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Tuesday February 7, 2012 -



HORSE RACING

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THE PROFESSOR ON THE PUNT
MELBOURNE CUP DAY, TUESDAY NOV 4
 
Race 7-3:00 PM EST EMIRATES MELBOURNE CUP 3200 Metres

I know I'm favouring Europeans, but if
SEPTIMUS is as good as they say it should win. But be careful, as we've heard it all before.
SELECTIONS
1 SEPTIMUS
8 MAD RUSH
18 PROFOUND BEAUTY
5 NOM DU JEU
11 LITTORIO
 
Race 8-3:50 PM EST EMIRATES AIRLINE PLATE 1800 Metres

Looks a fairly average race, ELECTROMOTIVE has been racing well. THE WOLVERINE is coming back in the distance and should give this a shake.
SELECTIONS
8 ELECTROMOTIVE
11 THE WOLVERINE
15 GOD'S HAND
16 PACINO
 
Race 9-4:35 PM EST BLUE RIBBON FOUNDATION SPRINT 1200 Metres

Good luck here. I found this a hard one, but I've come up with these.
 
SELECTIONS
7 TOUR GUIDE
9 LET LOUSHE
10 SNORT
14 ANTIDOTES
 
Race 10-5:20 PM EST THE TAB.MOBI 1400 Metres

If you've seen
DAINTREE DUKE run, you'll be saving some money to have on it for the last.
SELECTIONS
4 DAINTREE DUKE
3 PROSPECT
6 DANZYLUM
2 PROSPECT
 
FLEMINGTON $50 FLEXI QUADDIE (15.63%)
LEG 1 - RACE 7 1, 5, 8, 11, 18
LEG 2 - RACE 8 8, 11, 15, 16
LEG 3 - RACE 9 7, 9, 10, 14
LEG 4 - RACE 10 3, 4, 6, 10
FLEMINGTON BEST BET
RACE 10 4 - DAINTREE DUKE
   
DERBY DAY, SATURDAY NOV 1
 
Race 5-1:25 PM EST COOLMORE STUD STAKES 1200 Metres

NORTHERN METEOR could well be the best sprinter in the land.
SELECTIONS
6 NORTHERN METEOR
3 WILANDER
1 VON COSTA DE HERO
2 ALL AMERICAN
 
Race 6-2:10 PM EST CROWN MACKINNON STAKES 2000 Metres

If PRINCESS COUP is ever going to win a Group One in Australia, this is going to be it.
SELECTIONS
12 PRINCESS COUP
7 LITTORIO
1 SIRMIONE
5 RAMPANT LION
 
Race 7-3:00 PM EST AAMI VICTORIA DERBY 2500 Metres

WHOBEGOTYOU will just win, its a lottery for the placings.
 
SELECTIONS
1 WHOBEGOTYOU
   
   
   
 
Race 8-3:45 PM EST MYER CLASSIC 1600 Metres

FORENSICS is a special, if SERIOUS SPEED has a good race today it will be ready for a win next week.
SELECTIONS
1 FORENSICS
4 SERIOUS SPEED
9 TAN TAT DE LAGO
16 ROSE OF CIMMARON
 
Race 9-4:30 PM EST SEPPELT SALINGER STAKES 1200 Metres

I think
SUNBURNT LAND is very good, but its worth noting that BON HOFFA at his best will beat these.
 
SELECTIONS
2 SUNBURNT LAND
8 HOT DANISH
3 SWICK
1 BON HOFFA
 
Race 10-5:15 PM EST AAMI INTERNATIONAL TRAVEL INSURANCE STAKES 1400 Metres

Looks a raffle. SNIPER'S BULLET is drawn wide but I expect him to run a very good race. PINNACLES should be spot on for this race - great each-way bet.
 
SELECTIONS
4 SNIPER'S BULLET
10 PINNACLES
2 EL CAMBIO
5 TEARS I CRY
 
FLEMINGTON $50 FLEXI QUADDIE (78.13%)
LEG 1 - RACE 7 1
LEG 2 - RACE 8 1, 4, 9, 16
LEG 3 - RACE 9 1, 2, 3, 8
LEG 4 - RACE 10 2, 4, 5, 10
FLEMINGTON BEST BET
RACE 8 1 - FORENSICS
   
COX PLATE DAY, SATURDAY OCT 25
 
Race 5-2:00 PM EST SCHWEPPES STAKES 1200 Metres

BEL MER will give you an honest run to the line. The LUCKY SECRET might throw it away again.
SELECTIONS
12 BEL MER
4 LUCKY SECRET
5 MONET RULES
2 TYPHOON ZED
 
Race 6-2:40 PM EST AAMI VASE 2040 Metres

This should just win. No real dangers. Big go for the EMPEROR BONAPARTE last start but it was a bit disappointing. Might be assisted by the camber here.
SELECTIONS
1 WHOBEGOTYOU
6 EMPEROR BONAPARTE
3 SOUSA
2 CARNERO
 
Race 7-3:20 PM EST CATHAY PACIFIC AIRWAYS CUP 2500 Metres

Good luck here. If
BAUGHURST runs up to its last start it should win this.
 
SELECTIONS
3 BAUGHURST
9 RIVA SAN
2 ICE CHARIOT
4 CEFALU
 
Race 8-4:05 PM EST TATTS COX PLATE 2040 Metres

Zipping is set for this race and I'm unsure about the favourites. ALAMOSA good win last start might have found the key. SAMANTHA MISS is a good filly but they just don't win. PRINCESS COUP unable to break through in Australia but should run well.
SELECTIONS
3 ZIPPING
7 ALAMOSA
12 SAMANTHA MISS
9 PRINCESS COUP
 
Race 9-4:50 PM EST JAYCO CRYSTAL MILE 1600 Metres

Open race and I'm looking for the value with the
NICONERO
 
SELECTIONS
1 NICONERO
2 ORANGE COUNTY
5 CONQUERING
6 SEA BATTLE
 
Race 10-5:35 PM EST INGLIS MILE 1600 Metres

As hard as Race Nine is this is even tougher. If the MISS BADOURA can get a soft lead it should win.
 
SELECTIONS
3 MISS BADOURA
5 GUILD
8 PRINCESS MARIZZA
9 BIRD OF FIRE
 
MOONEE VALLEY $50 FLEXI QUADDIE (19.53 %)
LEG 1 - RACE 7 3, 9, 2, 4
LEG 2 - RACE 8 3, 7, 12, 9
LEG 3 - RACE 9 1, 2, 5, 6
LEG 4 - RACE 10 3, 5, 8, 9
MOONEE VALLEY BEST BET
RACE 8 3 - ZIPPING (EACH-WAY)
   
CAULFIELD CUP DAY, SATURDAY OCT 18
 
Race 5-2:00 PM EST SEX AND THE CITY DVD CUP 1400 Metres

Snipers Bullet is just about a bet to nothing, super chance to run at least a place in this field. Each-way special
SELECTIONS
1 SNIPER'S BULLET
2 EL CAMBIO
13 CARGO CULT
6 MURTAJILL
 
Race 6-2:40 PM EST HARROLDS STAKES 1400 Metres

Open race. Stick with Ollie and what looks the class of the race.
SELECTIONS
2 SERIOUS SPEED
5 TAN TAT DE LAGO
9 BERNICIA
11 ABSOLUTELYFAB.
 
Race 7-3:20 PM EST DAVID JONES CUP 2000 Metres

I find this a very hard race, but bet if you must.
 
SELECTIONS
8 NEW SPICE
7 MUSKET
11 KINGDA KA
1 ALEXANDER OF HALES
 
Race 8-4:05 PM EST BMW CAULFIELD CUP 2400 Metres

Littorio had great run last start and comes into this race very well. He looks the value.
 
SELECTIONS
12 LITTORIO
16 RIVA SAN
3 MASTER O'REILLY
7 MAD RUSH
 
Race 9-4:50 PM EST THAI AIRWAYS INTERNATIONAL SPRINT 1100 Metres

Very even race. Diplomatic Force is very good fresh - looks great value. 
 
SELECTIONS
5 DIPLOMATIC FORCE
6 BLAHNIK
10 AICHI
11 RED ELEMENT
 
Race 10-5:30 PM EST PURE BLONDE PLATE1100 Metres

I think the 1 is too good for these, but need to find best form.
 
SELECTIONS
1 SOARESSA
2 AMBERINO
9 LA GOULUE
14 TONIC
 
CAULFIELD $50 FLEXI QUADDIE (18 %)
LEG 1 - RACE 7 1, 7, 8, 11
LEG 2 - RACE 8 3, 7, 12, 16
LEG 3 - RACE 9 5, 6, 10, 11
LEG 4 - RACE 10 1, 2, 9, 14
FLEMINGTON BEST BET
RACE 5 1 - SNIPER'S BULLET
   
MELBOURNE CUP DAY, TUESDAY NOV 6
 
Race 4-LIBERTY FINANCIAL STAKES
1400 METRES 12.30 P.M.

Very difficult race, and I'm looking for value. Ordinary draw but can win.
 
SELECTIONS
1 LAURA'S CHARM
2 BLESSED SUE
3 ESKAW
13 SENSATIONAL TOY
 
Race 5-SCHWEPPES TONIC 1000
1000 METRES 01.15 P.M.

I like it when Hayes gives them a start and then puts them away. Good chance here.
 
SELECTIONS
9 SWIRLY DREAM
2 SIMPLEST
1 ALLERVITE
7 REGALIO
 
Race 6-THE LEXUS STAKES
1400 METRES 02.00 P.M.

Good luck. I've taken a shine to this horse. Beaten fave last start, expect it to go well.
 
SELECTIONS
12 BULLETIN
7 PLEASANTSUNDAYGIRL
3 BELCENTRA
1 PRESS THE BUTTON
 
Race 7-EMIRATES MELBOURNE CUP
3200 METRES 03.00 P.M.

Have really liked Master O'Reilly all year, no horse has had better form.  But, I'm switching at the last moment to Zipping as I think they have him primed for this one.
 
SELECTIONS
9 ZIPPING
11 MASTER O'REILLY
7 MAYBE BETTER
12 PURPLE MOON
 
Race 8-HONG KONG JOCKEY CLUB STAKES
1800 METRES 03.50 P.M.

Fire in the Night is in great form and looks a great chance to continue its winning streak here.
 
SELECTIONS
5 FIRE IN THE NIGHT
6 BLAHNIK
1 MOLOTOV
2 FLASH TRICK
 
Race 9-JAYCO SPRINT
1200 METRES 04.35 P.M.

It's won four in a row and I cant see why this wont be number five.
 
SELECTIONS
13 SANJUAN
7 RUBITON RAIDER
5 PUBLISHING
4 APPLE LODE
 
Race 10-CHUBB PLATE
1400 METRES 05.20 P.M.

You might need some luck in this one. Liked Scenic Silver's win first up. Up in class but is a definite chance.
 
SELECTIONS
8 SCENIC SILVER
1 TEARS I CRY
7 ESCADAIRE
14 STRADDLE
 
FLEMINGTON $50 FLEXI QUADDIE (23.15 %)
LEG 1 - RACE 7 4, 6, 9, 11, 12, 15
LEG 2 - RACE 8 1, 4, 5
LEG 3 - RACE 9 7, 12, 13
LEG 4 - RACE 10 1, 8, 9, 13
FLEMINGTON BEST BET
RACE 5 9 - SWIRLY DREAM
   
DERBY DAY, SATURDAY NOV 3
*All recommendations are based on a track rating no worse than dead.
 
Race 3-SAAB QUALITY
2500 METRES 11.55 A.M.


The top weight could be a silly price and well worth and each-way nibble. But The Fuzz could be just too good for these.
 
SELECTIONS
5 THE FUZZ 1st@1.50
8 ZAVITE
11 PACINO
1 BLACK TOM
 
Race 4-LONGINES WAKEFUL STAKES
2000 METRES 12.40 P.M.


Serious Speed demolished them in the Guineas and should do it again.
 
SELECTIONS
1 SERIOUS SPEED
5 ABSOLUT GLAM
4 RIVA SAN 2nd@3.60
9 DIANA'S SECRET
 
Race 5-COOLMORE STUD STAKES
1200 METRES 01.25 P.M.


I cant back the toppie at the price but it should win. Its an afterthought race, where as the nine could be huge each-way value.
 
SELECTIONS
1 WK HUSSLER1st@1.60
7 ROYAL ASSCHER
2 SCENIC BLAST 3rd@2.00
9 BEL MER 2nd at 3.60
 
Race 6- MACKINNON STAKES
2000 METRES 02.10 P.M.


This is a really tough race. The  race is an afterthought for some. Scenic Shot could again represent great value. 
SELECTIONS
10 HARADASUN
14 DEVIL MOON
7 SCENIC SHOT
4 ZIPPING 3rd@3.10
 
Race 7-AAMI VICTORIA DERBY
2500 METRES 03.00 P.M.


Marching should win for mine. A standout for the quaddie.

 
SELECTIONS
1 MARCHING 3rd@1.40
4 KIBBUTZ 1st@4.80
5 STOCKADE
6 HUSONIC
 
Race 8-MYER CLASSIC
1600 METRES 03.45 P.M.


Can't take the shorts about the one personally, but have to rate it on top. I'll be taking the 12 each-way.
SELECTIONS
1 DIVINE MADONNA1st@1.8
4 LIKE IT IS
6 BELLINI ROSE
12 BROLAGO
 
Race 9-SEPPELT SALINGER STAKES
1200 METRES 04.30 P.M.


Swick doesn't win out of turn but I like it today.
 
SELECTIONS
8 SWICK 1st@8.80
3 STANZOUT
2 TESBURY JACK
4 GR IS GREAT2nd@10.70
 
Race 10-ELLERSTON CAPITAL STAKES
1400 METRES 05.15 P.M.

The two has a great trainer, best jockey, perfect draw - suited all day. I'll be having some of this at the early prices.
 
SELECTIONS
2 VALEDICTUM
7 SPIELMEISTER2nd@6.70
1 ROYAL IDA3rd@2.60
5 LORD OF THE DANCE
 
FLEMINGTON $50 FLEXI QUADDIE (27.78 %)
LEG 1 - RACE 7 1
LEG 2 - RACE 8 Field
LEG 3 - RACE 9 Field
LEG 4 - RACE 10 2
FLEMINGTON BEST BET
RACE 10 2 - VALEDICTUM
  Read comments under Race 10.
 
COX PLATE DAY, SATURDAY OCT 27
 
Race 5-INGLIS MILE
1600 METRES 02.00 P.M.


Winning form is good form so this one will do me.
 
SELECTIONS
3 POST THYME (SCR)
8 BLESSED (SCR)
9 AUTUMN JEUNEY1st@4.40
4 EL PAUJI
 
Race 6-AAMI VASE
2040 METRES 02.40 P.M.

Very difficult race. Marching could be Hawkes only big winner of the spring. The nine is drawn really well and if it's form stands up could go close.
SELECTIONS
1 MARCHING1st@5.00
2 BARBARICUS3rd@1.70
3 DAVCON
9 BEST BEWARE
 
Race 7-CATHAY PACIFIC AIRWAYS CUP
2500 METRES 03.20 P.M.

Leave me out of the favourite, it never wins out of turn. So looking for value.

 
SELECTIONS
13 REGGIE
1 GALLIC1st@10.00
8 DRACS BACK
5 SARRERA
 
Race 8-TATTERSALL'S COX PLATE
2040 METRES 04.05 P.M.


Have you got a dart? That might work as its a very even Cox Plate. If the old Marasco shows up, he will win. At 14/1 looks huge value.
SELECTIONS
4 MARASCO
6 HARADASUN 3rd@2.00
11 MISS FINLAND
7 EFFICIENT
 
Race 9-JAYCO CRYSTAL MILE
1600 METRES 04.50 P.M.


Another very tough race. If they are making up ground, then I like the 3. If not, you pick.
 
SELECTIONS
3 SONIC QUEST1st@3.40
12 TEARS I CRY3rd@6.30
8 PINNACLES
7 MIND YOUR HEAD
 
Race 10-GOD'S OWN PLATE
1200 METRES 05.40 P.M.


Top weight has a lot on the back but still might win. But we'll put in the five as it seems like a pretty good horse.
 
SELECTIONS
5 ZIP BABY ZIP
1 BLESSED SUE
8 PINTAKA
9 SENSAT. TOY2nd@4.10
 
MOONEE VALLEY$50 FLEXI QUADDIE (31.25%)
LEG 1 - RACE 7 1, 5, 8, 13
LEG 2 - RACE 8 4, 5, 6, 7, 11
LEG 3 - RACE 9 3, 7, 8, 12
LEG 4 - RACE 10 1, 5
MOONEE VALLEY BEST BET
RACE 1 8 - KAPHERO 1st@5.30 (Top Fluc 5.50)
  First race on a fresh track so it should lead and I cant see them running it down.
 
CAULFIELD CUP DAY, SATURDAY OCT 20
 
Race 5 HARROLDS STAKES
1400 METRES 1.55


Like the toppy. When it finds form it usually holds it and is getting close to a win.
 
SELECTIONS
1 LIKE IT IS3rd@3.10
3 MISS JUDGEMENT
13 GUILD
11 SHE'S COMMANDING
 
Race 6 THAI AIRWAYS SPRINT
1100 METRES 2.35

Looking around the favourite again as he does not win out of turn. The 2 has his hoof on the till.
 
SELECTIONS
2 LET GO THOMMO3rd@Ev
1 UNDUE
5 MONET RULES
11 TYPHOON ZED2nd@2.10
 
Race 7 DAVID JONES CUP
2000 METRES 3.15


Difficult race. Looking for value.

 
SELECTIONS
3 ON A JEUNE
11 PACINO
7 TRICK OF LIGHT
4 SOULACROIX
 
Race 8 BMW CAULFIELD CUP
2400 METRES 4.00

If you like the favourite, back it. But it's too short for mine. Very difficult race. Master O'Reilly is in great form. If they run along, he'll be right in the finish.
SELECTIONS
18 MAST O'REILLY1st@5.20
11 SCENIC SHOT
5 MAYBE BETTER
8 MALDIVIAN
 
Race 9 JAYCO CUP
1400 METRES 4.45

Like the three here - each/way.


 
SELECTIONS
3 ROMAN SQUIRE
5 FAMILY GUY
6 SHINZIG
8 GUNFIRE MESSIAH
 
Race 10 THE AGE FILLIES & MARES PLT
1100 METRES 5.25

I like mares when they find form and this one has. Lightly raced will be hard to beat.

 
SELECTIONS
2 LA CHASSEUSE 1st@7.50
10 SPINNING LADY
3 MISTAKE CREEK
1 ZIPANESE3rd@2.60
 
CAULFIELD $50 QUADDIE (50 CENT UNIT)
LEG 1 - RACE 7 3, 4, 5, 7, 11
LEG 2 - RACE 8 5, 8, 9, 11, 18
LEG 3 - RACE 9 3, 5, 6, 8
LEG 4 - RACE 10 2
CAULFIELD BEST BET
RACE 10 2 - LA CHASSEUSE WINNER AT 7.50
   


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