whatever sporting
event you are interested in, from the British Open Golf to Men's 100 metre
sprint, there will usually be one or more bookmakers taking bets on it.
In betting with a bookmaker you are said to place a bet and the
bookmaker is said to take a bet - but in essence it's exactly the same as
betting with a friend. You put down your stake and if you lose, they keep
it. If you win however, you get your stake back plus your winnings. A
person who places a bet with a bookmaker is often referred to as a punter.
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|
THE
ODDS |
When you bet with a
friend, you both usually put down the same amount of money. With a
bookmaker you don't always bet with equal stakes. For each possible
outcome of an event, a bookmaker will offer a ratio of his stake to yours.
These are known as the odds. The odds are set at the time you place your
bet, also known as 'fixed odds' betting. There are a few exceptions - ie.
if you are betting at the starting price (SP), on the tote (TAB) or spread
betting.
For example, if you
back Tiger Woods at 3/1 and you give the bookmaker one unit - say, a
dollar - and if (or should I say when!) Tiger Woods wins, you will get
your one dollar back and the three dollars winnings. In Australia and
Europe, the odds of 3/1 are usually represented as a decimal (4.00) or
dollar value ($4), while in the USA, the odds of 3/1 would be represented
as 300 (more later).
Terminology -
When the amount of money you can win (in my example, three dollars) is
greater than the amount you stake (your original dollar), this is known as
odds against. When the amount of money you can win is less than
your stake it is known as odds on. Of course you still win since
you get back your stake. An example might be if you back Australia at 3/1
on (1/3 or $1.33 or -305), you will get your stake back plus 33 cents.
In theory, the odds
represent the probability of an outcome, ie. how often it would occur if
the event were repeated again and again. For example, if you toss a coin
thousands of times, you would expect half to come up heads and the other
half tails. Odds based on the statistical probability are known as the
true odds. In this case, the true odds are 1/2 - you have a 50 per cent
chance of winning. Because sporting events are never conducted under the
same conditions, the true odds are always a matter of opinion.
When you bet with a
bookmaker, the odds not only need to represent the likelihood of a result,
but also the bookmakers need to make a profit or edge. Of course, the
amounts of money taken on each outcome also affect the odds.
The idea is to find
the odds that are out of line with the true probability, even after taking
into account the bookmakers slice. Of course, unless the odds are way off
the mark, this is always up to opinion!
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| ODDS
QUALITY |
In the long term, it's
important to find the best odds each time you bet. The best way to go is
to open up an online account with a number of bookmakers, say a few each
of TAB's, Australian and offshore bookmakers. Then you will able compare
the markets and get the best value on offer. OnThePunt.com.au makes this
easy for you by regularly providing updated online odds comparisons.
Another way to gauge whether you are getting value for your bet is to
calculate the bookmakers over-round.
Example: The
following table represents a market for the Hopman Cup Tennis tournament.
The odds are converted into a probability and then percentage. After
adding all the percentages together we get what is known as an over-round.
Remembering that mathematically, the total probabilities of all
participants in an event must add up to 100%, the bookmakers over-round
(126% in this example) will add up to over 100% because it incorporates
the bookmakers profit.
| Hopman
Cup |
Odds |
Probability |
Percentage |
| Switzerland |
$2.5
(6/4) |
1/2.5 |
40% |
| Russia |
$4
(3/1) |
1/4 |
25% |
| South
Africa |
$5
(4/1) |
1/5 |
20% |
| USA |
$5.5
(9/2) |
1/5.5 |
18% |
| Slovak
Republic |
$9
(8/1) |
1/9 |
11% |
| Australia |
$15
(14/1) |
1/15 |
7% |
| Thailand |
$41
(40/1) |
1/41 |
2.4% |
| Belgium |
$67
(66/1) |
1/67 |
1.5% |
| Japan |
$101
(100/1) |
1/101 |
1% |
| |
|
|
126% |
Of course, the
higher the over-round and profit, the less overall value the bookmaker is
offering. But remember, just because the total market may appear poor,
there still may be value among a particular option in the market - eg. USA
might be a point over the best odds offered elsewhere even though the
other bookmakers have a lower over-round.
TAB's will usually
have a higher over-round as most are publicly listed companies and are therefore
have to met certain profit figures and are usually willing to take less
risk in forming their market. Although many bookmakers in Australia are
also publicly listed, they can sometimes afford to incorporate a lower
over-round. This is done sometimes in anticipation of regular money coming
for a team making them 'easy to lay' or the bookmaker may be hedging with
other betting agencies. An example of this might be when an Australian
bookmaker has an Australian based team or individual in their market, they
can afford to offer much better odds as they will more than not find more favorable
odds offshore to cover their book. Of course the internet has made it
easier for the regular punter to place a bet offshore an get the best odds
in these instances. (Eg. William
Hill)
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| TYPES
OF BET |
Single or Win
Only one outcome is being considered and this outcome has only two possibilities
- win or lose. Your selection must be successful to get a return.
A single or win bet is the most common
type of bet and can
take may forms. A simple win bet is when you bet on a team to beat another
team, for example, you might bet that Sydney will beat Melbourne. In order
to get a better price you might bet on Sydney 'at the line' or 'at the
start'. These are forms of handicap betting, ie. you bet that Sydney will
cover the -10.5 point line - that is that Sydney must win by more than 11
points for your bet to be successful.
Each-Way
An each-way bet is effectively two bets in which equal stakes are laid on
- 1. the selection coming first and 2. the selection running a place (eg.
can be 1st or 2nd; 1st, 2nd, or 3rd; 1st, 2nd, 3rd, or 4th).
Accumulators or
All-up's
Double - 1 bet involving 2 selections in different events. Both must be
successful to get a return
Treble - 1 bet involving 3 selections in different events. All must be
successful to get a return
Four-Fold Accumulator - 1 bet involving 4 selections in different events.
All must be successful to get a return
Five-Fold Accumulator - 1 bet involving 5 selections in different events.
All must be successful to get a return
Six-Fold Accumulator - 1 bet involving 6 selections in different events.
All must be successful to get a return
Seven-Fold Accumulator - 1 bet involving 7 selections in different events.
All must be successful to get a return
Trixie - 4 bets involving 3 selections in different events, i.e. 3 doubles
plus 1 treble. A minimum of 2 of your selections must be successful to get
a return
Patent - 7 bets
involving 3 selections in different events, i.e. a single on each
selection, plus 3 doubles and 1 treble. Just one successful selection
guarantees a return
Yankee - 11 bets
involving 4 selections in different events, i.e. 6 doubles, 4 trebles, and
1 fourfold. A minimum of 2 of your selections must be successful to get a
return
Canadian - 26 bets
involving 5 selections in different events, i.e. 10 doubles, 10 trebles, 5
four-folds plus 1 five-fold. A minimum of 2 of your selections must be
successful to get a return
Heinz - 57 bets
involving 6 selections in different events, i.e. 15 doubles, 20 trebles,
15 four-folds, 6 five-folds and 1 six-fold. A minimum of 2 of your
selections must be successful to get a return
|
| FORMS
OF BETTING |
Along with the Bookmaker or Betting
Shop (what we have been discussing) there are few other forms of
betting which are available for sportsbetting.
Totalisator or TAB
Most common for race
betting, but some TAB's do offer sportsbetting options. The totalisator or
'tote' offers a similar set of options to the bookmaker but uses a pool
system. This means that all bets are pooled and following the event, the
pool is shared out among those who won - less deductions and the tote's
profit. This means that your bet is not made at fixed odds as the amount
you stand to win is affected by those who bet after you. The tote's
deduction is usually significantly higher than the bookmakers, making it
an unattractive option for sportsbetting.
Spread or Index
A high risk form of
betting derived from financial markets where you bet on a 'spread' of
numbers relating to a particular event - for example, runs scored in
cricket or points in Rugby League. The bookmaker will quote the spread -
what he believes to be the likely outcome. i.e. if the spread for
Australia in a One-Day game is 240-250, and you think Australia will score
more than 250, you 'buy' at 250 and stipulate your stake per run. So if
Australia score 300 runs in their innings and your stake was $10 you will
win 50 x $10 = $500. However, if Australia only score 200 runs you will
lose 50 x $10 = $500. Loss/Win limits are usually agreed to before opening
up an account. The idea with spread or index betting is that the more
right you are the more you win, but of course the more wrong you are you
more you will also lose.
One-to-One
This essentially
refers to betting without a bookmaker, as you would with a friend for
example. There are now a number of one-to-one betting sites on the
internet that enable strangers to bet against each other. One such site is
called
Betfair .
Here you can lay a bet, yourself offering the odds and stake, and wait to
see whether another user will take you up on it. Of course if you're bet
is successful, you will have a commission taken off the winnings.
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