2 September 2010

Canberra v Brisbane

The customer who had $100,000 at $1.80 on Brisbane to miss the Top 8 should buy a lotto ticket.

The Broncos were $1.10 to make the Top 8 before they lost to Parramatta in Round 23.

Some punters who took the $1.10 will be wondering how it all went wrong.

Brisbane can still make the 8 but need to beat Canberra by 15 or more points and hope Saints can beat Souths.

It looks an unlikely scenario with Brisbane $5.75 to win 13+.

The Green Machine

The Raiders have been the only team well backed in the last round of the regular season.

$20,000 Canberra @ $1.57 to beat Brisbane

$15,000 Canberra -3.5 @ $1.85

$10,000 Canberra -3.5 @ $1.80

$5,000 Canberra -3.5 @ $1.80

A win will ensure they finish in the Top 8 a prospect that looked unlikely before Round 22.

They kept their season alive with a strong 2^nd half effort to beat Penrith that week in Monday Night Football.

Canberra were on 20 points before that game and $101 to win the Premiership and $13 to make the Top 8.

One customer placed $15,000 on Canberra to make the Top 8 at $4 back in April.

More recently they have had plenty of interest to win the competition.

$2,000 @ $26 before they flogged the Cowboys.

$1,000 @ $34.

We have also taken plenty of smaller bets in the last few days at $15.

Each year a team promises the fairytale and it is looking like Canberra.

They have a great mix of size, speed and skill.

Syd Roosters are expected to win well with $10,000 13+ at $2.10 v Nth Qld placed today.

$15,000 Wests Tigers +4.5 @ $1.90 v Gold Coast.

Brownlow Medal

Dane Swan is $2.50 favourite but he has been backed at big odds to be leading after Round 11.

$1,500 Dane Swan @ $21

$500 Dane Swan @ $15. Still $15

Chris Judd also has been backed with $2,000 @ $15. He is now $11.

Gary Ablett is expected to be leading after Round 11 and is $2.25.

Betting has been strong on who will poll the most votes for Melbourne.

Punters are happy to risk favourite James Frawley.

Brad Green - $5.50 to $3.00

$1,500 @ $5.50

$1,500 @ $5.00

$1,000 @ $5.50

$750 @ $5.00 (x4)

$500 @ $5.50

$500 @ $5.00

Colin Sylvia - $4 no change

$2,500 @ $4

$1,300 @ $4

$1,000 @ $4 (x2)

$750 @ $4

$600 @ $4

Any Other Player – $11 no change

$500 @ $11

$350 @ $11

$250 @ $11

Melb Most Votes

Frawley $2.00

Green $3

Sylvia $4

Moloney $8

Other 411

Scully $21

Deutsche Bank

Round 1 doesn’t start until Friday in Boston for the 2^nd week of the Playoffs giving punters an extra day to bet.

Tiger Woods is again favourite this week at $8 and will need a Top 50 finish to play the following week in the BMW Championship.

Woods won this event back in 2006 and has finished runner-up twice. Big hitters will be suited on this course.

Jim Furyk may want to set two alarm clocks this week after missing his pro-am tee off time and being disqualified from playing in the Barclays.

He has finished top 10 here the last 2 years. If he doesn’t sleep in this week he is a decent bet at $3.20 for Top 10.

$500 Adam Scott at $26 and $500 Jason Day at $41.

Aussies

Australia has a strong representation this week at the Deutsche Bank and some very good chances.

Jason Day is having his best year finishing 5^th last week and Top 10 at the PGA Championship. He has been supported at $41 and is $5 to finish Top Aussie.

Adam Scott is a past winner of this event back in 2003 and only finished 4 shots off the pace last week.

John Senden was in contention last week and finished 15^th last week and was 11^th last year in this event.

SAINTS TO SINNERS

TAB Sportsbet Special: If St Kilda lead at half time in Fridays clash against Geelong, but end up losing the game, TAB Sportsbet will refund losing bets on the St Kilda / St Kilda combination in the Half/Full Double market!  This is now available in the Half/Full Double market. TAB Sportsbet No. 1539 - St Kilda/St Kilda $4.50.

BENJI AND THE PRINCE – TITANS V TIGERS

TAB Sportsbet Special: TAB Sportsbet is offering $5 on old team mates Benji Marshall and Scott Prince to notch up a combined total of 20 points or more!

When they played on the same team they were an unstoppable combination who led their side to a memorable premiership in 2005. On Friday night, they meet as foes, but we’ve teamed them back up for our TAB Sportsbet Special.

·          TAB Sportsbet No. 86011

·          Available from 4pm on Friday 3^rd September for a limited time only

·          Available to retail and account customers

·          Maximum bet is $50

·          Single bets only

SMELLS LIKE BART’S 13^TH?

TAB Sportsbet Special: TAB Sportsbet will offer approximately double the price about Faint Perfume to win the 2010 Melbourne Cup!

·          Available to retail and account customers

·          Only bets placed in the ‘Melbourne Cup Special’ market are open to the offer (Sportsbet Number: 80010)

·          Available from 6:00pm until 9:00pm Friday September 3^rd or until the liability reaches $1,000,000

·          Limit of one bet per customer

·          TAB Fixed Odds Win Only

·          Minimum bet is $10

·          Maximum bet is $50

19 August 2010

Friday Try Day

$11 – Uate, Folau, Jennings and Merritt to score a try.

The top try scorers of 2010 turn out on Friday Night Football this week.

In a special market customers can have $11 about the four big names scoring at least one try each.

Newcastle v Brisbane

With Brisbane sitting 8^th on the ladder one customer will be cheering the Knights this week.

$100,000 at $1.80 on the Broncos to miss the top 8 was placed after Round 1.

The Broncos are $1.25 to finish in the Top 8 but another loss this week could see them miss the finals.

Most Tries – Round 24

Uate $3.00

Tie $2.50

Folau $2.75

Uate has scored three hat-tricks this year while Izzy has failed to score a hat-trick.

Money suggests the Knights will be in for a big game and so could Uate.

$7,500 @ $2.00 Newcastle to beat Brisbane.

Newcastle upset the Broncos earlier in the year at Suncorp.  

NRL Top Try scorer (Round 1-26)

* Opening Prices in blue.

Lote Tuqiri and Josh Morris were both in the market when betting first opened.

There has been no real surprises this year with many of the favoured hopes in contention.

Akuila Uate $2.25 (20 tries) $13.00

Israel Folau $2.75 (19 tries) $11.00

Brett Morris $6.00 (17 tries) $7.00

Manu Vatuvei $9.00 (17 tries) $17.00

Lachlan Coote $15.00 (17 tries) $26.00

Nathan Merritt $34.00 (16 tries) $13.00

Michael Jennings $101.00 (13 tries) $17.00

After Friday Night Football we could have a new leading try scorer for 2010.

Uate and Folau both failed to score a try last week.

That was rare especially for Folau who has only failed to score a try in five games this year.

Manu Vatuvei was $51 before last week but has shot into contention with a hat-trick last week.

Top Point scorer (Round 1-26)

Todd Carney $1.75 (201 pts)

Michael Gordon $2.00 (200 pts)

NRL Winner

$5,000 at $8 Gold Coast

The Coast have now won four straight and are on the 2^nd line of betting at $8 with the Syd Roosters.

They meet at the SFS on Monday Night as the Roosters look to avoid three straight losses.

Parramatta were $41 last week but a win over Brisbane has kept their hopes alive.

The Eels are $15 and our 2^nd worst result behind the Roosters taking out $1.1 million.

A-League

Sydney FC and Melbourne have both been slow to start the 2010/11 season.

After having a draw against each other in Round 1 they both were shock losers last week.

Punters are not convinced they will snap back into form this week.

However both are favoured to record a win in Round 3.

Brisbane v Sydney FC

Brisbane $3.10

Draw $3.35

Sydney FC $3.10

$10,000 @ $1.65 Brisbane or the draw (double chance)

Melbourne Victory v NQ Fury

Melb Victory $1.75

Draw $3.50

NQ Fury $4.35

$8,000 @ $2.15 NQ or the draw (double chance)

$5,000 @ $2.15 “  “

$5,000 @ $1.90 Under 2.5 Goals

GF Winner

Sydney FC and Melb Victory have both drifted from $3.50.

Wellington have firmed from $17 to $11 and been well backed with $6,800 @ $15.

Newcastle are also well supported and have been $26 to $17.

Sydney FC $3.75

Melb Victory $4.00

Gold Coast $6.00

Perth $8.00

Melb Heart $10.00

Central Coast $11.00

Wellington $11.00

Newcastle $17.00

Adelaide $21.00

Brisbane $21.00

NQ Fury $26.00

EPL Round 2

$5,000 Stoke at $3.70 to beat Tottenham.

AFL ROUND 21

Doubts over Aaron Sandilands and the possibility of Matthew Pavlich, along with others being rested for Fremantle this weekend has triggered an avalanche of money for Hawthorn in their match at Aurora Stadium on Saturday.

The match pits 5^th (Fremantle 48 pts) against 8^th (Hawthorn 42 pts) with a home final on offer and the Dockers needing a win in one of their last 2 matches to guarantee that home game.

Fremantle are in the midst of a slump having lost 3 of their last 4 matches.

5 separate bets of $10,000 each were taken on Hawthorn at the -27.5 point line. Prices taken were $1.90 (twice), $1.80, $1.72, $1.67 with another bet of $5000 @ $1.75 for good measure. Their price at the -27.5 point line is into $1.65

Multi players see the Hawks as an anchor with one bet of $20,000 @ $2.10 on Hawthorn and North Melbourne.

North Melbourne also attracted one bet of $12,000 @ $1.80 on them against West Coast on Sunday.

Sydney is popular for Saturday night’s farewell to Paul Roos and Brett Kirk game at the SCG against Western Bulldogs. Bets of $15,000 and $5000 @ $1.90 on the Swans +7.5

Geelong has a number of players under a cloud on Friday night and early shoppers pounced on the +30.5 start Carlton. First bet taken was $10,000 @ $1.90 the Blues +30.5

BROWNLOW MEDAL

TAB Sportsbet customers firmly believe Dane Swan has his name inscribed on the 2010 Brownlow Medal if betting this week is any indication.

Well over $65,000 has been invested on Swan over the last 48 hours in both straight out and Multi wagers for the Brownlow.

Bets straight out include $2000 @ $3.50 (twice), $7000, $2000, $1800, $1500 and $1000 @ $3.25 then a single bet of $8000 @ $3 was taken at lunchtime on Thursday. When his price firmed into $2.75 there was no stopping with bets of $2000, $1800 and $1500. A string of smaller wagers saw the Thursday total alone reaching over $35,000

Multi bets include $6000 @ $15.75 on Swan/Geelong (flag)/Barry Hall (Coleman), $4000 @ $15.75 Swan/Collingwood (flag)/Hall (Coleman), $1000 @ $18.37 on the same combination earlier this week, $1000 @ $10.50 Swan/Collingwood and a big one of $1000 @ $34.85 on Swan/Collingwood/St Geo Illawarra (NRL)/Labor to win the election.

Such has been the dominance of Dane Swan that as at 2pm on Thursday less than $1000 had been invested on all other players in the Brownlow market apart from the $35,000 on him.

12 August 2010

US PGA CHAMPIONSHIP

Tiger Woods will start the PGA Championship at Whistling Straits his longest price ever at TAB Sportsbet.

He is currently $14 and second in betting behind Phil Mickelson at $13.

This time last year Woods was $4.00 to win the PGA Championship. Now he is $3.30 to miss the cut.

Even given his lack of form he is the player with the most money wagered on him.

The price is just too good for punters to resist and they are willing to give him another chance.

11% of the total investment has been on Woods but in years gone by that would have been double.

Even today Tiger is the most popular player with one bet of $2000 @ $14 taken.

Punters have warmed to him to make the cut with all but $25 on him at $1.30 to make it to the weekend.

One customer is not a Tiger fan by placing $3000 @ $1.95 on him not to finish Top-20 in the tournament.

Other bets in that market are $8000 @ $1.90 Padraig Harrington misses cut and $6500 @ $2.15 Phil Mickelson misses cut

He needs to improve out of sight given he finished 18 over in his last tournament and a final round 7 over.

Woods finished runner-up last year in the PGA Championship in a thrilling finish to Y E Yang.

Other players well backed include Harrington $21, Stricker $31 - $21, Scott $41, Watney $51 and Jimenez $101 - $81.

Today we took a bet of $1,000 at $101 on Miguel Angel Jimenez

Izzy better than GI?

Will Greg Inglis fill the try scoring void left by Israel Folau in 2011?

Given Izzy has scored 19 tries this year they are some tough boots to fill.

This week at TAB Sportsbet we are offering a try scoring head to head market on who will score the most tries in Round 23.

Folau has opened favourite given his impressive strike rate this season.

However Brisbane will face a desperate Eels outfit but will be hoping Lockyer is declared fit.

Melbourne are back at home and Inglis will get a chance at another hat-trick in 2010 against the Bunnies.

Folau has scored 19 tries from 16 games with an amazing 7 doubles this year.

He has only failed to score a 4 pointer in 4 games.

Greg Inglis has scored 9 tries from 17 games.

He has failed to score a try in 10 matches this year.  

Head to Head

Brisbane $1.70

Parramatta $2.10

1^st Try

Israel Folau $6.00

Head to Head

Melbourne $1.45

Souths $2.65

1^st Try

Greg Inglis $9.00

Last throw of the dice for Parra

Parramatta’s hopes of making another Grand Final have all but been dashed after losing again last weekend.

With 4 rounds remaining they are on 22 points and 2 wins out of the Top 8 and have a terrible for and against of minus 70.

Eels fans shouldn’t totally give up hope as they are $5.50 to make the Top 8.

Manly, Brisbane and NZ Warriors are all sitting in the bottom of the 8 on 26 points with crucial games this weekend.

$41,800 on Cronulla

One customer must have seen something in Cronulla’s 27 point loss to the NZ Warriors last week that we missed.

They had $41,800 on Cronulla +10.5 at $1.90 v Syd Roosters.

With that amount of money on Cronulla they must be a tragic Sharkies fan or prefer flake to chicken!

Cronulla who are out of finals contention have a shocking home record in recent times.

In their last 5 games at Toyota Stadium their best result has been a 16 point loss Brisbane.

NRL Winner

St George Ill defeated the form team on the competition in the Roosters and have firmed from $4 to $3.25.

Just before kick off on Sunday one customer placed $10,000 at $4.00.

Money has continued during the week including $5,000 at $3.25.

The best backed team this week for the NRL Premiership has been the Gold Coast.

We accepted a bet of $7,000 at $11 on Monday then another $10,000 at $11 on Tuesday morning.

They were $26 before they beat the Dragons three weeks ago.

A home final is now on the cards for the Titans who are $1.55 to finish in the Top 4.

Parramatta’s Premiership hopes are on life support as they went from $13 to $41 with a loss to the Gold Coast.

Top Tryscorer 2010 (Rd 1-26)

The mantle for Top Tryscorer this year is well and truly up for grabs.

Akuila Uate has had a huge year for the Knights racking up 20 tries to date.

He failed to get across the stripe last weekend in a big win over the Dogs.  

Folau is on Uate’s hammer only 1 try behind while Coote is on 17 and Brett Morris 16 tries.

Uate $1.90

Folau $2.10

Morris $8.00

Coote $11.00

Others quoted

EPL Round 1 - Promotion

The English Premier League kicks off this weekend! If you have the right option in the correct score market at the start of the 85^th minute, in any game this weekend, and a late goal costs you a win, then TAB Sportsbet will refund your losing bet.

Aston Villa have drifted from 1.60 to 1.85 in there opening match in the EPL against West Ham due to there manager Martin O’Neill quitting.

Round 1 –LIVE Matches

·         Tottenham v Man City

·         Aston Villa v West Ham

·         Liverpool v Arsenal

LIVE markets offered:

·         Result

·         Over/Under

·         Correct Score

·         Next team to score

·         Result Next 15 minutes

EPL Winner

Man City who finished 5^th last season has been the best backed team to win the title. They opened $7 and have firmed into $6.00.

They have splashed out plenty of cash and punters have followed suit as they are the best supported team to win the EPL.

The next best is Arsenal at $7.50 with the punters largely betting around Chelsea $2.50 and Man Utd $3.25.

In what is a little surprising Everton at $126 has had more money wagered on them than title-holders and favourite Chelsea.

$1,250 @ $7.50 Arsenal

$1,000 @ $7.00 Man City. Plenty of smaller bets. They are the team our smaller punters have latched onto.

$500 @ $26 twice Tottenham.

$400 @ $201 Aston Villa (6^th last season but have been dealt a blow with manager Martin O’Neill quitting recently)

$300 @ $126 Everton  

In some interesting betting activity Blackpool have been backed to win the EPL title.

At odds of $2,001 we have taken 17 individual bets on Blackpool.

These include three different bets of $20 on the rank outsiders who are $1.28 to be relegated.

They are our worst result but we won’t be losing any sleep over it.

EPL Handicap

This market has created plenty of interest with five teams at $13 and the rest $15.

Everton with +23 points has easily been supported team.

Liverpool +14 pts, Fulham +38 pts and Stoke +39 pts have all been backed to a lesser extent.

The biggest bet has been on Everton with $1,500 @ $13.   

Blackpool receive a massive +52 points start.

AFL

Collingwood is the new AFL Flag favourite after defeating Geelong last week and TAB Sportsbet customers are starting to warm to them.

For the first time all season Collingwood are responsible for the most amount of money invested on a team to win the flag. They are in fact 21% of the total book compared to Geelong at 20%.

In $ terms Collingwood has $4340 more on them than Geelong. (As at 11.30am Thursday)

Opening at $11 last October (’09) the Pies are the only side in the competition not to ever get to a price longer than what they were originally priced.

As of Thursday they were into $2.80 after being $3 on Monday.

One customer has used them as an anchor leg in a series of Flag/Brownlow multis.

Bets of $4000 @ $78 on Collingwood/Scott Pendlebury, $4000 @ $63 Collingwood/Lenny Hayes, $2000 @ $9 Collingwood/Dane Swan.

2 bets of $1200 @ $10.50 and $6000 @ $9.10 coupling up Collingwood with St George Illawarra in the AFL/NRL Premiership double.

Alan Didak has a fan in Brownlow betting being backed to win just over $50,000 to finish Top 3 in the voting. The bet was $850 @ $63.50

Round 20

Punters are keen to forgive Geelong this week with money running all their way against Western Bulldogs on Saturday night.

The Cats have been $1.75 into $1.60 straight out with the biggest bet of the match being $10,000 @ $1.90 on Geelong -6.5 at the line

29th July 2010

TAB Sportsbet customers have turned in favour of Tony Abbott and the opposition this week following Sunday’s debate and the leak regarding Julia Gillard’s stance on paid parental leave and pension increases.

In that period the Coalition has firmed from $5 into $3.60 with money running totally their way.

Amazingly $25,000 has been invested on the Coalition while not one single dollar has been on the Labor party.

Labor has drifted from $1.15 out to $1.26 in that time.

Biggest bets on the Coalition have been

$2,000 @ $5.00 (twice)

$1,000 @ $5.00

   $600 @ $5.00

   $500 @ $5.00 (twice)

   $400 @ $5.00 (twice)

$7,000 @ $4.50

   $500 @ $4.25

$2,000 @ $4.00

$1,150 @ $3.75

$1,000 @ $3.60

Latest market

42001 Labor Party          1.26

42002 Coalition              3.60

22nd July 2010

Gold Coast to struggle against the Friday Night specialists         

St George Ill love Friday Night Football and have a perfect record in 2010.

The Dragons have played 9 times this year and are yet to be beaten on a Friday night.

Not only do the Dragons win on Friday night they have a great record when covering the line.

7 of 9 games they have won giving away a start to the opposition.

Last week was a rare occasion the Dragons failed to cover the start on Friday night.

The Bunnies managed to only go down by 3 points with Saints coming off the bye.

St George Ill at home should be way too good for the Gold Coast if Friday statistics are anything to go by.

While Saints have won 6 of their last 8 the Gold Coast have lost 6 of their last 8.

Saints were unchanged in Premiership betting after last week which promoted a bet of $20,000 at $3.25.

The Gold Coast are out to $26 the biggest price of the season after being $9 before Round 2.

Hayne Train

It is starting to feel like 2009 all over again.

Parramatta have won two straight and Jarryd Hayne has found his best form at the back end of the year.  

TAB Sportsbet are offering $6 for Jarryd Hayne to score 2+ tries against the Dogs at ANZ.

Hayne was in hibernation for most of the year but has sparked to life in the last two weeks.

Parramatta have started to click and posted 70 points in their last 2 games.

Among those 12 tries Hayne has bagged a third of them.

With the Dogs stumbling last week and 13^th on the ladder Parramatta could again turn on the points this week.

Expect Hayne to be amongst the tries as the Eels go for three straight.

2^nd Test

Pakistan firmed from $7.50 to $1.52 after dismissing Australia for 88 on Day 1.

One customer didn’t like Australia’s chances having $2,300 Pakistan at $8 but also outlaying $8,800 on the draw.

The draw was $2.75 after the toss and with 13 wickets on Day 1 blew to $10.00.

One customer will be praying for the heavens to open in Leeds after having $20,000 at $3.50 when the market first opened.

The 1^st Innings margin market will produce a big priced winner as Pakistan lead by 60 runs with 7 wickets in hand.

We took various bets on Pakistan to lead by 201-300 runs @ $34 including a bet of $250.

Pakistan to lead 301+ at the end of the 1^st Innings was $67. Interest wasn’t great with the biggest wager $80.

Tri Nations

TAB Sportsbet has opened Australia as the $1.60 favourites for Saturday’s Tri Nations match against South Africa at Suncorp Stadium.

South Africa, coming off 2 straight losses to New Zealand, 32-12 in Auckland and 31-17 in Wellington, has been priced as the $2.25 outsiders.

In Line betting South Africa +2.5 is $1.95 and Australia -2.5 $1.85

Small money early for the visitors with bets of $2000 @ $2.25 along with $2000 and $1000 on the +2.5 line @ $1.95

Hd x Hd

12501 Australia              $1.60

12502 South Africa         $2.25

Line

12505 Australia  -2.5       $1.85

12506 South Africa +2.5 $1.95

Margin

12507 Aust 13+             $3.75

12508 Aust 1-12            $2.75

12509 Draw                   $26.00

12510 Sth Africa 1-12     $3.00

12511 Sth Africa 13+      $6.00

Green v Briggs

Some punters were well on the mark in last night’s IBO Cruiserweight title fight between Danny Green and Paul Briggs but the surprising aspect was the shift in betting in the lead up to the fight.

Wednesday morning it was all for Danny Green to win by KO and Green to win in Round 1. Green in fact was as short as $1.18 to win by KO and $3.25 to win in Round 1.

In the hours before the fight that money shifted to Danny Green to win by decision (firming from $7 into $5.50) and steady money for Rounds 2, 3 and 4).

In fact Green to win by Decision was the most popular option in the Exact Result market yesterday

When betting finally closed Green had drifted to $1.25 to win by KO and a Round 1 win was $4.75.

Some of the winning bets.

Green to win

$7,000 @ $1.09

$5,000 @ $1.09 (twice)

Green by KO

$20,000 @ $1.22

$5,000 @ $1.18

Green in Round 1

$1,000 @ $5.50 (twice)

Festival of Football

Starts on Sunday at the SFS with TAB Sportsbet offering live betting on the double-header.

Sydney FC are $3.50 to win back to back A-League titles but have a younger looking outfit.

They play AEK Athens, Glasgow rangers and Blackburn in what will tune them up for the start of the season.

We expect the tournament played over 3 days to attract plenty of interest with some evenly matched teams.

Brett Emerton will line up for Blackburn who take on Glasgow in the 2^nd match on Sunday.

Result

Sydney FC $2.35

Draw $3.30

AEK Athens $2.65

Result

Blackburn $2.35

Draw $3.30

Rangers $2.65

AFL ROUND 17

To describe Round 17 betting as quiet would definitely be an understatement.

One bet of over $5000 has been taken over the whole round.

That bet was $10,000 @ $1.10 on new competition leaders Collingwood in their match over Richmond.

Betting however on futures markets has been a lot more brisk.

WOODEN SPOON

Essendon is now second-favourite at $3.50 to finish last after a horror month of form that was capped by a 32-point loss to the only team ahead of it in TAB Sportsbet's wooden spoon market.

The Bombers have lost their past six matches by an average of nearly eight goals, but TAB Sportsbet's Gary Davies said punters had only lost their faith in Matthew Knights' men in the past three weeks.

"After round 13, Essendon was still $81 for the wooden spoon but they've just gone terribly in the past four weeks. That's probably been the biggest shortener of the past month," Davies said on Monday.

"West Coast was long odds-on for the wooden spoon but its win over Essendon has turned the wooden spoon market around."

Davies said the Eagles' form turnaround had sparked the biggest move of the weekend, with West Coast drifting out in the spoon market after Mark LeCras' 12-goal haul led them to victory.

"We closed the market after eight rounds because Richmond was just going terribly. When we reopened it, it was West Coast favourites and then they got beaten by Adelaide.

"They were $1.50, now all of a sudden they've gone from odds-on favourites to $3. That's probably been the biggest market move in the long-term betting for the weekend."

One bet taken midweek was $10,000 @ $3 on the Eagles

Port Adelaide ($4) is third in the wooden spoon market behind West Coast and Essendon, followed by Richmond ($6) and the Brisbane Lions ($7).

Melbourne ($34) are the only other team quoted in Spoon betting and one bet taken Thursday was $1700 at the $34

BROWNLOW MEDAL

In other betting movements, Cats star Gary Ablett is in danger of losing Brownlow favouritism for the first time this year after Hawthorn's Luke Hodge and Collingwood's Dane Swan continued their good form.

Davies said the reigning Brownlow Medallist's recent form gave the betting agency no choice but to lengthen his odds to $5, while bringing Hodge ($6) and Swan ($7) in. 

"Ablett always polls well and that's why he's been at the top of the table, but his last few weeks haven't been terrific," he said.

"Both Hodge and Swan have been in great form so they had to shorten, and if they had to shorten, Ablett had to ease. If Ablett doesn't get votes on the weekend and either of those boys have a best-on-ground, we'll probably end up with a new Brownlow favourite."

One customer agrees with a change coming by placing $5000 on Dane Swan @ $7 on Wednesday evening

TOP 4

Fremantle are all the rage this week to finish Top 4.

Bets of $20,000 and $5000 @ $3 were taken on the Dockers who currently sit in 4^th spot on 44 points but do meet Western Bulldogs this week.

Fremantle meet the 4 teams below them in the Top 8 over the last six rounds (W Bulldogs, Sydney, Hawthorn and Carlton) along with Nth Melbourne and West Coast.

MINOR PREMIERSHIP

Geelong may have suffered a shock defeat at the hands of Adelaide last week but that didn’t dim the enthusiasm of one customer who placed $20,000 @ $2.75 on the Cats to finish Minor Premiers

A brief look at betting activity so far from TAB Sportsbet

Political party of next Australian Prime Minister

42001 Labor Party          1.18

42002 Coalition              4.50

Labor $1.27 into $1.18 since Election announced last week

Individual seats

Kooyong (Vic)

Held by Liberal

Swing needed 9.5%

Liberal candidate Josh Frydenberg well supported from $1.35 into $1.15 with bets of $10,000 @ $1.35 and $8,000 @ $1.15

Mallee (Vic)

Held by Nationals

Swing needed 21.3%

National’s John Forrest all the rage

Bets of $10,000 @ $1.28, $12000 @ $1.10, $25,000 @ $1.08

Melbourne (Vic)

Held by Labor

Swing needed 22.3%

Seat vacated by Lindsay Tanner

ALP candidate Cath Bowtell has firmed from $2.40 into $1.85

Bets of $7,000 @ $2.40 and $1,000 @ $2.10

Murray (Vic)

Held by Liberal

Swing needed 18.3%

Liberal Sharman Stone is the best backed candidate of the entire election with just over $65,000 placed on them.

Bets of $10,000 @ $1.35, $9900 @ $1.15, $50,000 @ $1.10

Scullin (Vic)

Held by Labor

Swing needed 20.9%

Harry Jenkins (Lab) well backed with bets of $10,000 @ $1.17 and $26,000 @ $1.05

Leichhardt (Qld)

Held by Labor

Swing needed 4.1%

Jim Turnour (ALP) best supported with one wager of $9000 @ $1.72 now $1.57