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Thursday July 24, 2008 -



NFL PREVIEWS/PLAYS
...... with the 'Sixth Sense' from
SixthSenseSports

SEASON 2007-8
Updated 7:58 PM AEST, Saturday 2 February

NFL SUPERBOWL
2% NY GIANTS +12
League averages for comparison to the stats that will be listed below.
 
Average Points Scored 22.0
Yards Per Rush (YPR) 4.0
Yards Per Pass (YPS) 6.0
Yards Per Play (YPPL) 5.2
 
Home team in caps. All records against the spread unless otherwise noted.
 
New England –12 NY Giants 54
 
Giants come in playing their best ball of the season, winning three straight road games against some very solid teams – Tampa Bay, Dallas and Green Bay. They won those games scoring at least 21 points in each game and allowing just 14, 17 and 20. While they allowed GB to score 20 points, seven came on a broken play 90 yard touchdown pass. Otherwise, they stuffed GB pretty good in that game. The Patriots won but didn’t come close to covering and struggled over their last five games, failing to cover any of them and not covering seven of their last eight games. This means NE comes into the SB having not covered their last three games. I would give you the numbers on past teams that have done this but nobody has done this going back to 1983. In fact no teams have entered the SB having not covered their last two games. NE was asked to cover large lines, which didn’t help them to cover those games but they are being asked to do the same thing here.
 
The Patriots average 6.2yppl against 5.2yppl and allow 4.9yppl against 5.1yppl. The Giants average 5.1yppl against 5.2yppl and allow 5.0yppl against 5.3yppl. The Giants defense is better than NE but, of course, their offense isn’t close to what NE has. During the playoffs the Giants have averaged 23 points per game against teams allowing 19 points per game on the season and they allowed 17 points per game against teams averaging 26 points per game. NE averaged 26 points per game against teams allowing 18 points per game and allowed 16 points per game against teams averaging 26 points per game. That translates to a final score of about 21-16 in favor of NE. If I use just the regular season numbers, they favor NE by a score of 37-20. If I look at the games where each team played a better than average team, which consists of San Diego, Indianapolis, Jacksonville, NY Giants, New England, Dallas and Green Bay, I get a final score of 32-23 in favor of New England. My power ratings favor NE by just 6.5 points.
 
I don’t have any situations favoring either team in this game. If the line were to drop to –10 or better for NE, they would qualify in a solid situation. I am going to lean to the Giants in this game based on the numbers, a solid defense for the Giants, they are playing extremely well, NE isn’t showing any ability to cover games right now and the Giants can keep games close with their running game, assuming they don’t get blown out of the game early on. I will also lean towards the under in the game. If this were just another regular season game, I probably wouldn’t even have a play on this game but it is the last game and I feel strong enough about the Giants to play a little in this situation. NEW ENGLAND 30 NY GIANTS 23
 
BEST BETS
 
YTD 47-36-5 +21.50%
 
Playoffs
 
YTD 6-5 +1.90%
 
2% NY GIANTS +12

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MARKET WATCH
.
2008 US OPEN TENNIS
Roger Federer YES 2.40
Roger Federer NO 1.63
Rafael Nadal YES 3.34
Rafael Nadal NO 1.36
N Djokovic YES 5.16
N Djokovic NO 1.19

MARKET: PINNACLE SPORTS

.
FUTURES

 




AFL

 

TO MAKE TOP EIGHT
AFTER ROUND 15

Brisbane 1.31

St Kilda 1.40

Adelaide 1.50

Kangaroos 2.45

Richmond 3.30

Carlton 5.25
Essendon 6.00

(At Pinnacle)

 

TO MAKE GRAND FINAL
AFTER ROUND 15

Geelong 1.40
Hawthorn 2.50
Western Bulldogs 2.50
Collingwood 3.50
Sydney 7.00
St Kilda 12.00
Brisbane 16.00
Adelaide 26.00
Kangaroos 34.00
Carlton 41.00
Essendon 41.00
Richmond 41.00
(At
Sportsbet)

 



FUTURES


BEIJING
2008

 

MEN 100M FREE GOLD

Bernard (France) 2.25
Sullivan (Australia) 2.35
Lezak (USA) 7.00
Weber-Gale (USA) 11.00
Magnini (Italy) 13.00

(At Sportsbet)
 

MEN 100M SPRINT GOLD
Bolt (Jamaica) 2.25
Tyson Gay (USA) 2.75
Powell (Jamaica) 4.80
Atkins (Bahamas) 15.00
Walter Dix (USA) 34.00
(At
Sportsbet)

 

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QUICK QUOTES
 
PREMIER LEAGUE 09
Man Utd 2.25
Chelsea 2.88
Arsenal 6.00
Liverpool 8.00
Tottenham 67.00
(At Paddy Power)
.
US OPEN 2008
Roger Federer 2.20
Rafael Nadal 3.50
Novak Djokovic 3.50
Andy Murray 17.00
Andy Roddick 26.00
(At Victor Chandler)

 

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