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Aussie
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Centrebet Capers CRICKET The World XI has been backed into favouritism but it is only a slight edge at 1.85. After Shaun Tait was ruled out we did take bets of $10,000 and $8000 for the World XI at 1.87 but the Australian attack will not really lose much with the inclusion of either Stuart Clark or Cameron White. As far as series betting goes, we have taken two bets of $10,000 for the World XI at 1.85, while Jacques Kallis (9.00) has been backed to take out $25,000 to top the series batting aggregates. Ricky Ponting (6.00) has been best backed of the Aussies while Muttiah Muralitharan (5.00) is the player who most want to be on to take the most wickets. The Super Series Test will be played
later in the month at the SCG has seen money for both Australia and the
World XI with the draw out to 7.50. The World XI had another $4000
placed on them this week and they are in to 2.00 while we have also seen
money for Australia at 2.20. RUGBY LEAGUE
Along with the fairytale finish for Tigers fans, there was one punter who also has a tale to tell. It was well documented last week of the exploits of one keen fan who coupled up the Sydney Swans with the Wests Tigers in four separate premiership doubles to win a shade over $1million from an outlay of just less than $800. As of last Thursday afternoon he was going to let the bet ride and just hope that the Tigers won but in the end he contacted us and had a 'saver' of $250,000 on the Cowboys to win him $300,000. That left him in the unenviable position of winning nearly $770,000 if the Tigers won or $300,000 if the Cowboys won - every punters dream! The client concerned actually contacted the press with his story and as many would now know, he couldn't even watch the game as he is a contract worker currently living in Saudi Arabia, so had to listen over the internet. He has taken the same double for the past four years and they are the only bets he has had, so he has plenty behind him now to fund his doubles in the upcoming years. The longest price he took this season was 2000/1 (twice) and there certainly won’t be anything like that on offer for the same combination to win next year. We have opened up the premiership double market already and the Swans/Tigers double is 71.00. As yet, we haven't taken any bets from Saudi Arabia. Most of the betting options on the Grand Final went to the favourites on each bet type with Matt Bowen heavily backed from 15.00 into 10.00 to be the first try scorer and Scott Prince a well supported 7.00 equal favourite to win the Clive Churchill Medal. If those two results weren't bad enough we took two separate bets of $20,000 at 3.25 for the Tigers to win by 13+ and the converted try right on full-time took them past that mark. The betting for next year’s title is open and it looks to be the hardest on record. The Tigers have been rated an11.00 chance and although they lose Mark O’Neill and Pat Richards, the rest of the side is intact. The Dragons are the 4.50 favourite’s
ahead Parramatta at 6.00. The Cowboys are in the mix at 10.00 while
Souths are rated a 21.00 chance to win the big one. It was hard settling
on who should be the outsiders with that honour going to Canberra at
51.00. RACING Last Thursday, we took a bet of $50,000 for Makybe Diva to win the Cox Plate at 2.80. That came two days after taking two bets of $10,000 at 3.00 and she is now into 2.50. The only danger looks to be the Kiwi stayer Xcellent (6.50) who was so impressive in winning the Kelt Stakes at the weekend after nearly coming to grief on the home turn. Lad of the Manor is on the next line of betting 9.00. The great mare is now into 5.00 to win the Melbourne Cup and the same applies to betting on this race, everybody wants to be on Makybe Diva. It is very short odds so far out from the big race but it is all about supply and demand. Plastered remains second favourite at 8.00 but the significant mover from last week’s racing was the Metropolitan winner Railings. He is into 21.00 now but the Metrop hasn't been that good of a guide over recent years. Confectioner has joined Plastered
(5.50) at the head of betting for next week's Caulfield Cup but he isn't
into the final field yet. Confectioner ran a huge race behind Makybe
Diva after missing the start and David Hayes seems to have found a
couple of lengths on where the horse was at this time last year. AUSTRALIAN RULES The Sydney Swans opened at 5.00 third favourites behind the West Coast Eagles and St Kilda (4.50) but in a major surprise, the Swans have been the second worst backed side. Less than $200 has been placed on the Swans who are now out to 6.00 but maybe their fans are still celebrating this year’s win and will get around to betting once the euphoria has died down. Talk of Carlton forward Brendan Fevola moving to Richmond has seen the Tigers backed to win nearly $20,000 this week and they are into 21.00 after opening at 26.00. With Fevola possibly moving on, Carlton has firmed in wooden spoon betting, into 2.60 after opening at 2.80. This week is trade week, so no doubt
there will be some more betting take place after player movement. BATHURST 1000 We have already taken close to $8000 on 'Holden' (1.65) in head to head betting against Ford at 2.10. Kelly and Murphy have won the past two Bathurst 1000’s but this year will drive for separate teams. Murphy in the Super Cheap Auto Racing team with Paul Weel and Kelly will team up with Garth Tander in the HSV Dealer Team. Kelly is the shorter of the duo as far as betting goes and shares favouritism at 5.00 to win the race with Holden pair Mark Skaife and Todd Kelly and a Ford headed up by Craig Lowndes. Betting will be suspended while the
practice sessions are on and there will be lots of markets available
including the Top 10 Shootout and numerous race head to heads. FORMULA ONE
Kimi Raikkonen started from well back on the grid in Brazil but powered home to finish second to team-mate Juan Pablo Montoya. Raikkonen is the 1.72 favourite this week and in early betting we have taken nearly $7000 in bets for him as well as $2000 to qualify quickest and gain pole position at 1.90. Montoya has his share of support at 3.25 but punters have completely dropped off Championship winner Fernando Alonso, who is unwanted at 6.00. There is still plenty of incentive for Alonso to win however as the Constructors Championship is still wide open. McLaren lead on 164 points after
Montoya and Raikkonen quinellared the last race but Renault is only two
points behind. MOTOR BIKES The diminutive Italian had a battle for the latter part of the race with fellow Italian Marco Melandri but showed his class to rail up inside Melandri with three laps to go. Melandri was a 21.00 pop to win that race and would have given us a big result but the win by Rossi wasn't that costly even though he went in as 1.90 favourite. Punters preferred to stick with Loris Capirossi (bets of €2000 and €1500 euro at 3.00) and also Spaniard Sete Gibernau, who was backed form 7.50 into 5.00 in the hours leading up to the start. Rossi is 1.80 to win in Australia ahead
of Capirossi at 3.25 and Gibernau at 6.00. We will also cover the 125
and 250cc races with head to head betting available on all three events. BASEBALL Prior to the first round of games, seven of the eight sides were under 10.00 to win the title with San Diego the despised outsider at 21.00. The St Louis Cardinals were the 3.75 favourites ahead of the New York Yankees at 4.00 with our worst result being Houston, who went into game one as an 8.00 chance. The Astro's were 51.00 before the season started and there are two bets of $USD200 sitting there at those odds. They face up to Atlanta in the divisional series and that is the most open with Houston slightly favoured at 1.87. One of our regular baseball clients has
plonked $5000 on Houston to progress and has had the same bet on the
Boston Red Sox (1.71) to win the series against the Chicago White Sox. AUSTRALIAN IDOL Emily attracted nearly $1600 in bets last week but is now back out to 3.50 after touching 2.75. Kate DeAraugo (4.50) continues to meet with solid support while the best backed of the outsiders has been Milly Edwards (26.00) who narrowly missed the guillotine on Monday night. On that occasion it was Roxanne Lebrasse who was voted off by the Australian public and with her went the hopes of many punters as Roxanne was easily our worst result to win Idol. With eight competitors left in the event there has been plenty of interest in who will be the top male or female. Dan is 1.30 to be the top male but Lee Harding has been backed at 5.00. While Emily may be the shortest way to
win overall as far as the females are concerned, there are very few
takes at the 2.25 to be the top female. Anne Roberston has been backed
from 4.00 into 3.25 while Kate splits the pair at 3.00. DANCING WITH THE STARS It seems ironic that members of the club allegedly told by email to vote to keep Holland on the show will do their money cold after they then stepped in and told him he was required overseas. That has seen the price for Holland blow out from 4.50 to an unwanted 9.00. Chris Bath continues to shorten, now
into 2.00 but Dicko is also a big mover and continues to be popular with
punters. He is now into 3.50 having been backed to win nearly $3000 over
the past week. The only other dancer attracting any support at all is
Ada Nicodemou, who is now a 5.00 chance. NOBEL PEACE PRIZE Ahtisaari originally opened at 7.00 and has been backed all the way down with money still coming at the 3.00. It isn't all from Finland either so it would seem the general consensus of opinion is that he looks the one to beat. Ahtisaari is famous for having brokered a peace treaty between the Indonesian Government and the Free Aceh Movement after the tsunami that hit the region. US Senator, Richard Luger and former Senator, Sam Nunn are the 6.00 second favourites. The duo may have represented both sides of politics but formed a united front with their Co-operative Threat Reduction (CTR) program, which is all about the dismantling of nuclear missiles and submarines in the states of the former Soviet Union. Two familiar names whom have attracted plenty of support have been Bono and Sir Bob Geldof. No doubt the high profiles of both are one of the reasons why they have been backed from long double figures into 8.00. Bono has been a tireless worker in Africa and is deserving of the award but the question is, would the committee give it to a pop singer? The same applies to Geldof who organized the Live Aid concert in 1985 and the recent Live 8 concert. Although he is a confirmed nominee for the 2006 award, it is not known if he is among the nominees for this year. Until next week, good punting For further information contact Gerard Daffy at Centrebet on 02 9206 8715 or centrebet@centrebet.com
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