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TODAY ONTHEPUNT

	TENNIS
	Federer a good thing with Nadal out? Time will tell, but for the best daily Wimbledon picks, look no further than our guru.
	AFL
	Geelong a 10-point favourite against St Kilda in the most anticipated home and away match in history. Picks now up.
	NRL
	A host of tight betting clashes have punters splashing out in Round 17. Our guru looks to bounce back with his picks.
	GOLF
	Anthony Kim defends at Congressional while the European Tour heads to Paris for the French Open. Our guru posts.

FROM THE BOOKIE
Neil Evans sends through the latest news from Centrebet
The most recent happenings from the IAS Bet head office
All the latest from Glenn Munsie at the TAB - every Thurs
Gerard Daffy and the team at Sports Alive update you
Betfair update you on their most recent in-running action

Tabcorp pulls plug on Sport 927	The Age	3 Jul
TABCORP advises it's agents to switch off Sport927 in TAB's. Why? "Perhaps it's the fact that we are advertising Sportingbet on the station, I don't know."
Russians crack down on gambling	BBC News	1 Jul
"A new law has come into effect in Russia, confining gambling to four regions far from the capital Moscow."
Racing Victoria chief executive Rob Hines details growth	Herald Sun	30 Jun
Racing in Victoria said to be booming after a $19 million or 9% increase in from product fees from wagering operators after coming to terms on a profit-based model.
Short story on Betfair system is pure fiction	Guardian	30 Jun
Serial gambler Elliott Short made 20m on Betfair	N of the W	28 Jun
News of the World fall for a fake - "a reminder .. of the complete ignorance that persists in much of the mainstream media when it comes to the business of betting"
Glover backers in Ireland cash in after tip	Newsday	28 Jun
"...(When) Bob Bubka, a radio golf analyst from Long Island, predicted on Irish airwaves that Lucas Glover would win, it cost the bookies a fortune."
Bets unit in net war	People	28 Jun
"A nationwide (UK) sports anti-corruption squad is to be set up to police online betting. And cheats could face two years' jail - as will sports stars who throw games deliberately."
I'm not a gambling man, but I bet this one's a winner	Independent	28 Jun
"..A witty and perceptive study of how modern Ireland is in thrall to gambling is free of dogma."
Betfair takes a punt on US horseracing	The Times	26 Jun
"Betfair .. is gambling on an easing of regulations in the United States as it launches an ambitious push into the American horseracing market."
Italian betting seen up 8.6 pct in H1-report	Reuters	26 Jun
"Italy's gamblers wagered 26.114 billion euros ($36.38 billion) in the first six months of the year."
Probe into alleged scams in sports betting industry..	Courier Mail	25 Jun
"..Office of Fair Trading investigators are chasing millions of dollars lost by hundreds of punters through 30 so-called sporting arbitrage companies, mostly from the Gold Coast."
Undermanning undermines tennis' corruption unit	Guardian	25 Jun
Plenty of easy wins but no need for an inquiry	The Herald	25 Jun
Lengthy bans would deter match-fixing - Federer	Reuters	24 Jun
Wimbledon betting soars after mention of injury	AP	25 Jun
Betting on Match Raises Eyebrows	NYT	24 Jun
Online Action Alarms Betting Watchdogs	NYT	24 Jun
More on the non-fixed Wimbledon match between Odesnik & Melzer. If only there was this much in the media after some of the real fixes that have occurred on the ATP Tour over the past five years.
MORE IN THE PRESS


HOT OFF THE PRESS
The latest betting news, moves and markets from around the world From the OnThePunt.com Editorial Team
FOOTBALL 999/1 USA fall short 11:45 Monday 29 June	The USA fell at the final hurdle in their bid to cause arguably the biggest tournament upset in football history against Brazil in the final of the Confederations Cup tonight, having been backed at the maximum odds of 999-1 on betting exchange Betfair. And when they sensationally led 2-0 at half-time, they were 1-3 favourites on Betfair to win the Cup. More
RUGBY LEAGUE Origin II Update 19:13 Tuesday 23 June UPDATED	A TAB Sportsbet customer has placed some added pressure on both whistleblowers Shayne Hayne and Tony Archer along with video referees Bill Harrigon and Tim Mander in tomorrow night's Origin II by investing $700 on a "Penalty Try" being the first try scored in the match. The bet was placed by a Qld customer at the odds of 150/1 and will return $105,700 if that result occurs. In other Origin betting news today the largest bet taken on the match so far is $75,000 at 1.65 on Qld. NSW have some support with a bet of $30,000 on the Blues +12.5 at 1.38. Meanwhile yesterday, TAB Sportsbet accepted their biggest wager ever - a successful $800,000 punt on Roger Federer winning his first round Wimbledon match at 1.01. UPDATE (25th July): The hold not as big as Game 1 but TAB Sportsbet report that $4.48m was bet on Game 2 which represented a 22.2% increase on last year. This takes the total Origin hold so far to $9.57m with one match remaining. Interest is still high with over 172,000 individual bets taken which is up 26.6% on Game 2 last year. NSW interest has been incredible with the holds up 34.5% and tickets up 28.3% from Game 2 last year. Interstate (non NSW) customers have had a big Origin so far with winning results (for them) on both matches following Qld victories. NSW were the subject of a huge plunge yesterday firming up from 2.40 to 2.10 by game time with Qld drifiting from 1.55 to 1.73.
TENNIS Firm pays out on Federer - before a ball is served 02:06 Monday 22 June	Following in the footsteps of their new majority owners Paddy Power, Sportsbet have announced an early "PR" payment on Roger Federer winning Wimbledon. The move is costing the company in excess of a "five-figure" sum. “With Nadal’s withdrawal, we are so sure that the Swiss master will take out this tournament that we don’t see any point waiting for the final result. We expect Federer to land his historic 15th grand slam tournament to make him the most successful tennis player ever, potentially without dropping a set” said Matt Tripp, CEO of Sportsbet. The move follows yesterdays announcement that the company would refund all monies wagered on Rafael Nadal after he withdrew from the tournament due to a knee injury. On the tournament eve, Federer is trading at 1.91 with Betfair. Andy Murray is a clear-cut second fave at 3.90 with Novak Djokovic at 16.50.
GENERAL Friday Briefs 13:13 Friday 19 June	AFL: TAB Sportsbet have trimmed Melbourne 4.50 into 4.00 today after accepting a $50,000 wager. Sportingbet Australia still offer 4.40 about Melbourne, while Paddy Power and Stan James offer a best-priced 1.29 Essendon in tonight's match at Docklands. TENNIS: Rafael Nadal's Wimbledon price is out to 10.00 at Betfair after he lost an exhibition match to Lleyton Hewitt. He has traded as low as 2.52 and as high as 19.50. Uncle Toni was quoted as saying, "At the moment it's very difficult to play at Wimbledon, his knees are not good, he cannot bend. This is his first match, we wait." Roger Federer is trading at 2.00 to win back-to-back slam titles.
FOOTBALL Man Utd drift on Ronaldo exit 04:03 Friday 12 June	Cristiano Ronaldo's move to Real Madrid has had a major impact on the football betting markets for next season. Manchester United drifted out to 9-4 on Betfair to win the 2009-10 Premiership as the news broke today (they have been backed as low as 11-8) and are currently trading at 21-10. United have also drifted to 13-2 to win the Champions League. And Real Madrid are into 11-2 second favourites for that competition, having been matched as high as 16/1.
TENNIS Nadal uncertainty 12:33 Wednesday 10 June	As speculation mounted that Rafael Nadal was about to announce that he was pulling out of Wimbledon, the Spaniard was a bit vague as to how his prospects are. "I will give 200% to be at 100% for the most important date in world tennis. I will not go out and play on any court, let alone Centre Court at Wimbledon, if I am not 100%," Nadal said. Betfair report: A few weeks back when all was rosy in the Nadal garden, the defending champion traded at just 2.50 to successfully defend his title. As Federer comprehensively beat Nadal's conqueror in the final of the French Open on Sunday afternoon and the extent of Nadal's injury was unknown, the world number one was trading at 6.00 for a repeat of Wimbledon glory. But as speculation grew this afternoon that his injury would keep him out of the tournament altogether, he drifted to odds of 18.00 with over £5,000 traded at 11.00. Nadal is now back into odds of 5.30 as fans, punters and his rivals wait with baited breath for him to make a final decision about whether he's fit to play after all. Roger Federer is the clear favourite at 2.30 to win the Wimbledon crown he lost in such dramatic circumstances last year with Andy Murray next in the betting at 6.80.
GENERAL Weekend winners...and losers 20:13 Sunday 7 June	A TAB Sportsbet punter has taken away over $65,000 from a $150 multi bet on the weekend AFL action. The client picked the correct 20-point margin in four games - Carlton 1-19 at 5.00, Port 20-39 at 4.25, St.Kilda 40-59 at 4.25 and Adelaide 1-19 at 4.50. The bet was $150 at 446/1 (after 10% bonus) for a collect of $67,050. Other weekend action from TAB Sportsbet follows... Sport Amount Selection Price W/L Tennis $ 50,000.00 Kuznetsova $ 3.00 Won Soccer $ 91,500.00 Belarus $ 1.05 Won AFL $ 20,000.00 Fremantle +26.5 $ 2.10 Lost AFL $ 20,000.00 Fremantle +15.5 $ 3.00 Lost NRL $ 15,000.00 Manly -10.5 $ 1.80 Won NRL $ 20,000.00 Nth Qld -8.5 $ 1.90 Won NRL $ 20,000.00 Nth Qld 13+ $ 2.35 Won NRL $ 2,000.00 M Robertson Last Try $ 13.00 Won NRL $ 3,000.00 John Williams First Try $ 13.00 Won AFL $ 10,000.00 Nth Melb 1st to 25 $ 4.25 Won AFL $ 20,000.00 Nth Melb +15.5 $ 5.00 Lost AFL $ 30,000.00 Nth Melb +39.5 $ 1.95 Lost AFL $ 50,000.00 Sydney $ 3.00 NRL $ 40,000.00 Warriors $ 1.70 Lost AFL $ 30,000.00 West Coast +39.5 $ 2.05 Won AFL $ 20,000.00 West Coast +15.5 $ 5.00 Lost AFL $ 10,000.00 West Coast 1st to 25 $ 4.25 Lost
GENERAL Sportsbet to takeover IASBet 23:12 Wednesday 3 June	A new goliath has emerged from the consolidation in the Australian sports betting industry. Sportsbet (51% owned by Paddy Power) has agreed to acquire International All Sports Limited (IAS Bet), the company which was the target of a failed takeover attempt earlier this year by rival Centrebet. The Sportsbet cash offer is valued at 0.60 per share, 10 cents about the previous closing price. Centrebet were offering between 0.28 and 0.33 per share in their offer. Mark Read and the IAS Bet board have unanimously recomended to their shareholders that the transaction proceed subject to any new offer. It is antipated that the takeover will be finalised within 3-4 months. Whether punters have anything to gain from the takeover remains uncertain. What is certain is that bookmakers across Australia are increasingly cutting off winning punters and introducing a strategy of only welcoming losers. Good for business maybe, but reduced competition is unlikely to change this trend.
TENNIS Nadal loses first match at Roland Garros 02:12 Monday 1 June	Swede Robin Soderling has done the impossible and become the first player to defeat four-time champ Rafael Nadal at the French Open. The clay-king Nadal had won his last 32 sets in a row at Roland Garros and had never even been pushed to five sets in his 31-0 run at the venue. But all that changed on Sunday. Nadal started the match as a best-priced 1.02 (1/50) with traditional bookies. Soderling was 33.50 at Pinnacle but as much as 48.00 (47/1) was traded pre-match at Betfair. Over $500,000 was matched on Nadal at 1.02 and a further $2.3 million at 1.03. All up, $12.18 million of the $36 million traded on the encounter was matched on Nadal between 1.02 and 1.10. Punters at Betfair weren't giving up on Nadal in a hurry. When he broke Soderling early in the fourth set while down 2 sets to 1, he was into 1.22 with Soderling out to 5.30. At 3-all when Soderling broke back it was 1.65/2.50 and entering the 4th set breaker it was 1.69/2.42. Even after losing the opening point on his serve in the breaker, Nadal was still a 1.83 favourite to win the match. The rest is history as Soderling raced to a 6-1 lead before winning the breaker. Roger Federer is now a 2.40 title fave at Betfair after previously trading as high as 16.50.
GENERAL Paddy's buy into Oz 18:31 Thursday 14 May	Paddy Power's often-rumoured expansion into the Australian sports betting market has finally eventuated after the Irish firm purchased a majority 51% stake in Matt Tripp's Sportsbet. The deal is expected to fetch Sportsbet founders a windfall in excess of $58 million. Paddy Power has agreed to pay $48.5 million upfront for their 51% stake, plus an extra $10 million should 2009 performance targets be met. Paddy Power will also have the option to acquire the remaining 49% holding in 2012-13. Matthew Tripp will remain as CEO. After the purchase, Paddy's also now have a relevant 20% interest in another Northern-Territory based operation, IAS Bet. Sportsbet expects to turnover $956 million in the year ending June 2009. Sportsbet Acquisition Presentation (Paddy Power)

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