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OTP's rugby league expert provides his weekly analysis

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NRL GRAND FINAL
Date Match Venue AEST
Sun 5 Oct Storm vs Sea Eagles ANZ Stadium 17.00
 
GRAND FINAL 

$14,000 @ $2.10 ON MELBOURNE

FINALS WEEK THREE 

$250,000 @ $1.42 ON MANLY V WARRIORS
$45,000 @ $1.65 ON MELBOURNE V CRONULLA
$15,000 @ $1.50 ON MELBOURNE V CRONULLA
$10,000 @ $1.65 ON MELBOURNE V CRONULLA
$8,000 @ $2.35 ON CRONULLA V MELBOURNE
$8,000 @ $2.30 ON CRONULLA V MELBOURNE
$5,000 @ $1.50 ON MELBOURNE V CRONULLA
$5,000 @ $1.95 ON MELBOURNE -4.5 V CRONULLA

$9,000 @ $2.15 ON MELBOURNE TO WIN PREMIERSHIP
$6,000 @ $5.00 ON CRONULLA TO WIN PREMIERSHIP
$3,200 @ $2.65 ON MANLY TO WIN PREMIERSHIP
$2,000 @ $6.50 ON CRONULLA TO WIN PREMIERSHIP
$2,000 @ $6.00 ON CRONULLA TO WIN PREMIERSHIP

FINALS WEEK TWO

$8,200 @ $1.60 ON WARRIORS V SYDNEY ROOSTERS
$7,800 @ $1.55 ON MELBOURNE V BRISBANE
$6,000 @ $1.60 ON WARRIORS V SYDNEY ROOSTERS
$5,000 @ $3.00 ON BRISBANE SCORES 0-10 POINTS V MELBOURNE
$5,000 @ $3.61 ON WARRIORS –3.5/MELB –4.5 MULTI
$4,000 @ $2.90 ON MELBOURNE 13+ V BRISBANE
$4,000 @ $1.55 ON MELBOURNE V BRISBANE
$4,000 @ $1.90 ON MELBOURNE –4.5 V BRISBANE

$20,000 @ $3.79 ON MANLY/GEELONG NRL/AFL PREM DOUBLE
$6,000 @ $6.50 ON CRONULLA TO WIN PREMIERSHIP
$3,000 @ $15.00 ON WARRIORS TO WIN PREMIERSHIP
$1,000 @ $15.00 ON WARRIORS TO WIN PREMIERSHIP

FINALS WEEK ONE

$22,000 @ $1.90 ON WARRIORS +16.5 V MELBOURNE
$20,000 @ $1.90 ON CRONULLA -7.5 V CANBERRA
$15,000 @ $1.90 ON CRONULLA -7.5 V CANBERRA
$10,000 @ $1.50 ON CRONULLA V CANBERRA
$10,000 @ $1.50 ON CRONULLA V CANBERRA
$10,000 @ $2.75 ON WARRIORS SCORING 0-10 POINTS V MELB
$8,000 @ $1.50 ON CRONULLA V CANBERRA
$8,000 @ $1.90 ON BRISBANE -3.5 V SYDNEY ROOSTERS
$6,560 @ $1.62 ON MANLY/MELBOURNE MULTI
$6,500 @ $1.60 ON MELB 13+ V WARRIORS
$6,000 @ $1.45 ON CRONULLA V CANBERRA
$5,500 @ $1.70 ON BRISBANE V SYDNEY ROOSTERS
$5,000 @ $1.65 ON BRISBANE V SYDNEY ROOSTERS
$5,000 @ $1.40 ON MANLY V ST GEO ILLAWARRA
$5,000 @ $1.90 ON WARRIORS +16.5 V MELBOURNE

$18,000 @ $5.00 ON MANLY TO WIN NRL PREMIERSHIP
$4,000 @ $1.75 ON MELB TO WIN NRL PREMIERSHIP

SEASON 2008

$10,000 @ $1.85 ON NEWCASTLE TO MAKE FINAL 8
$5,000 @ $1.85 ON WARRIORS TO MISS FINAL 8
$3,000 @ $15 ON ST GEO ILLAWARRA TO WIN PREMIERSHIP
$2,200 @ $15 ON SYDNEY ROOSTERS TO WIN PREMIERSHIP
$2,000 @ $15 ON ST GEO ILLAWARRA TO WIN PREMIERSHIP
$12,000 @ $6.50 ON MANLY TO WIN PREMIERSHIP
$8,000 @ $5.50 ON MANLY TO BE MINOR PREMIERS
$4,000 @ $2.80 ON NTH QLD TO WIN WOODEN SPOON
$3,000 @ $17 ON CRONULLA TO WIN PREMIERSHIP
$3,000 @ $17 ON CRONULLA TO WIN PREMIERSHIP
$3,500 @ $34 ON WESTS TIGERS TO WIN NRL PREMIERSHIP
$1,000 @ $101 ON CRONULLA/WESTS TIGERS PREM QUINELLA
$500 @ $220 ON CRONULLA/WESTS TIGERS PREM QUINELLA
$15,000 @ $1.65 ON NTH QLD TO WIN WOODEN SPOON
$1,000 @ $377 ON CRON/WTIGERS NRL PREM QUINELLA
$10,000 @ $3.57 ON MELB/GEELONG NRL/AFL PREM DOUBLE
$1,000 @ $101 ON WARRIORS TO WIN PREMIERSHIP
$10,000 @ $2.65 ON MELBOURNE TO WIN PREMIERSHIP
$45,000 @ $2.10 ON PARRAMATTA TO MAKE FINAL 8
$5,000 @ $2.20 ON ST GEO ILL TO MAKE TOP 8
$8,200 @ $2.20 ON SOUTHS TO WIN WOODEN SPOON
$6,000 @ $2.40 ON SOUTHS TO WIN WOODEN SPOON
$6,000 @ $2.50 ON MELBOURNE TO WIN MINOR PREMIERSHIP
$2,000 @ $41 ON SOUTHS NOT TO WIN IN 2008
$500 @ $34 ON SOUTHS NOT TO WIN IN 2008
$200 @ $151 ON CRONULLA TO WIN WOODEN SPOON
$7,000 @ $13 ON SOUTHS TO MAKE FINAL 8
$1,000 @ $81 ON SOUTHS TO WIN PREMIERSHIP
$3,000 @ $6.00 ON BRISBANE TO WIN PREMIERSHIP
$1,200 @ $21 ON BULLDOGS TO WIN PREMIERSHIP
$5000 @ $96 ON SYD RSTERS/C’WOOD NRL/AFL PREM MULTI
$13,000 @ $1.38 ON NEWCASTLE TO MISS TOP 8
$10,000 @ $5.50 ON SOUTHS TO FINISH TOP 4 (RDS 1-26)
$10,000 @ $1.30 ON PARRAMATTA TO MAKE TOP 8
$3,000 @ $31 ON PARRA/NTH QLD GRAND FINAL QUINELLA

 
Thursday 2nd October

Melbourne and Manly will battle it out for rugby league supremacy on Sunday evening, and while Melbourne were competition favourites for most of 2008, it is the Sea Eagles who will go in as public elects.

The media circus that has surrounded the suspension of Cameron Smith seems to have turned punters away from the Storm as there has been little or no interest in them this week. The opening prices saw Melbourne at 2.00 with Manly at 1.80, but constant support (including two $5000 bets) has seen the price for Manly cut to 1.75.

Manly are a side that most league supporters despise (unless of course you follow them), but it seems as though there is a strong 'anti Melbourne' feeling out there, and that is being felt in the betting ring. Melbourne did a mighty job of disposing of the Sharks last week, and it was Cooper Cronk who stepped up to the plate.

Our league analyst thinks there is nothing between these two sides, so we will be taking the Sea Eagles on. All of the normal betting options (as well as several more) will be available, and the most popular of those is always the Clive Churchill Medal. Punters normally latch on to the backs, but they haven't always been the winners of this prestigious award. Two of the last five winners have been hookers, and of the 20 Churchill Medals that have been awarded, nine of those have gone to locks or props.

Cooper Cronk is our opening 6.00 favourite ahead of Billy Slater, Brett Stewart and Matt Orford at 8.00, but we will be keeping on the side of Manly's Anthony Watmough (10.00) and Michael Crocker (15.00) from Melbourne. For either side to win, both Watmough and Crocker will be all important, so that is where the value lies.

 

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MARKET WATCH
.
RUGBY LEAGUE
WORLD CUP
Australia 1.20
New Zealand 8.01
England 8.11
France 128.07

MARKET: PINNACLE SPORTS

.
FUTURES

 

Global Sports Bet



AFL

 

2009 PREMIERSHIP

Geelong 3.41

Hawthorn 3.41

Western Bulldogs 12.98

St. Kilda 15.11

Collingwood 15.51

Carlton 20.02

Adelaide 21.00

Fremantle 23.26

Brisbane 26.01

Sydney 26.01

Port Adelaide 33.03

Richmond 33.03

Kangaroos 34.02

Essendon 46.04

West Coast 53.55

Melbourne 126.330

(At Pinnacle)

 



FUTURES


TENNIS

 

2008 AUSTRALIAN OPEN

R. Federer 2.71

R. Nadal 3.25

N. Djokovic 5.29

A. Murray 8.22

J. W. Tsonga 31.52

A. Roddick 38.82

N. Davydenko 54.97

D. Nalbandian 55.61

R. Gasquet 55.61

F. Gonzalez 90.12

D. Ferrer 96.35

M. Baghdatis 115.59

L. Hewitt 116.70

J. Blake 119.64

T. Haas 133.92

M. Safin 133.92

M. Youzhny 156.00

T. Berdych 156.00

(At Pinnacle)

 

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QUICK QUOTES
 
PREMIER LEAGUE 09
Chelsea 2.00
Man Utd 2.88
Liverpool 7.00
Arsenal 10.00
Aston Villa 81.00
(At Paddy Power)
.
CH. LEAGUE 2008/09
Chelsea 5.00
Barcelona 7.00
Manchester United 7.00
Inter Milan 7.50
Real Madrid 10.00
(At Victor Chandler)

 

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