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Lleyton Hewitt 1.07 AUS (1) vs. Magnus
Larsson SWE
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The veteran Swede got through qualies with a good win over the dangerous
Tursunov, but isn't anywhere near fit enough for a best-of-five against
Hewitt.
Cecil Mamiit 1.70 USA vs. Todd Larkham
AUS
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Journeyman Todd Larkham came through qualifying with three good wins but has
failed to get past the first round here on four other occasions and has some
ordinary challenge tour form from the second half of last year. Mamiit has
more experience and did have a good win over Burgsmuller and took a set off
Kucera in the Chennai lead-up, so is a deserving favourite for mine.
Younes El Aynaoui MAR (18) vs.
Justin Gimelstob 5.00 USA
- Gimelstob
has lost two tight matches to Kucera (Chennai) and Squillari (Syd Q) and has
been seen working very hard on the practice courts, so this might not be the
procession that some expect. The Moroccan started the season with a semi
appearance in Doha after six straight losses round off his best career year
in '02, but this is a danger game for mine.
Vadim Kutsenko UZB vs. Ivan Ljubicic
1.30 CRO
- Kutsenko
is making his Grand Slam debut after a tight three set win over Godwin in
the final round of qualifying. Ljubicic came out on top in a tight three
setter when these two met in Tashkent last year, and over five sets here one
has to go with the class to prevail again.
Feliciano Lopez 3.00 ESP vs. Alex Corretja ESP (15)
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It's hard to know how much motivation Corretja is placing upon his campaign
here this year - he did beat Arazi in the Kooyong warm-up - but this is hard
to assess. Lopez is a highly rated Spaniard with a big serve and heavy
hitting game that got him some big wins last including a round of 16 at
Wimbledon. He is in his Aussie Open debut, but what he lacks in experience
he might be able to make it up in match fitness and exuberance.
Andy Roddick 1.08 USA (9) vs. Zeljko
Krajan CRO
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I'm not tipping the A-Rod to get too far here, but this should be a
formality.
Mikhail Youzhny 1.45 RUS (25) vs.
Richard Gasquet FRA
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What an intriguing 1st round match-up! The 16 year-old Frenchman has been
getting plenty of headlines down here with an impressive display at the
Kooyong warm-up. He might have to wait a little longer for his first Grand
Slam match win however, as he will face a tougher test mentally over the
five sets here. Youzhny should be well an truly over any Davis Cup hangover
and has made the 3rd round in both starts here.
Olivier Rochus 1.85 BEL vs. Arnaud Di
Pasquale FRA
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Very tough. One of these will advance past the first round for the first
time here, but who? Olivier has not been disgraced with losses to Voinea and
Safin in the last two weeks while Di Pasquale has gone down to Gasquet and
Fish. The camp says the Frenchman is fit and raring to go, but don't write
off the gutsy Belgian.
Marat Safin RUS (3) vs.
Raemon
Sluiter 4.25 NED
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The $64 question has to be just how in the Safin shoulder holding up? Last
year's runner-up pulled out of Sydney last week as a 'precaution', but one
must assume the injury is not too bad. Nevertheless, Sluiter, although a
rather inconsistent type, is certainly capable of prolonging this match. He
will appreciate the faster surfaces and might be worth a spec at this price.
Albert Montanes 1.66 ESP vs. Mariano
Puerta ARG
- A
couple of genuine clay courters meet here. Montanes has the advantage of
having a few matches in Chennai, but both were easlily defeated in 1st round
Sydney qualifying. Good Luck.
Todd Reid AUS vs.
Richard Krajicek 1.22 NED
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The 18-year old Aussie has been competitive in the last two weeks when
taking a set off Spadea and Gaudio and he also claimed a set of Escude in
the corresponding match here last year. Over five sets the big serving
Dutchman is going to get too many free points, but I wont be touching this
price.
Gregory Carraz 2.10 FRA vs. Jose
Acasuso ARG
- Acasuso
had a great year on clay but is yet to prove himself whatsoever on
hardcourts. Carraz gets into the main draw for the first time as a lucky
loser from qualifying. He'll be match fit and have too much experience in
these conditions for mine.
Alberto Martin ESP vs.
Alex Bogomolov Jr. 3.25 USA
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Very tough opener for the Spaniard here. Bogomolov Jr. is a fiery type with
a very big backcourt game that is sure to pose a few problems today. He beat
Haas in L.A. last year and won a challenger in late November. He qualified
into his first Aussie Open main draw and inexperience may prove his
downfall, but should go close.
Julien Varlet FRA vs.
Fernando
Gonzalez 1.20 CHI (13)
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Fernando Gonzalez burst onto the scene last year with some massive wins on
hardcourts including a round of 16 here and a quarter final at the U.S.
Open. The man with the biggest forehand in the game lost to Ferrer last week
in Auckland and notably withdrew from the doubles citing a right knee
injury, so may be some risk here. The Frenchman is only playing his 2nd
Grand Slam match and is coming from challenger level so he's hard to
recommend.
Jaymon Crabb 1.60 AUS vs. Andrew Ilie
AUS
- Crabb
has impressed in the lead-up with a tight loss to Gasquet in Adel qualies
followed by wins over Beck, Portas, Squillari in Sydney before taking a set
off Ferrero in the main draw. Ilie on the other hand failed to qualify and
had a well documented disastrous year in '02 when failing to win a match on
the ATP Tour.
Dominik Hrbaty 2.10 SVK vs. Xavier
Malisse BEL (20)
- Malisse
is under somewhat of an injury cloud coming into this with dodgy appendages
such as leg, calf, chest and elbow mentioned in one place or another. Hrbaty
has been backed from 7/4 into evens with some shops, so there must be
something there, but that's not quite enough for me. Malisse's record in
Grand Slams is excellent and while Hrbaty has form from Auckland, there's
too much uncertainty.
Stefan Koubek 1.55 AUT (32) vs.
Andreas Vinciguerra SWE
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The Swede has a respectable 6-3 record here and having come through qualies
will be match fit and well acclimatised. He'll have an army of Swedish
support to help him get home, but Koubek is on a 7-1 run this year including
a win over Vinciguerra on the way to the Doha title.
Lars Burgsmuller 1.67 GER vs. Juan
Balcells ESP
- Balcells
is on an 0-5 Grand Slam run and is 0-2 here, lost to Okun in Chennai and
Vacek in Sydney qualifying - hardly enough to get me excited about this
encounter, but he did take Grosjean to four here last year and did reach the
Scottsdale final. Burgsmuller has losses to Mamiit and Henry as a lead-up
and is on an 0-6 Grand Slam run himself, but deserves to start a solid fave.
Flavio Saretta BRA vs.
Roger Federer 1.20 SUI (6)
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The Swiss star talked about a groin strain to explain his loss to Squillari
in Sydney and has been posted at as much as 1/5 here. Saretta warmed up for
this with a Challenger win in Brazil, but Federer has an good record here
and if fit should win this with ease.
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