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Saturday March 13, 2010 -





NRL PREVIEWS & PLAYS
...with OTP's National Rugby League expert

Updated 10:55 PM AEST, Thursday 11 March

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NRL ROUND ONE

Eels -3.5 v Dragons 3 at 1.91
The start of the best competition in sport is finally with us and this is a great match to get us underway. Unfortunately for the Dragons their preparation has been hindered with a few injuries amongst the squad with Cooper and Hornby looking like non starters, regardless of whether they take the field though I'm still siding with the Eels here as their squad is even stronger than that which made it to the Grand Final last year with the addition of Tahu, Poore and Shackleton and they will be very tough to beat, particularly in front of their home fans. It's always tough to make first round predictions but I'm very confident with this one as the Eels backline will dominate, lead by Mortimer and Robson who had a sensational pairing in the halves for the Eels last year and I expect will pick up here where they left off in 2009. The Eels also have a stronger looking bench and as the game progresses this will take it's toll on the visitors. The Dragons will find it tougher in 2010 and this will be a good early yardstick for both these sides seasons. Pick - 3 units on Eels -3.5 point start (BEST BET)
Bulldogs 13+ v Knights 2 at 2.00 ?
After an off season to forget for the Knights, one that cost them two of their young stars and not too mention the morale sapping that's gone along with this, the last thing they needed was to be without their best player and captain Kurt Gidley for Round 1, but that's what they have. No beating around the bush here, the Dogs have a very strong forward pack that really stood up last year in laying the platform for the surprisingly good halves partnership of Noddy and Roberts to work their magic. The Knights are on the back foot going into this opening round and will struggle offensively against a strong Dogs defensive line, whilst I expect the Dogs will dominate all stats and put on a big win for their home fans. Pick - 2 units on Bulldogs 13+
Titans 13+ v Warriors 3 at 2.25 ?
I'm very surprised the Titans aren't paying a single digit figure to win the title this year given the strength and experience they are boasting in nearly every position, none more so than in the halves pairing of Bird and Prince who will be a very formidable base from which this offensive juggernaut can launch. I really like this Titans side of 2010 and they must be licking their lips as they line up against what is a very weak looking Warriors side who are lacking experience (Price, Mannering and Lillyman all out of this match), lacking any quality leadership and lacking any sort of formidable firepower on attack. I like that this game is being played in round 1 because if it was round 4 the odds on the Titans would be much shorter as I expect these two sides to go in opposite directions in 2010. The Titans have so much offensive firepower it is scarey and the Warriors don't stand a chance, expecially not as the Titans look to restore the 'fortress' tag for Skilled Park in 2010......this is going to be a very very long afternoon for the Woe-rriors. Pick - 3 units on Titans 13+

 

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2009 RECORD

WEEK RESULT STAKES ROI BEST BET
FINALS WEEK FOUR +3.68 4 92%
FINALS WEEK THREE +4.76 5 95%
FINALS WEEK TWO -5.00 5 -100%
FINALS WEEK ONE +3.61 8 45%
WEEK TWENTY-SIX -1.50 11 -14%
WEEK TWENTY-FIVE -1.46 11 -13%
WEEK TWENTY-FOUR +5.55 10 56%
WEEK TWENTY-THREE +4.43 9 49%
WEEK TWENTY-TWO +10.13 11 92%
WEEK TWENTY-ONE -0.35 10 -4%
WEEK TWENTY +4.70 14 34%
WEEK NINETEEN +1.31 12 11%
WEEK EIGHTEEN +0.91 5 18%
WEEK SEVENTEEN +9.12 13 70%
WEEK SIXTEEN -7.46 14 -53%
WEEK FIFTEEN -7.00 7 -100%
WEEK FOURTEEN +4.34 9 48%
WEEK THIRTEEN -7.00 7 -100%
WEEK TWELVE +0.28 11 3%
WEEK ELEVEN -3.41 12 -28%
WEEK TEN +7.11 7 102%
WEEK NINE -3.16 7 -45%
WEEK EIGHT +0.76 5 15%
WEEK SEVEN -6.04 10 -60%
WEEK SIX -1.23 6 -21%
WEEK FIVE -5.25 12 -44%
WEEK FOUR +3.17 15 21%
WEEK THREE +2.72 9 30%
WEEK TWO -0.93 9.5 -10%
WEEK ONE +3.01 7.5 40%
TOTAL +19.80 units 276 7% 57%

NRL PAST RECORD

ROUND RESULT STAKES ROI
2008 (New Analyst) +39.75 units 240.5 17%
2007 +22.96 units 138 17%
2006 -2.64 units 181 -1%

 

RECORD Click here to view our guru's full season record.
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MARKET WATCH
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MOST WORLD CUP GOALS
Wayne Rooney 1.78
Fernando Torres 2.10

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Cristiano Ronaldo

2.13
Lionel Messi 1.76

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Robinho

2.05
Carlos Tevez 1.81

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FUTURES

 

$100 FREE BET!



AFL

 

2010 PREMIERSHIP

St Kilda 4.00
Geelong 4.75
Western Bulldogs 5.25
Hawthorn 8.00
Adelaide 11.00
Collingwood 11.00
Brisbane 13.00
Carlton 31.00
Essendon 51.00
Sydney 51.00
Port Adelaide 51.00
Fremantle 67.00
West Coast 67.00
North Melbourne 81.00

Melbourne 126.00

Richmond 151.00

(At Sportsbet)
 



FUTURES


GOLF

 

2010 U.S. MASTERS
Tiger Woods 3.50
Phil Mickelson 6.00
P Harrington 13.00
Lee Westwood 17.00
Rory Mcilroy 17.00
Geoff Ogilvy 19.00
Steve Stricker 19.00
Retief Goosen 21.00
Paul Casey 21.00
Sergio Garcia 26.00
Jim Furyk 26.00
Ernie Els 29.00
H Stenson 29.00

(At Sportsbet)

 

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QUICK QUOTES
 
OZ '10 GOLF MAJORS
No Major Wins 1.26
One Major Win 3.40
Two Major Wins 11.00
Three Major Wins 67.00
Four Major Wins 201.00
(At Sportsbet)
.
WIMBLEDON 2010
Roger Federer 2.63
Rafa Nadal 4.00
Andy Murray 5.00
JM Del Potro 7.50
Novak Djokovic 11.00
(At Victor Chandler)

 

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