26th January 2012

CRICKET

The aptly named Perth Scorchers are the easing favourites to win Saturday night’s Big Bash Final against the Sydney Sixers. The match has already been put back 30 minutes as Perth faces a ‘scorcher’ on Saturday, tipped to be 42 degrees. The Scorchers have been the form side of the competition, and in their six wins, the batting and bowling stats line up favourable against the Sydney side. But……the competition has been dominated by the sides batting first, and more than half of the matches have been won by the outsiders. Once it was confirmed that speedster Mitchell Starc would be included in the side, the Sixers firmed from $2.15 into $2.08, which saw Perth drift from $1.70 out to $1.75. The toss will be vital, and if the Sixers bat first, there is a strong chance that they may even start favourites…and win.

BASKETBALL

There was talk late last week that Patrick Mills might join the roster at the Gold Coast Blaze, but now it appears as though that won’t happen and the Blaze have eased out to $7.50. Perth Wildcats have been the form side of the competition and they are now $2.10 favourites ahead of New Zealand at $2.75. The Breakers are the side that punters have not been keen to back, whereas we continue to see money for Perth and Townsville.

In the NBA, it has been all one sided action as most seem to think Miami will atone for a disappointing season last year. The Heat are now into $2.60 after opening pre-season at $3.25. The Chicago Bulls ($6.00) and Oklahoma City Thunder ($7.00) are the only other sides given any consideration at all by punters.

RUGBY LEAGUE

Plenty has been said on how open the 2012 NRL title is with $9.00 the field given, but in the past week there has been a good push for the Brisbane Broncos. The Broncos are on that $9.00 line of betting along with four other sides, but it appears as though devout Broncos fans appear all will be good without Darren Lockyer as they have attracted the most bets of any of the others in the betting. The two biggest bets to date have only been $2500 and $2000, but it is the constant stream of smaller bets (all from Queensland) that show punters have complete faith in the squad.

Tattsbet has also opened up a market to win the 2012 Queensland Cup. While it isn’t as open as the NRL, the equal favourites, Wynnum Manly and Tweed Heads are the equal favourites at $4.50. It is worth noting that this year it will be a final 5 as opposed to a final 6 last year, and ironically it was Wynnum Manly who won last year from that position. Tweed Heads were one of the surprise packets last year for two reasons. They didn’t lose a game until round 22, then went on to struggle in the finals series, ultimately losing the final to Wynnum. This particular competition is gaining in popularity each year due to the amount of NRL players involved, and betting will be available on all matches throughout the season.

TENNIS

Tattsbet are already experiencing massive interest ahead of tonight’s blockbuster Australian Open semi-final between Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal. While the number of bets are split down the middle, the big money has so far come for Federer at as a $1.60 favourite (from $1.62). Nadal ($2.40 from $2.30) has a great record against his rival on outdoor hardcourts so we expect late support for the Spaniard. Tattsbet will trade the match LIVE in the run.

While tournament favourite Novak Djokovic beat David Ferrer in straight sets in last night’s quarter final, his apparent physical issues early in that match has seen his title price drift from $1.90 to $2.25. He plays Scot Andy Murray in a replay of last year’s final on Friday night. We think Djokovic can put in a repeat performance int he semi and has been accordingly priced up as a $1.42 favourite with Murray at $2.80.

RACING

Whilst there is a host of racing coming up over the next few days (and nights), it is the return of Black Caviar at Moonee Valley on Friday night that is capturing all of the headlines. The unbeaten mare has been priced up at $1.03 by the Tattsbet race bookies, and that is the shortest priced favourite that we have ever seen in Australia since the inception of pre-post betting. We have noticed that Black Caviar features prominently in most of the cross code (horse racing/sports) multis for the weekend, with punters taking the view that adding Black Caviar is a free hit. It has also been surprising to not the huge number of bets around the $5 for Black Caviar. While the winnings (15 cents) isn’t going to be life changing for those punters, it would seem that they just want to be able to say that they had a bet on the greatest sprinter we have ever seen.

SIGNIFICANT BETS

$7,000 at $1.22 Nadal to bt Berdych Australian Open Men’s QF

$4,100 at $2.15 Nadal 3-0 v Berdych Australian Open Men’s QF

$5,000 at $4.50 Roger Federer winning Men’s Australian Open

$5,000 at $1.63 Kvitova to bt Sharapova Australian Open Women’s SF

$5,000 at $1.73 Clijsters to bt Azarenka Australian Open Women’s SF

$5,000 at $1.28 Azarenka to bt Clijsters Australian Open Women’s SF

$5,000 at $1.30 Azarenka to bt Clijsters Australian Open Women’s SF

$5,000 at $1.63 Australia winning Fourth Test v India

$5,000 at $1.14 Australia winning Fourth Test v India

$1000 at $13 Lee Westwood winning Abu Dhabi Golf Championship

MULTI WINS

$250 at $69.26 to win $17,316 - Saturday Racing Multi (MR02 Total Attraction at $3.33, BR03 Mr Light Blue at $2.60, MR05 Flyingconi at $3.20, BR06 Tomboy at $2.50)

$7 at $1386 to win $9,708 – Sports Multi (Man City by 1 goal v Tottenham at $3.80, Sydney FC by 1 goal v Gold Coast at $3.80, Berdych v Almagro over 37.5 at $1.95, Kohlschreiber v Del Potro under 36.5 at $1.87, Tomic v Federer 9-10 games 1^st set at $2.00, Adelaide v Cairns NBL over 155.5 at $1.90, Oregon v USC over 126.5 NCAA at $1.90, Idaho -2 v Utah State NCAA at $1.90, Under 5 LA v Colorado NHL at $1.92.)

19th January 2012

CRICKET

The fourth and final test between Australia and India gets under way in Adelaide next Tuesday, and while India deserve to be $5.00 underdogs, there are plenty out there who think they can restore some pride with a win. India opened at $5.25, but a series of bets has seen that price cut to $5.00 while Australia has drifted slightly in the betting from $1.67 to $1.70. The draw ($3.50) has some admirers, probably because historically the Adelaide pitch has been friendly to batsmen.

The Big Bash League is fast coming to an end, and with finals spots yet to be sorted, there is a staggering amount of interest in all games. Shane Warne has done more than his fair share of work off the field to ensure the success of the BBL, and his Melbourne Stars side go into Thursday night’s crucial clash with Adelaide as warm $1.67 favourites. It has been noticeable how many punters have been taking advantage of the fresh betting after the toss has been done, and looking at the stats it isn’t hard to work out why. The side batting first has won 66% of the games, and that is in keeping with most twenty/20 matches around the world. Surprisingly a lot of captains have chosen to field first instead of batting, but the records suggest that if you stick with the side batting, the odds are in your favour.

TENNIS – AUSTRALIAN OPEN

The Australian Open is well underway and after three days, honours between Tattsbet and the punters are fairly even. Plenty of favourites have been saluting but Sam Stosur’s exit has provided the biggest upset, going down to Sorana Cirstea ($5.75). Tattsbet wrote one bet of $5,000 on Stosur at $1.15 and she was anchored through many a multi. Petra Kvitova remains at $3.75 to win the women’s title, just retaining favouritism ahead of Serena Williams at $4.25.

Novak Djokovic is the firming $2.15 title favourite on the men’s side, but one Tattsbet client yesterday bet $5,000 at $4.50 on Roger Federer winning. The Swiss maestro remains unchanged at that quote and faces a potential fourth round match-up with Australia’s new darling of tennis Bernard Tomic. But before that, Tomic has to get passed Ukrainian Alexandr Dolgopolov in Friday’s third round encounter. Tomic will go in as a $1.65 favourite but all the early support has been for Dolgopolov at $2.20. Both players possess similar styles of play and are not afraid to mix it up so an entertaining match is on the cards.

Tattsbet are betting LIVE on the outright markets and selected matches through the Australian Open.

AUSSIE RULES

Tattsbet have opened Round 1 of the AFL, and the first match will see the shortest round one favourite in history. The Swans are $1.01 to dispense of their cross town rivals, GWS. The debutantes are $15.00 to create history, and the proposed line option is creating a major talking point amongst our bookies. Whatever they settle on, it will be a very high number.

We are tipping Fremantle to improve sharply this year under new coach Ross Lyon, and we will all know exactly where they are at when they host Geelong. The Cats are $1.72, and have attracted a few small bets at that quote, but they are one of the best back sides to win back to back premierships. Geelong are $5.00 second elects behind Collingwood ($4.00), with Hawthorn ($5.50) and Carlton ($8.00) next in line. Carlton are another side who punters think will be hard to beat, with a couple of early four figure bets on the Blues. GWS are easily the worst result for Tattsbet, with several punters thinking the $251.00 on offer is attractive. It may be nice odds, but looking at their list and their draw, it would require a Stephen Bradbury like performance to worry the main contenders.

RUGBY LEAGUE

Round 1 of the NRL is also open, and premiership favourites the Wests Tigers are the shortest priced favourite for the round. The Tigers are $1.45 to beat Cronulla ($2.75), with the line being set at 6.5 points. In a promoters dream, Newcastle take on the Dragons in the very first match of the new season, and the Knights have opened clear favourites at $1.58. The Dragons are $2.35, and early betting would suggest they may start even longer. We are all interested to see how the Broncos will go without Darren Lockyer, and they have a tricky match first up against Parramatta. The Tattsbet bookies cannot split the two, both quoted at $1.90.

As far as premiership betting is concerned, the 2012 opening market is the most open in history. The Tigers hold a slender hold on favouritism at $8.50 ahead of Brisbane, Manly, Melbourne, Newcastle and the Warriors, all at $9.00. To show how open the market is, the outsiders (Canberra, Cronulla, Gold Coast and Penrith) are listed at 26.00, and realistically there are plenty of reasons why each of these could take the major trophy. The Tigers are currently our worst result, with a bet of $5000 at $9.00 leading the way, while Brisbane and Melbourne have each had two bets of $2000 placed on them at $9.00. There has also been some action on the final 8 market, including bets of $5000 for Newcastle at $1.57 and $4000 for the Gold Coast Titans at $2.85.

ACADEMY AWARDS

The Golden Globe Awards have been handed out for this year, and that has seen several major changes in the betting to win the Academy Awards.

George Clooney (Descendants) was $1.90 prior to wining a Golden Globe, but is now $1.45 to win the Best Actor Oscar. The critics, (and the public) love Clooney, and should he win the upcoming BAFTA and/or SAGA best actor category, then that price will firm drastically. Jean Dujardin (The Artist) is clear second pick at $2.75, ahead of Leonardo DiCaprio (J.Edgar) at $8.00 and Brad Pitt (Moneyball) at $13.00.

Betting on the Best Actress Award has taken a similar path to the male version with Meryl Streep now as short as $1.50 after winning a Golden Globe. Streep, who has gained accolades for her portrayal of Margaret Thatcher in The Iron Lady was $1.90 prior to Monday’s ceremony, and she remains as the best backed in any of the categories covered. Michelle Williams (Marilyn)and Viola Davis (The Help)are next in line at $3.25 and $4.00 respectively, but punters haven’t really warmed to either yet.

HITS AND MISSES

HITS

$5,000 at $1.28 (live) Brisbane Heat to beat Melbourne Renegades in Big Bash

MISSES

$4,000 at $1.25 (live) Sydney FC to beat Perth Glory in A-League

$4,800 at $1.50 New Orleans to beat San Francisco in NFL Playoffs

MULTI WINS

$1,600 at $33.60 to win $53,760 (2-leg racing multi: 14/1 QR01 Number One Gun at $7.00, QR 09 Capital Commander at $4.80)

$4 at $1470 to win $5882 (6-leg racing multi (all Sydney races): 14/1 SR01 De Shamekh at $1.80, SR03 Chivvy at $3.70, SR04 Upbeat at $5.00, SR05 Alma’s Fury at $3.20, SR06 Key West at $6.00, SR08 Maules Creek at $2.30)

12th January 2012

CRICKET

3rd Test AUSTRALIA V INDIA

Tattsbet punters have deserted the draw in the Perth Test beginning on Friday, and who can argue with that? The draw has eased from $3.50 out to $5.00 at Tattsbet with all the talk of a pitch that will suit the quicks, and the Aussies have been big firmer’s in the betting. After opening at $1.85, Australia is into $1.70, however with the price on the draw blowing like the north wind, India have also come in slightly, now $3.50 after opening at $3.75. With the live betting giving numerous trading opportunities in the first two tests, it appears as though punters are backing either the Aussies or India, hoping to bet around that when the match gets under way.

Sachin Tendulkar is best backed to top the Indian first innings run total at $4.25, while local hope Shaun Marsh ($5.50) and Ricky Ponting ($4.75) are the two most popular Aussies. In our popular Player Runs Overs/Unders market, Sachin Tendulkar has attracted a lot of support to get past 36 runs in the first innings ($1.87), and if he does surpass that total, let’s hope he gets that 100th ton!

Tattsbet will be LIVE throughout the Third Test.

BIG BASH

The inaugural 20/20 Big Bash has proved a massive hit with Tattsbet customers. Turnover has been solid across all options including hi-bat’s and LIVE in the run betting. Punters have been quick to pick up on the trend that has seen a big majority (16-8) of the team batting first winning. This has made the result of the toss most important. So just before each match, Tattsbet bookies brace themselves for the frenzy of activity that occurs when the result of the coin toss is known.

Chris Gayle’s heroic’s with the bat for Sydney Thunder saw his price for top bat to as low at $2.40 in last night’s clash with Perth Scorchers. It wasn’t to be for punters however with Gayle controversially dismissed for 20 after looking in ominous touch again. Perth’s fifth consecutive win guaranteed a home semi-final and they find themselves a $3.25 title favourite with Tattsbet.

The Brisbane Heat have struggled all competition and are accordingly priced up as $2.20 outsiders against the Melbourne Renegades ($1.67) tonight.

TENNIS – AUSTRALIAN OPEN

There is plenty of uncertainty surrounding many of the top chances at this year’s Australian Open which starts on Monday. On the men’s side, Novak Djokovic has been a well-supported favourite ($2.50 into $2.25) but Tattsbet punters are jumping all over Brisbane International winner Andy Murray ($9 into $6) in the hope that the Scot can notch up his first Grand Slam win. Meanwhile, injury and form concerns have seen punters steer clear of Roger Federer ($4.50) and Rafael Nadal ($7). Perhaps not surprisingly, the player to attract the most bets besides Murray is Queensland’s Bernard Tomic. Sheer weight of money and the avoidance of a huge liability has seen Tattsbet wind the Aussie in from $81 to $67.

On the women’s side, Wimbledon champ Petra Kvitova ($5 into $3) is set to start a clear favourite and on her form so far in Sydney this week it’s not hard to see why. Serena Williams ($2.50 out to $4.75) is friendless in the betting after her withdrawal from Brisbane while Kim Clijsters has eased slightly ($8 out to $8.50) with her fitness concerns. And speaking of concerns, Aussie hope Sam Stosor has been a massive drifter from $7 to $15 after her horror start to the season. There is one punter who will be hoping Brisbane form holds up after placing $10 on Kaia Kanepi winning the Australian Open back in October at the odds of $501 (500/1). The Estonian is now into $15 after collecting the silverware at Pat Rafter Arena.

RACING – MAGIC MILLIONS

The Gold Coast race track comes alive this week with the Magic Millions, and it would be fair to say that while this looks a very tough race on paper, punters see it much differently. Since Tuesday’s all important barrier draw, the Gai Waterhouse trained Driefontein has been backed from $3.80 into $3.40, and looks destined to firm even further. Gai has been quite vocal in her confidence here, and that has been reflected in the betting, with several four figure amounts coming for Driefontein. Queenslander Sizzling has been displaced as favourite (now $3.60), but we continue to see plenty of support at that quote, while third pick, Amorino attracted a bet of $3,300 at $7.00 on Thursday, and is now back in to $6.50. That was the first time we had seen a good sized bet for the Gerald Ryan runner as the majority of punters are happy to just stick with either of the two favourites.

HITS AND MISSES

HITS

$19,000 at $1.30 Over 1.5 Gold Coast v Melbourne Heart in A-League

$5,280 at $1.45 Gold Coast/Draw Double Chance v Melbourne Heart in A-League

$5,000 at $1.83 Over 2.5 Melbourne Victory v Newcastle in A-League

$5,000 at $1.90 New Orleans -10.5 v Detroit in NFL Playoffs

MISSES

$8,800 at $1.25 Over 1.5 Sydney v Central Coast in A-League

$7,000 at $1.70 Adelaide Strikers to beat Sydney Sixers in Big Bash

$5,000 at $2.00 Adelaide Strikers to beat Perth Scorchers in Big Bash

$4,000 at $1.67 Adelaide Strikers to beat Sydney Sixers in Big Bash

MULTI WINS

$400 at $60.20 to win $24,080 (4-leg racing multi: SR01 Raceway at $2.15, QR04 Magic Tartan at $5.00, AR04 Bertucci at $1.75, AR06 Meshmaker at $3.20)

$3 at $2001 to win $6,005 (10-leg soccer multi: Exeter $3.00, Notts County $3.80, Hull City $1.70, Valladolid $2.15, Southhampton $1.95, Southend $1.75, Newc United $1.60, Elche $2.08, Crawley $2.35 and Bursapor $1.80)

5th January 2012

TATTSBET NEWS

Visit TattsBet.com or your local TATTSBET venue for more betting options and the best fixed prices more often!

SOCCER – ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE

The Christmas-New Year period is always a busy time in the English Premier League, and it’s fair to say that punters have come off second best this year after a string of massive upsets. The short-priced favourites have been going down left, right and centre, but that’s not to say that some Tattsbet clients haven’t been taking the value:

Dec 31 - Blackburn ($26) def. Man Utd – 30 punters backed Blackburn

Jan 1 - Aston Villa ($12) def. Chelsea – 19 punters backed Aston Villa

Jan 2 - Sunderland ($5.85) def. Man City – 39 punters backed Sunderland

Jan 5 - Newcastle ($5) def. Man Utd – 29 punters backed Newcastle

Jan 5 - Bolton ($6.25) def. Everton – 24 punters backed Bolton

Tattsbet now have Manchester United out to $3.75 for the title after backing up their New Year’s Eve loss to Blackburn with another defeat to Newcastle this morning. That leaves the champions three points behind fierce rivals Manchester City who are into $1.45. Tottenham ($9) are well in commission now, breathing down Man Utd’s neck on the table with a game in hand.

CRICKET – 2^nd Test AUSTRALIA V INDIA

Tattsbet punters were on the money when they backed Michael Clarke to notch up his triple-century today. He was $2.05 to reach the milestone having sat on 251 overnight.

Pre-post activity on the 2^nd Test largely saw Tattsbet clients steer clear of Australia ($2.20), instead taking the $3.25 about India bouncing back with what now appears a most unlikely SCG victory.

TENNIS – BRISBANE INTERNATIONAL

One Tattsbet client is riding their luck this week after placing $6,660 at $2.15 on Andy Murray wining the Brisbane International. Murray has dropped the opening set in each of his first two rounds, but now trades at just $1.65 to collect the silverware on Sunday night. Murray is $1.28 to get past Marcos Baghdatis ($3.60) on Friday. In the other quarter final, Queensland’s own Bernard Tomic is $1.30 to defeat Russian Denis Istomin ($3.45).

There has been no shortage of drama on the Women’s side, with Sam Stosur bowing out as a $1.10 favourite and Serena Williams succumbing to an ankle injury. Tattsbet’s WTA analyst says its Kim Clijsters title to lose now, with the Belgian trading at odds-on ahead of today’s quarter finals.

In Australian Open betting, Serena Williams’ injury doubt has seen her drift to a $5 second favourite behind Petra Kvitova at $4. Kim Clijsters sits on the third line of betting at $6.50 with Victoria Azarenka ($9) and Sam Stosur ($9) rounding out the single-figure quotes. On the Men’s side, world number one and defending champ Novak Djokovic is a clear top-pick at $2.40 with Roger Federer at $3.50. Indifferent early season form has seen Rafael Nadal ($3.25 out to $6.50) and Andy Murray ($6 out to $6.50) both drifting.

RACING

BIG MONEY TO BE WON WITH TATTSBET JACKPOTS THIS SATURDAY!

There’s more than $200,000 in TattsBet race jackpots to be won Saturday! The undoubted highlight anywhere on the east coast racing wise is the $100,000 Bat Out Of Hell over 900 metres at the Gold Coast which doubles as a $135,000 jackpot First4 race. The First4 pool on the Bat Out Of Hell is estimated to reach $400,000. Harness punters are also well catered for with a $45,000 start up to the Albion Park Quadrella on Saturday night.

MAGIC MILLIONS ROUGHIE TRIMS UP $300!

Recent Sunshine Coast maiden winner Moroccan Dancer has been a $401 to $101 price firmer with TattsBet this week to win Saturday week’s Magic Millions 3YO Guineas at the Gold Coast. With one win from five lifetime starts the 3YO daughter of General Nediym has just $9,100 in the bank and desperately needs to win Saturday’s Gold Coast City Council Handicap worth $64,000 to the winner to be any hope of scrapping into the $1M Guineas when the field is finalised early next week.   

BET OF THE WEEK

$2,000 at $48 to collect $96,000 Racing Multi WON

31/12 Moonee Valley R4 General Truce $4.00

31/12 Moonee Valley R5 Pied a Terre $3.00

31/12 Moonee Valley R8 Obsidian Dragon $4.00