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Tuesday October 7, 2008 -



GERRY McDONNELL

The latest musings from Super Soccer odds compiler Gerry McDonnell
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POSTED: 8TH MAY, 2008

 

Weekend Tips/A Lazy 'Worst Of' Compilation

Saying goodbye to the football season is very much like giving birth to a ginger child: after nine months of optimism, hope and anguish, you’re left with a genuine feeling of disappointment.

The final day is often emotional. Who could forget Arsenal pipping Liverpool to the title in 1989? Well sadly, my old man. In fact, if you see a small befuddled pensioner roaming the streets, you’ll be better off avoiding football trivia altogether; senility is no picnic.

I’m absolutely devastated that I have to work on Sunday as the drama unfolds. The gaffer has offered me double time and a day in lieu though, which I’m reasonably happy with; but it hasn’t gone down too well with Louise.

Lou hasn’t been this upset since Liverpool were beaten by Chelsea in the Champions League semi-final. Liverpool supporters are like Paul McCartney on his wedding night; they’re struggling to get over a disappointing second leg.

Steven ‘more dives than Glasgow’ Gerrard will hope to inspire his team-mates to a win over Spurs, but I fancy the Tottenham boys at 9/5. They can be heroes, just for Juande.

Manchester United are on the verge of winning the title and I’m particularly pleased for Paul Scholes. There was a worry that Paul’s career was over as a result of blurred vision, practically confirming what my mother told me. I’ll have my head in my hands if Manchester United fail to beat Wigan at 1/4.

As is often the case in such a high profile match, there has been plenty of early activity in the first goal scorer market. Bookmakers have already seen a monkey on Ronaldo, a pony on Carlos Tevez and an old dog on Wayne Rooney.

A recently discovered tribe of Congolese pygmies have admitted knowing absolutely nothing of western civilisation, other than the fact that Steven Gerrard is better at football than Frank Lampard.

Frank simply isn’t that great a player, most of his goals come from his close relationship with the O’Shea family, notably Rick. Frank would need 29 attempts to score on an 18-30 stone holiday.

Frank will not be happy about Chelsea finishing second best to Manchester United. I remember how upset he was when I first suggested that he had a weight problem - he sent me a text that read, ‘gbvsdfabdsb’.

Ashley Cole will also be unhappy with a runners-up spot. The overrated full-back is desperate for success to cement his role as a celebrity. He’s already been offered a spot on next week’s Jonathan Ross show, he just needs to find three pals and a piano. Chelsea are certainties to beat Bolton, i’m all over the 1/6 like John Terry on a referee.

I’m no stranger to disappointment; I once watched all of Soccer AM. Alex McLeish can empathise, he would give his right arm for Birmingham to avoid relegation, but a trade of that magnitude has only ever come off for Heather Mills. I’m backing Blackburn to beat the Blues at 3/1, but be warned, the price is dropping quicker than Steven Gerrard in a penalty area.

Reading are a lot like Princess Diana, they used to look good, but they’ve hit a wall.

The wife is praying that the Royals stay up, as she’s supported them ever since her English teacher wrote ‘reading difficulties’ on her school report.

I also hope that Reading beat Derby, as I’m not a great fan of Robbie Savage - I can’t forget how he kicked me off the waltzers when I was young. I can’t let my heart rule my head though, I’m going to be like Robbie and mark the coupon with an ‘X’ at 7/2.

Portsmouth are currently wobbling like a jelly on a drunken Sumo wrestler - they haven’t won in their last handful of games. Actually, they haven’t won in their last four games, so it’s more of a Jeremy Beadle handful.

I’d like to see Pompey beat Fulham as I have an enormous amount of sympathy for Harry Redknapp; he’s been the subject of more enquiries than the 118-118 guys.

Hollywood should make a film of Harry’s life, they could call it ‘The buying, the twitch and the fraud probe.’

A case can be made for backing Portsmouth at 5/2 to beat Fulham, but it has more holes than Pete Doherty. I’m going to be like David Cameron in college; and get stuck into the draw at 11/4.

Hopefully, my son will become a professional footballer. The last time we had a kick around in the back garden, he nutmegged me twice; nobody’s regretted opening their legs on two separate occasions since Mrs Neville.

Phil Neville is like the sun, you should never look directly at him. The lesser of two evils is surprisingly quite bright, he can quote the old Chinese proverb: ‘Give a man a fish, and he’ll eat for a day; give him twelve cans of lager, and he’ll think that Newcastle are worth a bet at Goodison Park.

You don’t have to be Stephen Hawking to realise that Everton are nailed on at 10/11, even Mrs Hawking could work that one out; if she wasn’t down the gym working the bags.

I once said that Benjani couldn’t hit a cow’s arse with a banjo. If we were ever to meet, he’d probably want to hit me; i’d better change my name to Annette.

On a related note, I once tried to hit a cow’s arse with a banjo - at least that’s what I told the police officer, although the lack of a banjo aroused some suspicion.

Middlesbrough are a riddle, wrapped up in an enigma, shrouded in mystery, situated in a hole. The 11/10 for a Boro win over Manchester City is the most enticing proposition since Ulrika Johnson offered Sven Goran Eriksson a little slice of Swedish fish pie.

Is it wrong for me to continually speak of my admiration for Cesc Fabregas? Apparently, it is during lovemaking.

Cesc is a little magician. He’ll have a great future in the game as long as he avoids Debbie McGee. Arsenal are a great bet at 10/11 to beat Sunderland, it’s as clear as the chin on Frank Lampard’s chin.

As an Aston Villa supporter, i’m a huge fan of Randy Lerner. I’m not ashamed to say that all it took to make me happy was just one little Yank.

I did read that a healthy male averages 20 minutes when expressing his love physically; I’m assuming that includes the taxi journey and the queue for the cashpoint. I’ll be throwing my cash on a West Ham win over the Villa; the 12/5 is positively pulchritudinous.

The Premier League remains my true love, but I’ve occasionally strayed into the arms of the football league, the SPL, the conference and the Paralympics. I’m a little bit uncomfortable about watching football at such a poor level though, but Rangers have made it into the UEFA Cup final.

I’m often asked why I appear reluctant to share my expertise on the Scottish football scene. I can assure you it’s not a result of xenophobia; some of my best friends know Scottish people. I know that a Celtic win over Hibernian at 1/4 will practically wrap up the title for the Bhoys.

My computer is a lot like the wife, if the information is punched in correctly, positive results are guaranteed. My spreadsheet plays a sound if the odds offered on an accer are greater than the actual probability of success: when I placed 16/1 next to Middlesbrough, Tottenham and West Ham, it whipped out a guitar.

Weekend Betting:

 

 

Birmingham v Blackburn                   Sunday 11th May                   15:00               Live on Sky   

 

Birmingham                21/20

Draw                           13/5

Blackburn                   3/1

 

Get on: Blackburn

 

 

Chelsea v Bolton                                Sunday 11th May                   15:00               Live on Sky

 

Chelsea                       1/6

Draw                           7/1

Bolton                         18/1

 

Get on: Chelsea

 

 

Derby v Reading                                Sunday 11th May                   15:00

           

Derby                          11/2

Draw                           7/2

Reading                      8/13

 

Get on: Draw

 

 

Everton v Newcastle                          Sunday 11th May                   15:00

 

Everton                       10/11

Draw                           5/2

Newcastle                   7/2

 

Get on: Everton

 

 

Middlesbrough v Man City               Sunday 11th May                   15:00

 

Middlesbrough           11/10

Draw                           12/5

Man City                    27/10

 

Get on: Middlesbrough

 

 

Portsmouth v Fulham             Sunday 11th May                   15:00               Live on Setanta

 

Portsmouth                 5/2

Draw                           11/4

Fulham                        6/5

 

Get on: Draw

 

 

Sunderland v Arsenal                        Sunday 11th May                   15:00              

 

Sunderland                 17/5

Draw                           11/4

Arsenal                       10/11

 

Get on: Arsenal

 

 

Tottenham v Liverpool                      Sunday 11th May                   15:00              

           

Tottenham                  9/5

Draw                           12/5

Liverpool                    7/4

 

Get on: Tottenham

 

 

West Ham v Aston Villa                    Sunday 11th May                   15:00              

           

West Ham                  12/5

Draw                           5/2

Aston Villa                  13/10

 

Get on: West Ham

 

 

Wigan v Man Utd                              Sunday 11th May                   15:00               Live on Sky

           

Wigan                         14/1

Draw                           11/2

Man Utd                     1/4

 

Get on: Man Utd



MARKET WATCH
.
RUGBY LEAGUE
WORLD CUP
Australia 1.20
New Zealand 8.01
England 8.11
France 128.07

MARKET: PINNACLE SPORTS

.
FUTURES

 

Global Sports Bet



AFL

 

2009 PREMIERSHIP

Geelong 3.41

Hawthorn 3.41

Western Bulldogs 12.98

St. Kilda 15.11

Collingwood 15.51

Carlton 20.02

Adelaide 21.00

Fremantle 23.26

Brisbane 26.01

Sydney 26.01

Port Adelaide 33.03

Richmond 33.03

Kangaroos 34.02

Essendon 46.04

West Coast 53.55

Melbourne 126.330

(At Pinnacle)

 



FUTURES


TENNIS

 

2008 AUSTRALIAN OPEN

R. Federer 2.71

R. Nadal 3.25

N. Djokovic 5.29

A. Murray 8.22

J. W. Tsonga 31.52

A. Roddick 38.82

N. Davydenko 54.97

D. Nalbandian 55.61

R. Gasquet 55.61

F. Gonzalez 90.12

D. Ferrer 96.35

M. Baghdatis 115.59

L. Hewitt 116.70

J. Blake 119.64

T. Haas 133.92

M. Safin 133.92

M. Youzhny 156.00

T. Berdych 156.00

(At Pinnacle)

 

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QUICK QUOTES
 
PREMIER LEAGUE 09
Chelsea 2.00
Man Utd 2.88
Liverpool 7.00
Arsenal 10.00
Aston Villa 81.00
(At Paddy Power)
.
CH. LEAGUE 2008/09
Chelsea 5.00
Barcelona 7.00
Manchester United 7.00
Inter Milan 7.50
Real Madrid 10.00
(At Victor Chandler)

 

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