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DAILY BETTING NEWS
All the latest
Carnival news, views and betting moves, posted direct from the bookies and
OnThePunt's editor |
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MARKET COMPARISONS
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best price in the big races - updated the day before each major race
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THE PROFESSOR ON THE PUNT |
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OAKS DAY, THURSDAY NOV 8 |
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Race 6-CROWN
OAKS
2500 METRES 03.00 P.M.
Most open Oaks for a long time but I really like Serious Speed.
I think she'll just win. |
SELECTIONS |
| 1 |
SERIOUS SPEED |
| 2 |
ZARITA |
| 10 |
ARAPAHO MISS |
| 4 |
RIVA SAN |
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Race 7-STAR
TRACK EXPRESS STAKES
1800 METRES 03.45 P.M.
Another tough race. Don't think the fave Miss Marielle can win, so
I'm looking for value outside it.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 12 |
WOODWIN |
| 14 |
SIR PENTHOUSE |
| 3 |
RIBEIRO |
| 6 |
RAEBURN |
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Race 8-MFS
STAKES
1100 METRES 04.30 P.M.
The two is the best horse in the race by a long way - it should win and
that's it.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 2 |
LUCKY SECRET |
| 8 |
KAPHERO |
| 1 |
LET GO THOMMO |
| 4 |
ZUPAONE |
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Race 9-SUNRISE
CUP
1600 METRES 05.15 P.M.
I like Itstheone coming back in the distance and the outside barrier
should not be an issue at this time of the day.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 8 |
ITSTHEONE |
| 11 |
ESCAPE ARTIST |
| 2 |
PINNACLES |
| 4 |
POLISH CLOWN |
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|
FLEMINGTON $50 FLEXI QUADDIE
(62.50 %) |
| LEG 1 - RACE 6 |
1, 2, 4, 10 |
| LEG 2 - RACE 7 |
3, 6, 12, 14 |
| LEG 3 - RACE 8 |
2 |
| LEG 4 - RACE 9 |
1, 2, 4, 8, 11 |
|
FLEMINGTON BEST BET |
| RACE 8 |
2 - LUCKY SECRET |
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MELBOURNE CUP DAY, TUESDAY NOV
6 |
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Race 4-LIBERTY
FINANCIAL STAKES
1400 METRES 12.30 P.M.
Very difficult race, and I'm looking for value. Ordinary draw but can win.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 1 |
LAURA'S CHARM |
| 2 |
BLESSED SUE |
| 3 |
ESKAW |
| 13 |
SENSATIONAL TOY |
| |
Race
5-SCHWEPPES TONIC 1000
1000 METRES 01.15 P.M.
I like it when Hayes gives them a start and then puts them away. Good chance
here.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 9 |
SWIRLY DREAM |
| 2 |
SIMPLEST |
| 1 |
ALLERVITE |
| 7 |
REGALIO |
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Race 6-THE
LEXUS STAKES
1400 METRES 02.00 P.M.
Good luck. I've taken a shine to this horse. Beaten fave last start, expect
it to go well.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 12 |
BULLETIN |
| 7 |
PLEASANTSUNDAYGIRL |
| 3 |
BELCENTRA |
| 1 |
PRESS THE BUTTON |
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Race 7-EMIRATES
MELBOURNE CUP
3200 METRES 03.00 P.M.
Have really liked Master O'Reilly all year, no horse has had better form.
But, I'm switching at the last moment to Zipping as I think they have him
primed for this one.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 9 |
ZIPPING |
| 11 |
MASTER O'REILLY |
| 7 |
MAYBE BETTER |
| 12 |
PURPLE MOON |
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Race 8-HONG
KONG JOCKEY CLUB STAKES
1800 METRES 03.50 P.M.
Fire in the Night is in great form and looks a great chance to continue its
winning streak here.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 5 |
FIRE IN THE NIGHT |
| 6 |
BLAHNIK |
| 1 |
MOLOTOV |
| 2 |
FLASH TRICK |
| |
Race 9-JAYCO
SPRINT
1200 METRES 04.35 P.M.
It's won four in a row and I cant see why this wont be number five.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 13 |
SANJUAN |
| 7 |
RUBITON RAIDER |
| 5 |
PUBLISHING |
| 4 |
APPLE LODE |
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Race 10-CHUBB
PLATE
1400 METRES 05.20 P.M.
You might need some luck in this one. Liked Scenic Silver's win first up. Up
in class but is a definite chance.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 8 |
SCENIC SILVER |
| 1 |
TEARS I CRY |
| 7 |
ESCADAIRE |
| 14 |
STRADDLE |
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FLEMINGTON $50 FLEXI QUADDIE
(23.15 %) |
| LEG 1 - RACE 7 |
4, 6, 9, 11, 12, 15 |
| LEG 2 - RACE 8 |
1, 4, 5 |
| LEG 3 - RACE 9 |
7, 12, 13 |
| LEG 4 - RACE 10 |
1, 8, 9, 13 |
|
FLEMINGTON BEST BET |
| RACE 5 |
9 -
SWIRLY DREAM |
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DERBY DAY, SATURDAY NOV 3 |
*All
recommendations are based on a track rating no worse than dead.
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Race 3-SAAB
QUALITY
2500 METRES 11.55 A.M.
The top weight could be a silly price and well worth and each-way nibble.
But The Fuzz could be just too good for these.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 5 |
THE FUZZ  1st@1.50 |
| 8 |
ZAVITE |
| 11 |
PACINO |
| 1 |
BLACK TOM |
| |
Race 4-LONGINES
WAKEFUL STAKES
2000 METRES 12.40 P.M.
Serious Speed demolished them in the Guineas and should do it again.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 1 |
SERIOUS SPEED |
| 5 |
ABSOLUT GLAM |
| 4 |
RIVA SAN 2nd@3.60 |
| 9 |
DIANA'S SECRET |
| |
Race 5-COOLMORE
STUD STAKES
1200 METRES 01.25 P.M.
I cant back the toppie at the price but it should win. Its an afterthought
race, where as the nine could be huge each-way value.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 1 |
WK HUSSLER1st@1.60 |
| 7 |
ROYAL ASSCHER |
| 2 |
SCENIC BLAST 3rd@2.00 |
| 9 |
BEL MER 2nd
at 3.60 |
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Race 6-
MACKINNON STAKES
2000 METRES 02.10 P.M.
This is a really tough race. The race is an afterthought for some.
Scenic Shot could again represent great value. |
SELECTIONS |
| 10 |
HARADASUN |
| 14 |
DEVIL MOON |
| 7 |
SCENIC SHOT |
| 4 |
ZIPPING 3rd@3.10 |
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Race 7-AAMI
VICTORIA DERBY
2500 METRES 03.00 P.M.
Marching should win for mine. A standout for the quaddie.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 1 |
MARCHING 3rd@1.40 |
| 4 |
KIBBUTZ 1st@4.80 |
| 5 |
STOCKADE |
| 6 |
HUSONIC |
| |
Race 8-MYER
CLASSIC
1600 METRES 03.45 P.M.
Can't take the shorts about the one personally, but have to rate it on top.
I'll be taking the 12 each-way. |
SELECTIONS |
| 1 |
DIVINE MADONNA1st@1.8 |
| 4 |
LIKE IT IS |
| 6 |
BELLINI ROSE |
| 12 |
BROLAGO |
| |
Race 9-SEPPELT
SALINGER STAKES
1200 METRES 04.30 P.M.
Swick doesn't win out of turn but I like it today.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 8 |
SWICK 1st@8.80 |
| 3 |
STANZOUT |
| 2 |
TESBURY JACK |
| 4 |
GR IS GREAT2nd@10.70 |
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Race
10-ELLERSTON CAPITAL STAKES
1400 METRES 05.15 P.M.
The two has a great trainer, best jockey, perfect draw - suited all day.
I'll be having some of this at the early prices.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 2 |
VALEDICTUM |
| 7 |
SPIELMEISTER2nd@6.70 |
| 1 |
ROYAL IDA3rd@2.60 |
| 5 |
LORD OF THE DANCE |
| |
|
FLEMINGTON $50 FLEXI QUADDIE
(27.78 %) |
| LEG 1 - RACE 7 |
1 |
| LEG 2 - RACE 8 |
Field |
| LEG 3 - RACE 9 |
Field |
| LEG 4 - RACE 10 |
2 |
|
FLEMINGTON BEST BET |
| RACE 10 |
2 -
VALEDICTUM |
| |
Read comments under Race 10.
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COX PLATE DAY, SATURDAY OCT 27 |
| |
Race 5-INGLIS
MILE
1600 METRES 02.00 P.M.
Winning form is good form so this one will do me.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 3 |
POST THYME (SCR) |
| 8 |
BLESSED (SCR) |
| 9 |
AUTUMN JEUNEY1st@4.40 |
| 4 |
EL PAUJI |
| |
Race 6-AAMI VASE
2040 METRES 02.40 P.M.
Very difficult race. Marching could be Hawkes only big winner of the spring.
The nine is drawn really well and if it's form stands up could go close. |
SELECTIONS |
| 1 |
MARCHING1st@5.00 |
| 2 |
BARBARICUS3rd@1.70 |
| 3 |
DAVCON |
| 9 |
BEST BEWARE |
| |
Race
7-CATHAY PACIFIC AIRWAYS CUP
2500 METRES 03.20 P.M.
Leave me out of the favourite, it never wins out of turn. So looking for
value.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 13 |
REGGIE |
| 1 |
GALLIC1st@10.00 |
| 8 |
DRACS BACK |
| 5 |
SARRERA |
| |
Race
8-TATTERSALL'S COX PLATE
2040 METRES 04.05 P.M.
Have you got a dart? That might work as its a very even Cox Plate. If the
old Marasco shows up, he will win. At 14/1 looks huge value. |
SELECTIONS |
| 4 |
MARASCO |
| 6 |
HARADASUN 3rd@2.00 |
| 11 |
MISS FINLAND |
| 7 |
EFFICIENT |
| |
Race 9-JAYCO
CRYSTAL MILE
1600 METRES 04.50 P.M.
Another very tough race. If they are making up ground, then I like the 3. If
not, you pick.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 3 |
SONIC QUEST1st@3.40 |
| 12 |
TEARS I CRY3rd@6.30 |
| 8 |
PINNACLES |
| 7 |
MIND YOUR HEAD |
| |
Race 10-GOD'S
OWN PLATE
1200 METRES 05.40 P.M.
Top weight has a lot on the back but still might win. But we'll put in the
five as it seems like a pretty good horse.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 5 |
ZIP BABY ZIP |
| 1 |
BLESSED SUE |
| 8 |
PINTAKA |
| 9 |
SENSAT. TOY2nd@4.10 |
| |
|
MOONEE VALLEY$50 FLEXI QUADDIE (31.25%) |
| LEG 1 - RACE 7 |
1, 5, 8, 13 |
| LEG 2 - RACE 8 |
4, 5, 6, 7, 11 |
| LEG 3 - RACE 9 |
3, 7, 8, 12 |
| LEG 4 - RACE 10 |
1, 5 |
|
MOONEE VALLEY BEST BET |
| RACE 1 |
8 - KAPHERO 1st@5.30
(Top Fluc 5.50) |
| |
First race on a fresh track so
it should lead and I cant see them running it down.
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CAULFIELD CUP DAY, SATURDAY OCT
20 |
| |
Race 5 HARROLDS STAKES
1400 METRES 1.55
Like the toppy. When it finds form it usually holds it and is getting close
to a win.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 1 |
LIKE IT IS3rd@3.10 |
| 3 |
MISS JUDGEMENT |
| 13 |
GUILD |
| 11 |
SHE'S COMMANDING |
| |
Race 6 THAI AIRWAYS SPRINT
1100 METRES 2.35
Looking around the favourite again as he does not win out of turn. The 2 has
his hoof on the till.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 2 |
LET GO THOMMO3rd@Ev |
| 1 |
UNDUE |
| 5 |
MONET RULES |
| 11 |
TYPHOON ZED2nd@2.10 |
| |
Race 7 DAVID JONES CUP
2000 METRES 3.15
Difficult race. Looking for value.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 3 |
ON A JEUNE |
| 11 |
PACINO |
| 7 |
TRICK OF LIGHT |
| 4 |
SOULACROIX |
| |
Race 8
BMW CAULFIELD CUP
2400 METRES 4.00
If you like the favourite, back it. But it's too short for mine. Very
difficult race. Master O'Reilly is in great form. If they run along, he'll
be right in the finish. |
SELECTIONS |
| 18 |
MAST O'REILLY1st@5.20 |
| 11 |
SCENIC SHOT |
| 5 |
MAYBE BETTER |
| 8 |
MALDIVIAN |
| |
Race 9
JAYCO CUP
1400 METRES 4.45
Like the three here - each/way.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 3 |
ROMAN SQUIRE |
| 5 |
FAMILY GUY |
| 6 |
SHINZIG |
| 8 |
GUNFIRE MESSIAH |
| |
Race 10 THE AGE FILLIES & MARES PLT
1100 METRES 5.25
I like mares when they find form and this one has. Lightly raced will be
hard to beat.
|
SELECTIONS |
| 2 |
LA CHASSEUSE 1st@7.50 |
| 10 |
SPINNING LADY |
| 3 |
MISTAKE CREEK |
| 1 |
ZIPANESE3rd@2.60 |
| |
|
CAULFIELD $50 QUADDIE (50
CENT UNIT) |
| LEG 1 - RACE 7 |
3, 4, 5, 7, 11 |
| LEG 2 - RACE 8 |
5, 8, 9, 11, 18 |
| LEG 3 - RACE 9 |
3, 5, 6, 8 |
| LEG 4 - RACE 10 |
2 |
|
CAULFIELD BEST BET |
| RACE 10 |
2 - LA CHASSEUSE WINNER
AT 7.50 |
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