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Sunday May 11, 2008 -



SPORTS BETTING


AFL Spread Betting
For all your spread betting needs, visit Australia's
Sports Acumen
 

This season, Sports Acumen's AFL betting has seen Spread Betting's popularity grow among punters looking for that market edge. On each game Sports Acumen has offered Total Points, Player Head to Heads and Supremacy markets plus a number of season and round markets including Season Points and Super 7 Goal Kicking. Below provides a few examples of some of the betting activity seen through this AFL season.

 

Season Points

 

This AFL season has seen some of the more fancied teams not perform as well as predicted, in particular last year's Grand Finalists, Collingwood. At the start of the season, Collingwood's price in the Season Points market was 54-58 - one punter who thought that two years of heartbreak would cost the pies sold for $500 at the low side (54 = 13.5 wins).

 

As Collingwood started the season terribly, their new quote was 32 - 36 as they graced the bottom of the ladder, and so this punter decided to close out his bet and guarantee a win by buying at the new quote (36) for the same stake.

 

Bet 1 = (Sell Price- season points)*Stake

        = (54 - Season Points)*$500

Bet 2 = (season points - Buy Price)*Stake 

       = (Season Points - 36)*$500

 

As he has closed out the bet, the two quotes cancel each other out and the punter wins the difference of the two quotes multiplied by his stake, locking in a win of $9000.

 

Result = (Sell Price - Buy Price)* Stake

        = (54 - 36)*$500

        = 18*500

        = $9,000

 

Total Points.

 

In the Sydney v Richmond match the initial quote for the total points was 178 - 186.

Thinking this was on the high side one punter sold for $50 at the 178 (an average of 44.5 points per quater).

At quarter time, the punters heart was in his mouth as both sides came out firing piling on 59 points for the term. However, the rain came after quarter time and the last three quarters saw only 62 points scored for the rest of the match securing the punters win.

 

Result = (Sell Price - Total Points)*Stake

        = (178 - 121)*$50

        = (57)*50

        = $2850

 

Supremacy - Backing your favorite team...

 

One Carlton supporter had an interesting couple of weeks betting on the Supremacy market with his favorite team.

 

 

Week 1 - Carlton v Melbourne

 

Carlton went into the game as underdogs, with the Supremacy market at kick off: Melbourne/Carlton 10 - 16

The punter, showing faith in Carlton sold for $40 a point at 10

The result went the wrong way for the punter this week with Melbourne coming out and thumping Carlton by 105 points: (Note - In the AFL supremacy market the stop loss is 75.)

 

Result = (Sell Price - Result)*Stake

        = (10 - 105)*$40

        = (-95)*40 (as 95 is higher than the stop loss of 75 the liability is lowered to 75)

Therefore Result = (-75)*$40

        = -$3000

 

Week 2 - Carlton v Collingwood

 

The next week, Carlton again started underdogs against their traditional rival Collingwood, with the supremacy Collingwood/Carlton 12 - 18

The same punter, showing faith in Carlton, sold for $40 "the low side" at the start of play. He then proceeded to sell 3 more times “in the run” at 20, 10 and finally 2, each for $40. Carlton eventually won the match by nine points, the punter winning four times!

 

Result 1   = (Sell Price - Result)*Stake

            = (12 - (-9))*$40

            = (21)*$40

            = $840

Result 2   = (Sell Price - Result)*Stake

            = (20 - (-9))*$40

            = (29)*$40

            = $1160

Result 1   = (Sell Price - Result)*Stake

            = (10 - (-9))*$40

            = (19)*$40

            = $760

Result 1   = (Sell Price - Result)*Stake

            = (2 - (-9))*$40

            = (11)*$40

            = $440

 

Total Result for match = $3200.

 


Spread Betting Overview
For all your spread betting needs, visit Australia's
Sports Acumen

A new trend in the global sports betting arena, Spread Betting has emerged by offering an exciting and rewarding betting option to punters from around the world.

Spread betting is an unfixed bet type that offers a range of benefits the more traditional fixed odds betting lacks. Spread betting gives bettors:

- A two way market where they can buy or sell on a market depending if they believe that team/person/result will go a certain way

- The ability to trade in or out of a position while the game is in progress, giving punters the ability to close out a win or a loss at any stage of the game

- An ongoing interest throughout a contest as every change in the game can impact on the final result of the bet

A number of betting agencies have embraced this new betting phenomenon, including the Australian betting agency Sports Acumen and the UK’s Sporting Index.

Emanating from the floor of the UK stock markets, spread betting began when traders started offering spreads on sporting events as well as dealing in shares. The practice became extremely popular and has flourished ever since.

Spread betting allows a punter to analyse an event, predict the outcome and bet against the set “spread” offered by the bookmaker and be rewarded in spades when correct.

The “spread” is a range set by the bookmaker on a specific market that they believe the result of the market will fall between. If the punter believes this range to be too low then they buy against the market, alternatively if they think it is too high then they will sell against the spread.

In spread betting, if the punters prediction is correct then they will be rewarded for each point away from their purchase price the final result multiplied by their stake. Conversely, if the punter is wrong, they will lose their stake multiplied by every point away from their purchase price the end result.

For example, in the Australia v India One Day International played at the GABBA on Sunday January 18, India batted first and the spread for the total runs market for India’s innings was set at 250 – 260. Punter 1 thought the spread too low and so bought for $20 while Punter 2 thought this was too high and so sold for $10. The final result was 275, therefore the two results were:

Punter 1 – Bought at 260 (the high end of the spread) for $20

 Buy result = (Result – High end of spread) x Stake

= (275 – 260) x 20

= 15 x 20

= Win of $300

Punter 2 – Sold at 250 (the lower end the spread) for $10.

 Sell result = (Low end of spread – Result) x Stake

= (250 – 275) x 10

= -25 x 10

= Loss of $250

Spread betting is available on a range of different betting options:

- Totals: betting on the total of a specific market such as total points in a game, number of games won and corners awarded.

- Supremacy: pitting on team, person or animal against another in specific categories including winning margin, possessions and finishing positions.

- Performance Bets: an artificial scale designed to measure the outcome of a specific event or contest tailored for individual sports


*For all your spread betting needs, visit Australia's Sports Acumen


 
MARKET WATCH
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ROGER FEDERER IN 08
No Majors 3.24
One Major 2.44
Two Majors 3.54
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MARKET: PINNACLE SPORTS

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FUTURES

 




AFL

 

TO MISS FINAL EIGHT
AFTER ROUND SEVEN

West Coast 1.01
Melbourne 1.01
Essendon 1.01
Fremantle 1.06
Richmond 1.14
Carlton 1.33
Kangaroos 1.90
Brisbane 2.05
Port Adelaide 2.10
Collingwood 2.20
St Kilda 2.50
Sydney 3.30
Adelaide 7.50
Western Bulldogs 8.00

(At Sportsbet)

 



FUTURES


AFL

 

2008 PREMIERSHIP
AFTER ROUND SEVEN

Geelong 2.25
Hawthorn 4.05
Adelaide 14.06
Bulldogs 15.01
Port Adelaide 16.45
St. Kilda 17.94
Collingwood 22.90
Sydney 22.90
Brisbane 35.99
Kangaroos 68.08
Carlton 68.08
Richmond 106.00

(At Pinnacle)

 

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