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FRIDAY JULY 4, 2008

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Sports Punters,

For those of you who read this enlightening article during the week, one might be tempted to throw in the sports betting and head for your nearest warm and cozy pokie parlor! But fear not, as usual there is a host of sports and racing activity is on the menu for you this weekend.

Our highly respected AFL & NRL analysts provide their previews and plays for the weekend. Why pay for substandard tips at other websites when the best analysis is at OnThePunt, and it's all FREE!

Good Luck and happy punting! - OTP Editor


AFL - ROUND FOURTEEN

Adelaide have been specked at the line (+26.5 into +23.5) ahead of tonight's clash with Premiership favourites Geelong. Sportsbet are still out at a best 4.50 about Adelaide while Pinnacle offer 1.27 Geelong. (Prices correct at 1245 AEST)

Lasseters boss Gerard Daffy says: "Adelaide will be without veteran mid-fielder Andrew McLeod for their clash with Geelong, and while the Crows hold an impressive 8-2 win rate against the Cats at AAMI Stadium, the recent form of the two sides suggests that the Cats deserve to be the 1.20 shots that they are. We have noticed a lot of little bets for the Crows who have firmed from 5.00 into 4.60, but once the handicap of 25 points start to Adelaide was opened, we immediately took a bet of $3000 for Geelong."

WHERE THE MONEY'S GOING AT TAB SPORTSBET

$11,000 @ $1.90 ON ADELAIDE +26.5 V GEELONG
$6,750 @ $1.85 ON ADELAIDE +26.5 V GEELONG
$5,500 @ $1.90 ON ADELAIDE +26.5 V GEELONG
$4,400 @ $5.00 ON ADELAIDE V GEELONG
$4,000 @ $1.90 ON ADELAIDE +26.5 V GEELONG

Our AFL Guru says:

Adelaide vs Geelong, 20:10 tonight: "Adelaide has included Massie and Symes for the injured McLeod and dropped Jericho. Geelong welcomes back Scarlett and Stokes for Taylor and Prismall. Adelaide is coming off consecutive losses against Hawks at AAMI and Brisbane at the Gabba last round. The Crows has won 6 from its 7 games at AAMI in 2008 with the only loss being to the Hawks in round 12. Geelong is in awesome form but this game might be a little closer than what most people think....."  Check his tip here.

Adelaide vs Geelong at AAMI Stadium on Fri Jul 04 20:10 (AFL : Round 14)
Bookmaker Adelaide Line Geelong Line
Blue Square (UK) 4.00 (+22.5) 1.91 1.22 (-22.5) 1.91
Pinnacle (C'Bean) 4.25 (+22.5) 1.95 1.27 (-22.5) 1.95
Sportsbet (NT) 4.50 (+23.5) 1.92 1.23 (-23.5) 1.92
RacingOdds (NSW) 4.40 (+23.5) 1.93 1.23 (-23.5) 1.93
Sports Acumen (ACT) 4.40 (+22.5) 1.91 1.23 (-22.5) 1.91
Domebet (Vic) 4.40 (+23.5) 1.93 1.23 (-23.5) 1.91
Global (Vic) 4.40 (+22.5) 1.91 1.23 (-22.5) 1.91
Centrebet (NT) 4.20 (+22.5) 1.91 1.24 (-22.5) 1.91
Sportingbet Australia (NT) 4.30 (+23.5) 1.91 1.23 (-23.5) 1.91
Flem Sportsbet (Vic) 4.30 (+22.5) 1.91 1.23 (-22.5) 1.91
Canbet (NT) 4.25 (+22.0) 1.91 1.23 (-22.0) 1.91
Canbet (UK) 4.25 (+22.0) 1.91 1.23 (-22.0) 1.91
Dialabet (VU) 4.25 (+22.5) 1.91 1.23 (-22.5) 1.91
IAS Bet (NT) 4.25 (+22.0) 1.91 1.23 (-22.0) 1.91
TheGreek (C'bean) 4.00 (+22.5) 1.91 1.25 (-22.5) 1.91
Betfair (TAS) 4.52 (+26.5) 1.70 1.25 (-26.5) 2.10
BetEzy (NT) 4.01 (+26.5) 1.78 1.23 (-26.5) 2.06
TAB (Vic) 4.00 (+26.5) 1.77 1.23 (-26.5) 2.05

NRL - ROUND SEVENTEEN

Manly are all the rage to get past an injury-ravaged Titans tonight. The line has moved from -6.5 to -10.5 with Scott Price missing. The Titans are out to a juicy 4.00 (Sports Acumen) while Bet365 are asleep with 1.33 Manly - just don't expect to get on for much! (Prices correct at 1245 AEST)

Lasseters boss Gerard Daffy says: "Things return to some normality now, although the Gold Coast Titans now face an uphill battle to make the finals. They were going along nicely until the Origin series began, but a couple of narrow losses, and now with Scott Prince out for several weeks, all of a sudden the Titans have blown from 11.00 out to 34.00 to win the title. Given that the Melbourne Storm have had nine players (and a coach) tied up for the past eight weeks, they have emerged from the SOO series relatively unscathed, and that is probably why we took close to $13,000 in bets for the Storm to go top last week at 2.90. They are now 2.50, and while they may struggle to finish with the minor premiership, they are clearly the standout side of the competition, and look the goods to go back to back."

WHERE THE MONEY'S GOING AT TAB SPORTSBET

$140,000 @ $1.47 ON MANLY/MELBOURNE MULTI
$30,000 @ $1.70 ON SOUTHS V BULLDOGS
$20,000 @ $1.90 ON SOUTHS -2.5 V BULLDOGS
$15,000 @ $1.85 ON MANLY -7.5 V GOLD COAST
$10,000 @ $1.85 ON SOUTHS -2.5 V BULLDOGS
$10,000 @ $1.90 ON MANLY -7.5 V GOLD COAST

Our NRL Guru says:

Titans vs Sea Eagles, 19:45 tonight: "Manly continued their impressive form last week with a comfortable win over Newcastle, and will take the field in this match with close to their strongest side named, and the momentum of four consecutive wins behind them. The Titans showed plenty of guts last week but Manly are more persistent across the park in both attack and defence than St George, and are consistent with the high tempo they bring to each match, and I believe...."  Check his tip here.


For all the latest sports betting news, market comparisons and analysis, don't forget to check out our website - www.onthepunt.com. Please direct any questions or comments about OnThePunt to the Editor.

Good Luck Punting
Editor

 
 


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