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U.S.
OPEN PREVIEWS & PLAYS
... with OnThePunt's resident Tennis expert |
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Updated 4:24 PM AEST, Sunday 8 September
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2002 U.S. Open
Long Island, New York
Aug 26-Sept 8, 2002
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Surface: Hard - Draw Size: 128
Prize Money: US $6,834,415
Grand Slam |
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SUNDAY -
FINAL
Pete
Sampras USA (17) vs. Andre Agassi USA (6)
- H-H 19-14
Sampras (3-0 at Flushing Meadows). As Uncle Sam rejoices and the rest of the
world has to put up with another day of American chest pumping, we are faced
with a most unlikely final match-up. Neither had things go all their own way
in yesterday's semis. A combination of Sampras' fine serving and ability to
produce when it mattered and Schalken's lack of experience in the big time
saw the veteran crucially claim the first two tiebreaks. Meanwhile, Agassi's
relentless backcourt game proved too much for an out of sorts Hewitt. It
must be said that he, like all champions do, played the big points the best.
His groundstrokes were superb against Hewitt and one can expect him to win
the majority of the baseline exchanges today. Sampras is placing more
pressure on his serve in recent times and in a final up against a returner
of Agassi's ability is when he'll struggle. Agassi in three or four for
mine.
NO PLAY
SATURDAY -
SEMI FINALS (-2 units)
PLAY
Pete
Sampras USA (17) vs. Sjeng Schalken NED (24)
- H-H 4-0
Sampras (all on hard, but they have not met since '98). Well well, Pete
makes it through to his 9th U.S. Open semi final. Given his form coming into
this fortnight, a truly remarkable effort. The scribes have him in the final
already, but I feel this sentiment is a little premature. The old man will
have to battle through the heat of the day this time, and has an in-form
opponent who is more than capable of giving him plenty of trouble. Schalken
has an accurate serve and will be more than happy to go with Sampras from
the back of the court. As far as I see it, it all comes down to how well
Sampras serves. If he's slightly off, he'll lose the confidence that has got
him this far and it's game on.
Schalken
(2 units at 3.70 -
Centrebet)
-2
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Lleyton
Hewitt 1.70 AUS (1) vs. Andre Agassi USA (6)

- Hewitt
leads the series 4-2 (all on hard) inc. the last three but this is the first
time they've met over five sets. The crowd might be screaming for a Sampras-Agassi
final at this stage, but I'm tipping the Aussie to be far too strong. Hewitt
will be in no hurry to end points as Agassi is always less confident in
prolonged rallies. He can match or better Agassi in all departments, is
serving brilliantly and most of all, is 11 years his junior. But in a
semi-final, the price needs to be a little higher for me to get involved.
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THURSDAY -
QUARTER FINALS
NO PLAYS
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Andy
Roddick 1.75 USA (11) vs. Pete Sampras USA (17)

- After
holding back on opposing Sampras against Haas, I'm very tempted tonight, but
on analysis the price looks about right to me and that means no bet. Roddick
holds a 2-0 head-to-head advantage but that means little at this stage of
Grand Slam. I fully expect A-rod to run the dinosaur all over the court and
eventually wear him down, but he'll need to be well and truly on his game
tonight.
Fernando
Gonzalez 1.72 CHI (28) vs. Sjeng Schalken NED (24)

- The heavy
hitting Gonzalez has done it relatively easy since toughing it through his
1st round match with Mathieu - failing to drop a set to the likes of Carlsen,
Ferrero and Clement. The more experienced Schalken meanwhile can thank the
Scud for doing his knee in the 1st round when he looked down and out. He has
since had wins over Ljubicic, Sargsian and Kuerten. Gonzo has the edge in
the service department, but I'm a little concerned about his lack of big
time experience. He has never played on the caldron that is the Arthur Ashe
Stadium whereas the Dutchman played his Kuerten match here on Tuesday.
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WEDNESDAY
- QUARTER FINALS
NO PLAYS
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Other Matches
(Selections in BOLD):
Lleyton
Hewitt 1.18 AUS (1) vs. Younes El Aynaoui MAR (20)

- The
Moroccan got past Hewitt in their only previous hardcourt meeting a year ago
at Indianapolis, but this figures to be a different result. Younes was out
on court past 2am in his gutsy win over Ferreira on Monday night and while
he's had the day's rest, those 30 year-old legs must be feeling a little
dull. Hewitt had a nice workout against Novak on Monday night with a
remarkable display of serving (19 aces) highlighting the match.
Max Mirnyi
BLR (32) vs. Andre Agassi 1.16 USA (6)

- Agassi
comes into this having had four straight-set victories and losing just 24
games along the way. That's solid form in anyone's book and while he's happy
to get through so easily, I'm sure wouldn't have minded a tougher workout a
some stage. Mirnyi has only dropped two sets himself, and win or lose, this
represents his best Grand Slam result from 14 starts. Given his lack of
experience in the second week of the major's, it will be interesting to see
how he handles the big primetime occasion. Agassi wiped him off the court in
their only previous meeting in July and it's tough to imagine the result
being different today.
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TUESDAY -
4TH ROUND (+4.32 units)
Fernando
Gonzalez CHI (28) vs. Arnaud Clement FRA
- Gonzo did
the job for us yesterday with a straight sets win over J-C Ferrero, while
the Frenchman squeezed through against our man Coria. Gonzalez defeated
Clement a month ago in Cincinnati and as previously mentioned, his hardcourt
form has been faultless. Clement has the edge in experience, but looks to
have been doing it tougher to get this this stage and has struggled against
similar types in the past.
Gonzalez
(6 units at 1.72 -
Sportingbet)
+4.32
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Other Matches
(Selections in BOLD):
Juan Ignacio
Chela ARG (26) vs. Andy Roddick 1.40 USA (11)

- This should
be a cracker. Chela comes into this relatively fresh after his straight sets
whitewash of an injured Tim Henman last night, while Roddick, despite
winning in three, had a very tough workout in a post-midnight finish with
Corretja. The Yank looks to be playing within himself this week and has been
keeping the unforced errors to a minimum. Chela beat him at Miami in March,
and Roddick lost to three 'claycourters' in the lead-up to the Open (Canas,
Gonzalez and Meligeni), so I won't be touching this price.
Pete Sampras
USA (17) vs. Tommy Haas 1.85 GER (3)

- What can
one say about Peter Sampras? The guy looked a shadow of his former self for
the majority of his marathon with Rusedski, but somehow managed to come out
on top. He looked slow to the net, missed some of the easiest volleys and
smashes that you'll ever see, but he still won it (and we lost!). The Brit
certainly didn't help his cause by tightening up whenever things got close.
The great one has been given all the favours by the USTA with maximum rest
for this night time encounter and he's now something like 19 or 20-zip here
at night, but that's in the past. If the Haas shoulder can hold up look for
him to have too much, but there's just too much doubt for me to make this
one a play.
Sjeng
Schalken NED (24) vs. Gustavo Kuerten 1.40 BRA

- Kuerten
holds the 7-1 (4-0 on hard) H-H advantage here and comes off a very easy
match last night with Massu calling it quits in the second set. Schalken had
few problems with Sargsian and has been working himself into some decent
form, but with his record against Guga, is very hard to support today.
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MONDAY -
4TH ROUND - NO PLAYS
SUNDAY
- 3RD ROUND - PLAYS (-2.8 units)
Greg Rusedski
GBR (33) vs. Pete Sampras USA (17)
- Everyone's
talking about the four-time champion's sudden return to form, but lets just
remember who he has defeated here this week - Portas and Pless - surely
that's nothing to get one too excited. Yes, he's been serving well, but
he'll need to today. Rusedski's been in excellent form coming into this with
wins over the likes of Safin, Haas and Hewitt. He came through a very tough
match against Srichaphan, and despite a horrific 1-8 head-to-head record,
these two have been going in opposite directions this year.
Rusedski
(4 units at 2.38 -
SportingOdds)
-4
Juan Carlos
Ferrero ESP (7) vs. Fernando Gonzalez CHI (28)
- Ferrero
hasn't been all that convincing in his wins over Arthurs and Etlis for mine.
Gonzalez has defeated the likes of Henman and Roddick on hardcourts in
recent times and no doubt has the ability to upset the Spaniard.
Gonzalez
(4 units at 2.30 -
Centrebet)
+5.2
Guillermo
Coria ARG vs. Arnaud Clement FRA
- The
Frenchman came through a five-setter against Grosjean, while Coria has
failed to drop a set versus Waske and Lisnard. Clement is making far too
many errors, so he looks well over the odds today.
Coria (4
units at 2.30 -
Centrebet)
-4
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Other Matches
(Selections in BOLD):
4th Round
Matches
Lleyton
Hewitt 1.20 (SportsTAB) AUS (1) vs. Jiri Novak CZE (14)

- Hewitt
leads the H-H 3-0 (2-0 on hard). The night time conditions shouldn't favour
either, and while Jiri Novak has had a fine year, he will struggle to match
it from the back against Hewitt.
Younes El
Aynaoui MAR (20) vs. Wayne Ferreira 2.10 (Various) RSA

- Good luck
trying to pick the winner of these two thirty-something's. The South African
has the edge in the service department but these two are hard to separate
over the best of five. The Moroccan's form looks to have tapered off a
fraction coming into this after what has been a great year, but Ferreira
plays for the big tourney's these days.
Max Mirnyi
BLR (32) vs. Roger Federer 1.45 (Blue Square) SUI (13)

- Federer
leads the H-H 3-0. Federer has run himself into some very handy form this
week now that he's put the events of the past few weeks behind him. Mirnyi
has done enough to advance in his three matches, but I can't see him getting
close here.
Jan-Michael
Gambill USA vs. Andre Agassi 1.25 (Victor Chandler) USA (6)

- Quite a
history already between these two - the record stands at 8-2 (all on hard)
in Agassi's favour. Don't expect the trend to change today. Both have failed
to drop a set to this stage - Gambill has been the surprise packet - only
dropping 11 games, five less than Agassi - with remarkable defeats of Moya
and Gaudio. He looks like a man on a mission, but against the best returner
in the game, he has struggled to match it in the past and I don't see why
this will be any different.
3rd Round
Matches
Tim Henman
GBR (5) vs. Juan Ignacio Chela 2.50 ARG (26)

- Both have
impressed to get here without dropping a set. The Brit will be attempting to
equal his best U.S. Open result but it won't be easy. There is continuing
concern over his troublesome right shoulder - "I'm just going to have to
take it one match at a time and see how it does react if I get into a very
long match," said Henman after his last match. "It's sort of more fatigued,
as the match progresses it just sort of feels like it stiffens up and gets
pretty tight in and around the shoulder. I suppose there is still somewhat
of an unknown if I really have to play a tough match." Not inspiring words,
as Chela, having a superb year, is sure to give plenty of fight. Remember
Hills (7/4) void on retirements so look for 6/4 elsewhere.
Alex Corretja
ESP (18) vs. Andy Roddick 1.45 USA (11)

- The young
American looks to have toned things down a fraction this week (just 19
errors vs Sluiter) and it's clearly paying dividends. The slightly heavier
night conditions will suit the Spaniard but expect the crowd to get the Yank
across the line.
Thomas
Enqvist SWE (29) vs. Tommy Haas 1.55 GER (3)

- The German
holds a 7-2 h-h record here, including wins in the last six meetings (three
on hard). Hard to know how bad the Haas shoulder is, but all going well, he
should have the Swede's measure. One to avoid.
Sargis
Sargsian ARM vs. Sjeng Schalken 1.30 NED (24)

- Schalken
very impressive against Ljubicic, but he's come up short enough.
Nicolas Massu
CHI vs. Gustavo Kuerten 1.36 BRA

- Guga played
a great game against Safin, bringing the Russian into the net where he was
all over the place. You'd expect the Brazillian to go on with it today, but
Massu is a different type of opponent who won't go down without a fight.
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SATURDAY
- 3RD ROUND (-9.5 units)
PLAYS
Jan-Michael Gambill USA vs. Gaston Gaudio ARG (21)
- The Yank
played the game of his life against Moya on Wednesday night - he had far too
much pace for the Spaniard and served brilliantly - it won't be easy to
repeat that performance. Gaudio is one of the new breed of South Americans
with a massive ability off the dirt, he has an excellent serve himself and
has one of the best backhand's in the business.
Gaudio (4
units at 2.38 -
SportingOdds)
-4
Lleyton
Hewitt AUS (1) vs. James Blake USA (25)
- The #1 has
looked comfortable to date, but expect a thorough work-out today. It's hard
to forget last year's controversial encounter here, but Hewitt did come out
on top again last time they met at Miami in March. The American is a very
smart type who has nothing to lose today, so the 4/1 or better is a fraction
too big for mine.
Blake (1.5
units at 5.00 -
SportingOdds)
-1.5
Dominik
Hrbaty SVK vs. Max Mirnyi BLR (32)
- Hrbaty was
one of the hardest workers through the clay season by all reports and he has
turned around average lead-up with big wins over Ancic and Kafelnikov. Not
overly impressed Mirnyi's form coming into this and his wins to date don't
warrant a quote this short.
Hrbaty (4
units at 2.35 -
Centrebet;
Sportodds)
-4
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Other Matches
(Selections in BOLD):
Marcelo Rios
CHI (22) vs. Jiri Novak 1.85 CZE (14)

- Novak leads
the H-H 3-1 (all on clay) and has had a super year with a 42-20 record.
A tight encounter is more than likely, but Novak has been serving the better
and should come out on top.
Fernando
Vicente ESP vs. Younes El Aynaoui 1.35 MAR (20)

- The
Spaniard has had a couple of nice wins this week but faces a much tougher
opponent today. El Aynaoui is another played who has improved greatly in
2002 (#17 from 40 in 2001) and will add to his 3-0 head-to-head record (last
meeting at Aus Open in Jan) in this one.
Tommy Robredo
ESP (31) vs. Wayne Ferreira 1.80 RSA

- Will youth
and exuberance prevail over the smart South African veteran. I don't think
so. Ferreira came back from two sets down against Costa on Thursday while
Robredo got past our man Meligeni also in five. I fancy the veteran in four
or five, but I won't be rushing to take this price.
Xavier
Malisse 2.30 BEL (19) vs. Roger Federer SUI (13)

- Two big
servers both well suited to conditions at Flushing Meadows. Malisse has been
a big improver in recent times and looks ready to step up, he has also had
the more settled lead-up. Only concern is the fact that Federer has won the
last four in the series, including two this year at Sydney and Indian Wells.
Ramon Delgado
PAR vs. Andre Agassi 1.05 USA (6)

- No comment
required.
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FRIDAY
- 2ND ROUND (-3.25 units)
PLAYS
Thomas Enqvist SWE (29) vs. Alberto Martin ESP
- Martin came out on top when these two met on a similar
surface in Adelaide earlier in the year and while the stakes are higher
today, I'm tipping the Spaniard to come out on top again. Enqvist has
dropped off the pace slightly this year and looks well under the odds.
Martin (2.5 units at 3.20 -
William Hill)
-2.5
Sargis Sargsian ARM vs. Alexander Popp GER
- Sargsian had an impressive 1st round win over
Wimbledon finalist Nalbandian, while Popp defeated the out of form Swede
Vinciguerra.
Sargsian looks too have too much all round game for
one-dimensional Popp today.
Sargsian (5 units at 1.85 -
Centrebet)
+4.25
Ivan Ljubicic CRO vs. Sjeng Schalken NED (24)
- Schalken wasn't all that impressive before the Scud
fell over, while the unpredictable Croatian had an excellent win over
Santoro in the 1st round. Ljubicic almost ousted Safin here last year and
does look to have taken a liking to the conditions at Flushing Meadows.
Ljubicic (5 units at 2.20 - SportsTAB)
-5
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Other Matches
(Selections in BOLD):
Tim Henman 1.14 GBR (5) vs. Dick
Norman BEL

- The Brit showed no signs of discomfort with the
shoulder injury that kept him out of Indianapolis with a very easy win over Ketola
in the 1st round. The veteran Belgian had a gutsy win over Ulihrach on
Wednesday but will be completely outclassed today.
Michael Llodra FRA vs. Juan Ignacio Chela 1.36 ARG (26)

- Both impressed in the 1st round - Llodra only dropped
five games to Acasuso while Chela knocked out the dangerous Mantilla in
straight sets. If he can serve like he did on Wednesday I rate the double
specialist Frenchman some chance of the upset.
Alex Corretja 1.12 ESP (18) vs. Ivo Heuberger SUI

- Heuberger's serve is a plus, but Corretja will get too
many back, have too much experience and should win this one comfortably.
Raemon Sluiter NED vs. Andy Roddick 1.14 USA (11)

- The Dutchman has had big wraps put upon his by some in
the tennis world, but is still too inconsistent. Nevertheless it was a great
win over Dent. Roddick failed to overly impress against Verkerk in the 1st
round and has come up a fraction short for mine.
Greg Rusedski 1.70 GBR (33) vs. Paradorn Srichaphan THA

- The Thai star showed no signs of tiredness from the
heavy lead-up in his whitewash of US junior champ
Amritraj in the first round. He's
playing with enormous confidence right now. The Brit dropped a set to the
dangerous Kim, but looks to be serving well and has justifiably come up a
narrow fave. Match of the day and one to watch.
Kristian Pless DEN vs. Pete Sampras 1.15 USA (17)

- Pistol Pete looked comfortable enough in his 1st round
win over Portas, but I'd be in no hurry to include this one in your parlays
or multi's. He'll have all the crowd support in the night match, but I
wouldn't be surprised if the Dane takes a set or two.
Karol Kucera SVK vs. Tommy Haas 1.33 GER (3)

- Haas fell in against Sanchez while Kucera took five
sets to get past Stepanek in the 1st round. There has been much conjecture
about the German's troublesome shoulder, but it remains to be seen just how
much it is affecting his game.
Juan Carlos Ferrero 1.12 ESP (7) vs. Gaston Etlis ARG

- Don't like the new hair - it's hard to respect an
opponent who looks like a clown - but the Spaniard played some excellent
tennis to get past ace-man Arthurs in the 1st round and will have far too
much here.
Kenneth Carlsen DEN vs. Fernando Gonzalez 1.35 CHI (28)

- Gonzalez won a tight battle with
Mathieu on Wednesday while Carlsen, as
predicted, had too much for Saretta in a
marathon. As previously mentioned, Gonzalez has defeated the likes of Henman and Roddick on hardcourts
this year, so I'm confidently predicting his big serve to get him over the
line again today.
Jean-Rene Lisnard FRA vs. Guillermo Coria 1.36 ARG

- The Frenchman played well to qualify but had the good
fortune of advancing after his opponent
Schuettler went down with injury in the
1st round.
Both are off their favourite surface, but Coria has the class edge and
should advance.
Arnaud Clement FRA vs. Sebastien Grosjean 1.60 FRA (10)

- Always hard to pick when these two friend's go at it.
Clement has the edge 3-2 in the head-to-head's (all on hard), the last
meeting won by Grosjean at Rotterdam in February. Very tough.
Nicolas Massu 1.50 CHI vs. Jurgen Melzer AUT

- The Chilean had a four set win over Lapentti and did
have some reasonable lead-up form, but I can't be confidently picking him at
this price.
Gustavo Kuerten BRA vs. Marat Safin 1.58 RUS (2)

- These two always have lengthy battles when they meet -
all five previous meeting have gone the distance (1-1 on hard) - but to me
it's clear that Kuerten is yet to regain full match fitness. |
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THURSDAY
- 2ND ROUND (+0.12 units)
PLAYS
Fernando
Vicente ESP vs. Mardy Fish USA
- Vicente
made quick work of an out of sorts Nieminen in the 1st round while
Fish took out the dangerous H-T Lee in four sets. The American will have the
home support and has been in some handy form of late but he's come up a
little short for mine.
Vicente (4
units at 2.38 -
SportingOdds)
+5.52
Tommy Robredo
ESP (31) vs. Fernando Meligeni BRA
- The
Brazilian is playing some solid tennis by all accounts so I rate him some
chance of an upset today. Robredo can consider himself very fortunate to get
past our man Zabaleta in the first round. He won just one more point in his
5th set tie-break win after offering up a massive 22 break points. A similar
performance today will have the more experienced Meligeni right in this.
Meligeni
(3 units at 2.70 -
Sportingbet)
-3
Feliciano
Lopez ESP vs. Gaston Gaudio ARG (21)
- Both
impressed in the 1st round - Lopez over the favoured Sa in straight sets
while Gaudio had too much for the aging Todd Martin. Gaudio is one of the
big improvers this year and by getting into the top-20 has proved he has
game off the dirt, but he's come up very short today.
Lopez (2.5
units at 3.50 -
Bet365 )
-2.5
Harel Levy
ISR vs. Ramon Delgado PAR
- Both of
these came through in tough five setters in the 1st round - Levy upsetting
Pavel while Delgado came back from two sets to one against American
youngster Bogomolov Jr. The Paraguayan has to have the edge in the service
department and should be a pronounced favourite in my book.
Delgado
(6 units at 1.85 -
Sportingbet)
+5.1
MULTI
Carlos Moya
1.53
ESP (9) vs. Jan-Michael Gambill USA

- The
Spaniard comes into this with a 3-0 head-to-head record (all on hard)
against Gambill but all three have been tight encounters and the last
meeting was back in 2000. Moya was made to work hard by Voinea in the first
round but at 44-15 for the year and #5 on the champ's race, he's been
playing some of the best tennis of his career. Gambill continues to
disappoint in the majors and he'll need to lift his game today to be any
chance.
Michael Chang
USA vs. Roger Federer 1.25 SUI (13)

- The veteran
American has been winning a few matches recently and got past our man Clavet
in the 1st round despite winning seven less points overall. Federer has been
is shocking form since the death of a close friend and did drop a set to Vanek
in the 1st round, but one would have to think he can only improve after the
run.
John van
Lottum NED vs. Jiri Novak 1.16 CZE (14)

- The
Dutchman has already equaled his best Grand Slam result in his 11th start,
but Jiri Novak will get more balls back with more accuracy than his previous
opponent Horna. One for the multi's.
(5 units
at 2.22 -
Sportingbet)
-5
|
|
Other Matches
(Selections in BOLD):
Justin
Gimelstob USA vs. Andre Agassi 1.06 USA (6)

- Should be
no problems for the man from Las Vegas today. Gimelstob, who looked
thoroughly exhausted after his marathon 1st round win over Kempes, has been
competitive at Challenger level in recent times but this will be difficult
to say the least.
Lleyton
Hewitt 1.05 AUS (1) vs. Noam Okun ISR

- The
qualifier Okun didn't have it all his own way when defeating Kunitcin in the
first round, so I'll be surprised if he wins more than a handful of games
today. Hewitt was not all that impressive in his opener, but there's no
point peaking on the first Tuesday.
Yevgeny
Kafelnikov RUS (4) vs. Dominik Hrbaty 3.15 SVK

- Hrbaty was
making tough work of the young Ancic before he retired in the 1st round,
while Kafelnikov dropped a set to Sanguinetti in an unconvincing error
riddled performance. Hrbaty leads the head-to-head series 7-4, but has
dropped the last three meetings, the most recent at Wimbledon. Should be a
tight encounter but 2's or better about the Slovakian is good enough for me.
Xavier
Malisse 1.38 BEL (19) vs. Vincent Spadea USA

- The first
round saw Malisse make light work of Montanes while Spadea came from two
sets down against Golmard. The Belgian had a comfortable straight sets win
when these two met at the All England Club and should use his new found
maturity to ease past the inconsistent American again.
Marcelo
Rios 1.20 CHI (22) vs. Robin Soderling SWE

- Don't know
much about him, but the 18 year-old Swede is raising eyebrows after
defeating two seeds in Suzuki and Voltchkov in qualifying and then
comfortably disposing of Lars Burgsmuller in the 1st round here. Rios
however was impressive after an early lapse against Bjorkman and should have
the youngsters measure.
Wayne
Ferreira 1.80 RSA vs. Albert Costa ESP (8)

- Both
progressed comfortably through the 1st round and both have already met twice
this year on hardcourts, Ferreira having the better of both meetings - in a
five set marathon at the Aussie Open and more recently on the slower courts
of Cincinnati. Books look to have this one about right - expect it to go the
distance.
Hicham Arazi
MAR vs. Younes El Aynaoui 1.42 MAR (20)

- Amazingly,
the Moroccan's meet for the first time on the ATP Tour. Arazi had an easy
win over the out of form Rochus in the 1st round while El Aynaoui failed to
have his serve broken in a four-set win over Morrison. You can never
discount the gutsy Arazi in best of five, but Younes has lifted his game to
a new level this year and should advance.
Anthony
Dupuis 3.60 FRA vs. Max Mirnyi BLR (32)

- Both had
opponents retiring in the 1st round, Gaudenzi throwing in the towel when
well down against Dupuis, while Savolt had lost two tight sets to Mirnyi
before his elbow gave him trouble. Dupuis hasn't done much in recent times,
but Max is relying on his 1st serve a lot and is not in the greatest form
coming into this week. This price looks well over the odds.
|
|
WEDNESDAY
- 1ST ROUND (-16 units)
PLAYS
Felix Mantilla ESP vs. Juan
Ignacio Chela ARG (26)
- This is an interesting one.
Chela has had a great year to date with a current race position of 18 (from 177
in '01) and winning one of three ATP finals - his most recent last week's
loss to Srichaphan at Long Island. They say winning form is good form, but
Mantilla has been in some handy form of his own (l. Indy final to Rusedski)
and does look capable of a minor upset today.
Mantilla
(4 units at 2.25 -
Centrebet;
Sportodds)
-4
Karol Kucera SVK vs. Radek
Stepanek CZE
-
Stepanek is at an impressive 15-8 for 2002 and has lifted his ranking over
200 spots to #56. He looks to be playing well on all surfaces and notched up
wins against A Kim and Spadea at Toronto on top of some good court time in
the doubles with partner Novak. Kucera has failed to defeat anyone of note
in recent times, so this will be tough.
Stepanek
(5 units at 2.00 -
SportingOdds)
-5
Stefan Koubek AUT vs. Arnaud
Clement FRA
- The Frenchman has impressive
10-4 record at Flushing Meadows and has picked up his form as the year has
gone on, but suffered a shocking 0 & 2 loss to El Aynaoui last week at Long
Island. Koubek meanwhile, has been competitive all year dating back to his
strong Aussie Open in January and definitely has the game to trouble the
inconsistent Clement.
Koubek (3
units at 2.45 -
Sportodds; SportsTAB)
-3
MULTI
Paul-Henri Mathieu FRA vs.
Fernando Gonzalez 1.48 CHI (28)

- The 20 year-old Frenchman has
thrust himself into the spotlight recently after pushing Agassi to five sets
in the 4th round of the French Open and more recently with a win over
Sampras last week at Long Island. He withdrew from his quarter final match
with Corretja last week citing blisters, but faces a very tough opponent
here. Gonzalez, one of the new breed of South Americans with huge ability
off the dirt, has defeated the likes of Henman and Roddick on hardcourts
this year and will be too good today.
Marc Rosset SUI vs. Sebastien
Grosjean 1.18 FRA (10)

- The lanky Swiss veteran hasn't
bothered to play any hardcourt lead-up tourneys and while Grosjean hasn't
played well here in the past, he'll win this one.
David Nalbandian
1.28 ARG (16) vs. Sargis Sargsian ARM

- The
Argentinean shot to fame with
a runner-up at Wimbledon, but with solid form prior and a win against Henman
in Toronto last month looks more than a one-tournament wonder. Sargsian has
struggled since returning to the tour from minor surgery.
Nikolay
Davydenko RUS vs. James Blake 1.14 USA (25) (2nd Rnd) ?
- The
American is playing some great tennis at the moment and will certainly take
some stopping in this late evening encounter.
(4 units
at 2.55 -
Sportodds)
-4
|
|
Other Matches
(Selections in BOLD):
Tim Henman
1.12 GBR (5) vs. Tuomas
Ketola FIN

-
Ketola came through qualifying with wins over Bob Bryan and Carraz and a
thrashing of the youngster Ancic. Concern over the Brit's fitness (shoulder
at Indianapolis) is enough for me to leave this one alone.
Dick Norman
2.45 BEL vs. Bohdan
Ulihrach CZE

- The Belgian veteran took out
the #1 seed Burgsmuller in qualifying to make it into his first US Open and
first Slam since the 1997 French. He has won three challengers this year -
each on a different surface. Ulihrach, ranked about 150 places higher in the
rankings, got a few matches under his belt at Long Island last week after
five consecutive 1st round exits, but looks a shade under the odds today.
Michael Llodra
1.70 FRA vs. Jose
Acasuso ARG

- The Frenchman, who devotes a
lot of his time to doubles action, is in his first singles draw US Open. The
19 year-old Argentinean Acasuso looks to be still developing his game for
the faster surface and is clearly yet to prove himself off the dirt. No
question the Frenchman has the ability to win this, but mental lapses in the
past have been his nemesis.
Greg Rusedski
1.15 GBR (33) vs. Alex
Kim USA

- The Brit is one of the dark
horses here this week at around the 50/1 mark. An impressive lead-up with
wins over Safin, Haas and Hewitt on his way to the Indianapolis title will
have him in fine fettle for this. The wildcard Alex Kim has produced the
shock upset before - he beat Kafelnikov in straight set at the Aussie Open
earlier in the year - but this will be tougher.
Paradorn Srichaphan
1.07 THA vs.
Prakash Amritraj USA

- The Thai number one is on quite
a roll at the moment - following up a final at Washington with a debut win
at Long Island last week. I've been a fan since Jan this year and we've
profited greatly, but I can't help thinking he may be physically spent after
two big weeks. He has been working very hard on his game and fitness all
year, but the 18 year-old Amritraj is
the current U.S. Junior national champion, so he can't be taken lightly.
Eric Taino USA vs. Kristian Pless
1.62
DEN

- Taino got through qualifying
nicely and does have some decent form off the hardcourt challengers this
year. Pless has lost a lot more than he's won this year, but is expected to
have too
much game for the Yank.
Albert Portas ESP vs. Pete
Sampras 1.12 USA (17)

- Peter says he can still win a
Grand Slam, but really there's no hope. The rate of decline in the champ's
game is surprising all, but surely he'll be able to win this one. Portas did
win a few matches here last year, but has skipped all the hardcourt lead-up
tourneys this time around.
David Sanchez ESP vs. Tommy Haas
1.12
GER (3)

- The Spaniard is 0-6 in Slams
excluding Roland Garros and despite some solid clay form, he's yet to prove
capable on the faster surfaces. The only concern surrounds the German's
fitness - he withdrew from his semi against Srichaphan at Long Island last
week citing the troublesome shoulder.
Kenneth Carlsen 2.25DEN vs. Flavio Saretta BRA

- The
Brazilian Saretta has
lifted his game in the last year but it must be said that his hardcourt
experience at this level is very limited. Carlsen on the other hand, is a
veteran of eight U.S. Open's and while he had a disappointing loss to
Gimelstob last week at Long Island, does look capable of the upset here.
Alexander Popp
1.55 GER vs. Andreas Vinciguerra SWE

- The German struggles to perform
at ATP level, but up against a Swede who is 1-9 on the tour and has not been
past the 1st round of a tournament since the Aussie Open, this should be
easier.
|
|
TUESDAY
- 1ST ROUND (-4 units)
PLAYS
Tommy
Robredo ESP (31) vs. Mariano Zabaleta ARG
- Robredo
reached the 4th round in his debut U.S. Open appearance last year with wins
against T Martin and Ferrero, but his form in the lead-up to this is nothing
to write home about in my book. Wins over Schuettler, T Martin and Rusedski
have all taken three sets. Mariano Zabaleta is recognised as a clay courter,
but will have very fond memories of Flushing Meadows after defeating
Grosjean, Dent, Rusedski and Malisse on the way to the quarters here last
year.
Zabaleta (4 units at 2.75 -
SportingOdds)
-4
Mark
Philippoussis AUS vs. Sjeng Schalken NED (24)
- The
Dutchman hasn't done a lot this year, except for an excellent grass season.
The big-serving Aussie has a big 5-2 head-to-head advantage (inc. an 0 & 3
win in Adelaide this year) over Schalken. Recent form suggests the Scud is
still a long way off the form that saw him runner-up in '98, but I do like
his chances today.
Philippoussis (5 units at 1.83 -
William Hill) Void (Ret.)
Hyung-Taik
Lee KOR vs. Mardy Fish USA
- I'm a big
fan of both of these. Mardy Fish is riding high at the moment - he backed up
his Challenger win at Bronx with a quarter final at Long Island last week
where he was outplayed by Chela. Lee has had losses to Roddick, Sampras,
Nieminen and Arthurs in the last month - nothing too concerning, but I would
have liked to have seen a few more wins under the belt. He made it to the
fourth round here in 2000, so I'm leaning towards the experience here.
Lee (4
units at 2.10 -
Centrebet)
-4
Fabrice
Santoro FRA vs. Ivan Ljubicic CRO
- Ljubicic
remains a recognised talent but is plagued by inconsistency as evidenced
with a loss to Verkerk last start in Indianapolis. Santoro has solid form in
the lead-up and should be able to use his experience to advantage in this
one.
Santoro (5
units at 1.90 -
Sportingbet)
-5
Alexander
Waske GER vs. Guillermo Coria ARG
- Waske
failed to drop a set through qualifying inc. a win in the 3rd round against
Magnus Larsson. He won a challenger on a hardcourt back in April and must be
rated a huge chance of an upset in his first U.S. Open match.
Waske (2.5
units at 3.20 -
Sportingbet)
-2.5
Alberto
Martin ESP vs. Michel Kratochvil SUI
- Alberto has
never been past the 1st round in three attempts in New York (l. to Pless,
Novak and Kafelnikov), but is more than capable of the odd surprise on the
hardcourts.
Martin (4
units at 2.10 -
Bet365 )
+4.4
MULTI
Igor Kunitcin
RUS vs. Noam Okun 1.47 ISR

- Two
qualifiers meet here. The Russian came through with a win over Christophe
Rochus in the 1st round while Okun defeated Bachelot in his third match.
More experience at this level will get Okun home in this one.
Ivo
Heuberger
1.38 SUI vs. Slimane Saoudi FRA

- The
Frenchman got through three tight qualies to make it to his 1st Grand Slam
main draw. Heuberger, also though qualifying, made the final of the recent
hardcourt challenger at Wrexham and will have far too much today.
Xavier
Malisse 1.20 BEL (19) vs. Albert Montanes ESP

- Montanes is
yet to fully develop his game to be a threat off the dirt. Expect the
Belgian to have the edge in experience - he reached the 4th round at
Flushing Meadows last year with a win against Henman and has been solid if
not overly impressive in recent times, going 5-4 on the hardcourts since
Wimbledon.
Martin
Verkerk NED vs. Andy Roddick
1.14 USA (11)

- Verkerk won
a few matches against Popp and Ljubicic at Indianapolis before a tight
straight sets loss to Rusedski but is certain be a little overwhelmed
meeting Andy Roddick in his 1st Grand Slam match.
(4 units
at 2.78 -
Sportodds)
+7.12
|
|
Other Matches (Selections in BOLD):
Nicolas Kiefer GER vs. Marat Safin 1.33 RUS (2)

- Not the easiest opener for the inconsistent Russian so
I wouldn't be rushing to thrown this one into your multi's and parlays.
Kiefer looks to have run into some form in recent times after a horror start
to the year, but it's hard to go against the 2000 winner.
Lleyton Hewitt
1.04 AUS (1) vs. Nicolas Coutelot FRA

- The
Frenchman plays his first hardcourt match of the year. Good luck mate.
Julien Boutter 2.50 FRA vs. Gustavo Kuerten BRA

- Boutter has
been competitive in losses to Moya, Malisse and Gambill in the lead-up while
Guga, hampered by injury, has been very ordinary with 1st round losses in
the two main lead-up tourney's. The Frenchman does hold a 2-0 head-to-head
record, and many will remember I was on the Frenchman at big odds in the 1st
round of the Aus Open this year.
Taylor
Dent
1.40 USA vs. Raemon Sluiter NED

- The
Dutchman has been disappointing of late with losses to Kucera and Massu in
the lead-up. Dent on the other hand, has broken into the top-50 in the
Champion's race after claiming his first title on the grass of Newport. His
lead-up has been mixed - wins over Mantilla, Johansson and Rios but losses
to Novak, Ferrero and Malisse - but the big serve should be enough for a
win.
Jan-Michael Gambill 1.18 USA vs. Julian Knowle AUT

- The
Austrian has a serve that can do some damage on this surface so the American
will have to make sure he doesn't take this one too lightly. In fact Gambill
has been nothing short of a major disappointment in Grand Slams of late,
something I'm sure he will be keen to rectify - it's one thing to make the
final of LA, it's another to perform when it matters in the big ones.
Alex
Corretja 1.16 ESP (18) vs. Irakli Labadze GEO

- Labadze is
playing his 1st US Open and despite a poor lead-up, it's worth noting that
he did defeat Srichaphan in a hardcourt (indoor) challenger final in
January. Corretja meanwhile is playing some of the best tennis of the career
at the moment. His solid lead-up and clear edge in experience will be too
much today.
Juan
Carlos Ferrero 1.50 ESP (7) vs. Wayne Arthurs AUS

- The
big-serving Aussie has notched up wins against Okun, Sampras, Robredo and
H-T Lee in the lead-up following his excellent grass season, but still
relies too much on the serve. Ferrero beat him 6-4 7-6 in Cincinnati three
weeks ago and given the all round strengths of the Spaniard it's hard to
envisage a different outcome today.
Agustin
Calleri 1.77 ARG vs. Fernando Meligeni BRA

- The
Argentinean had a win over Spadea in his only hardcourt lead-up at Long
Island before losing to Haas in three sets. He has the game to win plenty of
matches on the hardcourt. Apart from a surprise quarter final and win over
Roddick in Washington a fortnight ago, the veteran Meligeni, in his 11th
appearance in NY, has done very little off the dirt in recent times.
Nicolas
Lapentti
1.60 ECU (27) vs. Nicolas Massu CHI

- Lapentti,
coming off a quarter final appearance at Wimbledon, has tight losses to
Roddick, Costa and Srichaphan in his three lead-up event, but did have a win
against Gaudio. Massu had a win against an out of sorts Federer last week,
but his best results are usually on the clay.
Carlos
Moya
1.16 ESP (9) vs. Adrian Voinea ROM

- Moya is
having one of his best years on the ATP tour, but it's fair to say that,
despite his title win at Cincinnati, that the majority of the points are
still gained on the dirt. Having said that, his U.S. Open record is quite a
healthy one. Voinea has played some of his best tennis this year on the
hardcourts, so don't discount him taking a set or two today.
Thomas
Enqvist
1.06 SWE (29) vs. Matias Boeker USA

- Don't know
much about Boeker, but ranked #348 and in his first Grand Slam tourney will
find this very tough. Slight injury concern over the Swede having w/d from
Long Island with a "rotator cuff".
Jarkko
Nieminen 1.40 FIN (34) vs. Fernando Vicente ESP

- The Finn is
a very promising type who has burst onto the main tour this year and looks
well suited to the hardcourts. Three set losses to the likes of Haas and
Hewitt in the lead up give some indication of where he's at. Vicente is
capable off the dirt, but form of late - losses to Chang and Burgsmuller -
leaves a little to be desired.
Jerome
Golmard FRA vs. Vincent Spadea 1.90 USA

- H-H 0-2 on
Hard. Spadea stands at 6-11 on the main tour in '02 but has been very solid
in the challengers, inc. a hardcourt win in March. Golmard has played
sparingly this year - he's had wins against Gambill and Chang at Washington
and a loss to Morrison last week at Long Island in his lead-up. No
confidence about this one.
Jurgen Melzer
AUT vs.
Jack Brasington 1.83 USA

- Tough
match-up, but the Yank looks to have a far superior hard court pedigree and
did take a set off Roddick in the 2nd round here last year.
Rainer
Schuettler
1.18 GER (23) vs. Jean-Rene Lisnard FRA

- The German
is having one of his best years on the tour and recent form is very solid.
The Frenchman beat Simoni to qualify for his first main draw U.S. Open but
this won't be easy.
Gaston
Etlis 1.75 ARG vs. Bjorn Rehnquist SWE

- Two
qualifiers both in their first main draw singles US Open. The Argentinean
looks to have done it easier in the qualies, but I'm not up to speed on
these two.
|
|
MONDAY -
1ST ROUND (-9.8 units)
PLAYS
Yevgeny Kafelnikov RUS (4) vs. Davide Sanguinetti ITA
- Kafelnikov looked to have put
his horror stretch behind him with a grass court title at Halle, but first
up losses to Schuettler and Ancic in the his last two hard court lead-up
events is hardly the ideal preparation for this. Still, you have to go back
16 Grand Slam tourney's since the Russian has gone out in the 1st round
(Wimbledon '98) and it's just 2 from 33 over his career. Sanguinetti has
played well on U.S. hardcourts before - he was runner-up at Memphis in '01
and defeated Roddick to win Delray Beach in March.
Sanguinetti
(2 units at 3.75 -
Sportingbet)
-2
Michael Chang USA vs. Francisco Clavet ESP
- A battle of the two veterans.
Chang has shown some sort of form of late with a shock win over Haas at
Cincinnati and a win over Martin Lee at Washington, but remains well and
truly on the decline. The Spaniard Clavet defeated Phau and then had a tight
loss to Pavel at Indianapolis, but looks to have the edge on this surface.
Clavet (4
units at 2.25 -
Bet365 )
-4
Mario Ancic CRO vs. Dominik
Hrbaty SVK
- The big-serving 18-year old
Croatian has defeated Federer (Wimbledon) and Kafelnikov (Indianapolis) in
recent times. He makes it into the main draw as a lucky loser - he had wins
over Brits Delgado and Lee and then a terrible loss to the Finn Ketola in
the qualies.
Hrbaty has a solid US Open record and will give 100%, but this does look a
big danger match.
Ancic (4
units at 2.10 -
Bet365 )
-4
Todd Martin USA vs. Gaston Gaudio
ARG (21)
- The veteran Yank won't find
this easy up against the young Argentinean. Martin has not been in the
greatest of form in the last month - losses to Santoro, Robredo and Alex Kim
since Wimbledon doesn't look all that flash. While Gaudio has never been
past the 1st round in three attempts (l. to Mirnyi, Clement and Lareau), he
has improved his game immeasurably over the past 12 months.
Gaudio (4
units at 2.30 - Centrebet)
+5.2
MULTI
Marcelo Rios
1.44 CHI (22) vs. Jonas Bjorkman SWE

- The Swede, yet to win a match
since taking the Nottingham title on grass in June, looks a long way off
showing the sort of form that got his year off to such a great start to the
year in Australia. Rios has a nice preparation for this with four solid
matches in Washington to go with his very solid hardcourt form from earlier
in the year.
Jarkko Nieminen
1.40 FIN (34) vs.
Fernando Vicente ESP (Tues)
- The Finn is a very promising
type who has burst onto the main tour this year and looks well suited to the
hardcourts. Three set losses to the likes of Haas and Hewitt in the lead up
give some indication of where he's at. Vicente is capable off the dirt, but
form of late - losses to Chang and Burgsmuller - leaves a little to be
desired.
Xavier Malisse
1.16 BEL (19) vs.
Albert Montanes ESP (Tues)
- Montanes is yet to fully
develop his game to be a threat off the dirt. Expect the Belgian to have the
edge in experience - he reached the 4th round at Flushing Meadows last year
with a win against Henman and has been solid if not overly impressive in
recent times, going 5-4 on the hardcourts since Wimbledon.
Andrei Pavel
1.16 ROM (30) vs. Harel
Levy ISR

- No problems here for the
Romanian.
(5 units
at 2.72 -
Bet365 )
-5
|
|
Other Matches
(Selections in BOLD):
Nikolay Davydenko
1.40 RUS vs.
Radoslav Lukaev BUL

- The young Belarusian got
through qualies without dropping a set to make his ATP Tour debut at the US
Open. Davydenko prefers the dirt but should have too much experience today.
Brian Vahaly USA vs. James Blake
1.12
USA (25)

- Blake comes off an exceptional
debut win last start in Washington and has reached the second round of his
last four Grand Slam tourney's. Don't expect a walk in the park - Vahaly
is a three-time All-American at the
University of Virginia who has won three USTA Professional
Circuit/Challenger events on the hardcourt in 2002.
Lars Burgsmuller
1.50 GER vs. Robin
Soderling SWE

- The Swede impressed in
qualifying by taking out two seeds in Suzuki and Voltchkov while Burgsmuller
gets a spot as a lucky loser after going down to the in form veteran Belgian
Dick Norman. The German had a couple of solid wins against Godwin and
Vicente in Washington after a win at the Wrexham Challenger (hard).
Luis Horna
2.00 PER vs. John van
Lottum NED

- The Dutchman has been past the
first round in just one of his last ten Grand Slam tourney's - the 1999 US
Open. He failed to drop a set against questionable opposition in qualifying
but is just 1-6 on hardcourts this year. Horna on the other hand, has won
three clay challengers since May but more importantly, won matches against
Alberto Martin and Schalken before a tight loss to Safin at the TMS Miami
(hard) in March.
Richard Krajicek NED vs. Jiri
Novak 2.00 CZE (14)

- Very tough to pick. Krajicek
came out on top in a recent meeting at Cincinatti and continues to impress
in his comeback with a tight loss to El Aynaoui last week at Long Island.
Novak has a semi final appearance at the TMS Toronto as his best lead-up
result and might be too good over the five-sets, but I'll be leaving this
one alone.
Olivier Rochus BEL vs. Hicham
Arazi 1.83 MAR

- Olivier Rochus has struggled
big time since his big win over Safin at Wimbledon, only winning two of
fifteen sets of tennis on the main tour with losses to the likes of Sa,
Galvani, Vicente and Fish. He has failed to pass the first round here in two
prior appearances. The gutsy Moroccan Arazi has made it to the 3rd round for
the last three years, and while short on match-play in the last month,
should be able to build on his 2-0 record over Rochus.
Jeff Morrison USA vs. Younes El
Aynaoui 1.28 MAR (20)

- The Yank was riding high in
June, winning a grass challenger and defeating Ferrero on the way to a 3rd
round at Wimbledon, but has fallen back to earth since with lead-up losses
to Vicente, Pavel and Chela. El Aynaoui has never played his best at the US
Open and recent form prior to last weeks quarter final at Long Island
suggests this price is slightly unders.
Jan Vacek CZE vs. Wayne Ferreira
1.35 RSA

- The Czech had a great Wimbledon
but has mostly struggled since. The South African is not getting any younger
and has be known to prolong matches he should finish off more quickly, but
look for him to do this one fairly comfortably.
Magnus Norman SWE vs.
Albert
Costa 1.50 ESP (8)

- It must be said that the French
Open champ has hardly impressed since his win at Roland Garros. His
hardcourt lead-up comprises a loss to Spadea at Toronto and a three set win
over Lapentti and loss to Ferreira at Cincinnati. Norman has been improving
slowly since his return to the tour - despite a 1st round loss to Spadea
last week at Long Island, he has been competitive against the likes of
Gambill and Haas in the lead-up.
Andrea Gaudenzi
2.10 ITA vs. Anthony
Dupuis FRA

- Very, very tough to pick! This
one is just too hard, slight lean towards the Italian.
Attila Savolt HUN vs. Max Mirnyi
1.25 BLR (32)

- Mirnyi is yet to live up to all
the wraps placed upon him by Bolleteri and co. - only a tournament win will
change this. He has wins over Srichaphan and Mathieu in the last month but
has also lost to Kiefer twice. Some doubt surrounds Savolt's fitness after
he withdrew from his 2nd round match with Bjorkman at Long Island last week
citing an elbow strain, so you'd have to go with Max.
Jiri Vanek CZE vs. Roger Federer
1.16
SUI (13)

- Federer has been in dreadful
form dating back to his shock loss to Ancic at Wimbledon. The tragic death
of his one-time Swiss coach has not made things any easier, but this will
surely be a formality.
Andre Sa
1.62 BRA vs. Feliciano Lopez
ESP

- Lopez had a quick loss to
Ulihrach in the 1st round of Long Island last week and to Roux at
Indianapolis, but his U.S. hardcourt form from March (win vs Malisse) is
okay. Having said that, Sa has had his measure (2-0) in recent times - the
last win at Wimbledon, where he reached the quarters.
Alex Bogomolov Jr. USA vs. Ramon
Delgado 1.67 PAR

- Delgado had a win against Sa
last week at Long Island and despite going out in the 1st round of his prior
four events, he was competitive on all of them. The 19 year-old Yank gets in
with a wildcard and despite a win against Haas a month ago in LA, has not
really shown enough at Challenger level for mine.
Justin Gimelstob
1.60 USA vs. Edwin
Kempes NED

- You know what they say about
taking a bad player against another bad player! The Dutchman Kempes has come
through qualies, while Gimelstob has the wildcard. The American has been
therabouts this year on the USTA circuit and probably deserves favouritsm,
but I'll leave this one alone.
Robby Ginepri USA vs. Andre Agassi
1.03 USA (6)

- Providing he's fit, expect
Andre to make very light work of this one. As evidenced against Hewitt
(double bagel) Ginepri looks to be seriously troubled by back court power.
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