Time Check. 1200 Wimbledon = 2100 AEDT; 1100 GMT; 0700 US ET
SELECTIONS ARCHIVE
WIMBLEDON - SUNDAY 6th JULY
NO PLAY
SUNDAY
FINAL (SELECTION IN BOLD)
Roger Federer SUI (4) v. Mark
Philippoussis AUS
- In his own words, Roger Federer played
an 'unbelievable' semi-final against Andy Roddick. If he can play to
that level today, this will be over very quickly. But this is a Grand
Slam final and given Federer's mental vulnerabilities in the past, this
will certainly present a huge test. Philippoussis has played well when
under pressure over the past fortnight, but he hasn't faced an opponent
of Federer's class. The Scud won their last meeting on the dirt of
Hamburg a few months ago, but in a best-of-five situation, his lack of
consistency might prove his downfall.
WIMBLEDON - FRIDAY 4th JULY
NO PLAYS
OTHER
SEMI FINALS FOR FRIDAY (SELECTIONS IN BOLD)
Andy Roddick USA (5) v. Roger
Federer SUI (4)
- Both players are on 10-match winning
streaks and have only dropped a set each en-route to the semis. Both are
also looking to reach their first Grand Slam final. Federer has a
notable 3-0 head-to-head advantage, but this is their first meeting on
grass. I have to give the edge to the American. His serve has been close
to un-returnable at the All-England Club - in is last match he only gave
up one break point opportunity to Bjorkman and that was very early on in
the encounter. Roddick also looks to have the clear edge in mental
toughness. It's Federer who has the big question mark when it comes to
performing at his best in the pressure packed matches.
Sebastien Grosjean FRA (13)
v. Mark Philippoussis AUS
- Another two debut Wimbledon
semi-finalists clash. The Frenchman continued his impressive grass court
season with a hard fought win over Tim Henman, while Philippoussis came
back from two sets down and saving five break-points late in the 5th
set, to get past Alexander Popp. The head-to-head record stands at 2-2
with Grosjean winning the last two, but this is their first meeting on
grass. The Scud is playing some great tennis here and winning close to
nine out of ten first serves is always going to make you hard to beat on
grass, but Grosjean has been serving well himself and if he can get into
the points, he looks to have the advantage from the back of the court.
The great British dream lives on, but it was hardly
championship winning material from Henman with his performance against
Nalbandian on Monday. The Brit comes into this having defeated just one
player in the top-100 while Grosjean has backed up his runner-up at
Queen's with wins over the likes of Enqvist, big-servers Arthurs and
Moodie and French Open winner Ferrero. While Henman leads the
head-to-head 3-2, Grosjean notched up a 4 & 3 win at Queen's three weeks
ago. He is serving very well at the moment and has looked a lot sharper
from the back of the court. He is yet to play a match on Centre Court
and has the crowd to deal with, but on current form, the wrong man is
favourite.
It was nothing short of a stunning
serving display that saw Philippoussis edge Agassi in their five-setter
on Monday. He boomed down a record-equaling 46 aces the same time as,
while converting only three, amassing a massive 21 break-point
opportunities on the Agassi serve. While this was happening, out on
Court 14, Alexander Popp was taking care of Olivier Rochus to reach the
quarters for the second time in as many attempts. Yes, the Scud is
serving extraordinarily well and as I've said before he's playing some
career best tennis this year, but his price today is very short. He has
suffered let-downs after big wins in the past and it would came as no
surprise to see him make hard work of this one.
OTHER
QUARTER FINALS FOR WEDNESDAY (SELECTIONS IN BOLD)
Jonas Bjorkman SWE v. Andy Roddick USA (5)
- Roddick improved to 9-0 on the grass
season with new coach Brad Gilbert after his four-set win over
Srichaphan on Monday. While he won an impressive 24 of 29 of his net
approaches in that encounter, he'll be tested to the limit today by the
crafty Bjorkman. The Swede has made it to the last eight at Wimbledon
for the first time but he certainly has the game to trouble the
hard-hitting Yank - as evidenced by a straight sets win at Nottingham
last year. He backed up in doubles action yesterday so he won't be as
fresh as one would hope, but this price looks to big to me.
Roger Federer SUI (4) v. Sjeng Schalken
NED (8)
- Both players come into this with some
rather serious injury concerns. Schalken reportedly had an MRI scan on a
foot injury yesterday and while there were no breaks, he must be is some
doubt today. Federer meanwhile, had extensive on-court treatment to his
lower back and was only in
second gear when getting past Lopez on Monday. He indicated that he was
still feeling pain during his post-match interviews. An injection or two
might do the trick, but if the trouble is still there, I'm tipping a
fully fit
Schalken would run him around more than Lopez. Both players come into this
on nine-match win streaks having won lead-up tourney's, so form is not a
concern. Federer has already defeated Schalken three times this year but
their one and only meeting on grass - last year at 's-Hertogenbosch -
was won by the Dutchman. Schalken has only dropped 2 of his last 38
service games so if he's fit, he looks to be right in this, but there's
too much uncertainty at this stage to go anywhere near this one.
Henmania enters it's second week and while
the Brit has only dropped one set, he is yet to face anybody ranked
higher than 131 with wins
over Zib (157), Llodra (131) and Soderling (155) - quite a sobering
thought considering that today, he comes up against Nalbandian - sixth
seed and 9-1 at Wimbledon. The Argentinean finished off strong against a
faltering Kucera on Saturday and holds the 2-0 head-to-head advantage
between these two. With the forecast heavier conditions almost certain
to suit Nalbandian this price looks well over the odds to me.
The French Open champion earned his best
result at SW19 with a hard fought win over Sargsian on Saturday while
Grosjean failed to have his serve broken once in a four set win over
Moodie. Ferrero leads the head-to-head 2-0 (both on clay) but in these
conditions, one has to like the chances of the Frenchman.
Ultra-impressive in the lead-up, Grosjean has the edge in the service
department and should also dominate at the net.
OTHER
4TH ROUND MATCHES FOR MONDAY (SELECTIONS IN BOLD)
Max Mirnyi BLR v. Jonas Bjorkman SWE
- Mirnyi dropped a set to Karlovic back on
Friday while Bjorkman thrashed Gimelstob when winning an excellent 81%
on 1st serve. The Swede certainly possesses the game to trouble Mirnyi -
as evidenced by a 6-1 head-to-head advantage, most recently a straight
sets win at Roland Garros. 'The Beast' always leaves plenty of room for
the pass and Bjorkman is one of the better returners of serve going
around. Mirnyi has the slight advantage of backing up on Court 13 for
the third straight match, but it's hard to see him taking this one.
Paradorn Srichaphan THA (12) v. Andy Roddick USA (5)
- Srichaphan put two five setters behind
him by doing what he had to against the inexperienced Nadal on Friday.
But if Roddick serves anywhere near to what he has been - five break
points in 46 service games says it all - then I really can't see the
Thai providing to much resistance today. He can certainly fire back his
fare share of winners, but he's looked vulnerable on serve all week and
will surely be put under pressure in that department more than not.
Roger Federer SUI (4) v. Feliciano Lopez
ESP
- The lefty Lopez has made it to the
fourth round for the second time in as many starts. He's done it
considerably easier this year however, failing to drop a set to the
likes of Kendrick, Youzhny and Saretta. He served 18 aces for an
83% win on 1st serve on Friday, so the kicking left handed serve is
proving a real advantage. Federer was impressive against Fish in the
last round, but he'll have to give the grass-loving Spaniard some
respect today. Will the Court Two curse strike again? Just maybe.
Rainer Schuettler GER (9) v. Sjeng
Schalken NED (8)
- The German had too much for Todd Martin
at the end of their marathon encounter on Saturday while Schalken was
workman-like in a straight set win over Hanescu. The Dutchman has been
going for a while now, having won a tourney last week, but he backs up
on Court 18 with the faster conditions there to suit. Schuettler is
certainly able to prolong this one, but the grass-court record of
Schalken is very hard to overlook.
Olivier Rochus BEL v. Alexander Popp GER
- Rochus continues to impress here, after
knocking out Nieminen on Saturday while Popp got past an
injury-restricted Novak. The German has the bigger serve and has the
advantage on playing on the 'faster' side of the grounds at Court 14,
but the pint-sized Belgian has proven before that he can handle the
power.
Mark Philippoussis AUS v. Andre Agassi USA
(2)
- A set and 0-4 down in a breaker, the
Scud came back from the dead in his 3rd round match with Stepanek, the
same time as Agassi was ploughing away a tight win over El Anayoui.
Agassi has won the last six meetings between these two including a
quarter-final in 2000, clearly having the Aussie's measure. The Scud
will serve his fare share of aces, but the best returner in the game
will get plenty back and the unforced errors will flow.
Nalbandian, it must be said wasn't all
that convincing up against Andre Sa on Thursday. It was an error riddled
performance that quite frankly would not have fared to well against most
of the other players in the draw. The Argentinean has the final of last
year to hang his hat on, but that's it when it comes to senior grass
court experience. After starting the year well, Kucera looks to have run
into some very handy form this week and given his long term grass court
record, this looks overs.
The Spaniard has won both meetings between
these two, but the last one at Indian Wells earlier this year was
particularly close. I've been impressed with Ferrero this week, first-up
since the French Open was never going to be easy, but I can see this one
going down to the wire. Sargsian, while lacking the class of his
opponent, will have the edge at the net and importantly, has been given
a third consecutive match on Court Two (yet to drop a set in his opening
two games), whereas Ferrero comes straight of two matches on Centre
Court.
Popp is always going prove a threat on
grass. He has defeated Arazi and the grass-loving Sluiter here this week
so he must be given some respect. Novak has a lot more Grand Slam
experience but it is worth noting that he had not passed the second
round here in seven prior attempts. The German looks to have the edge in
the service department and if he gets some sunny and fast conditions,
he'll be right in this.
Philippoussis was very impressive against
Saulnier on Thursday and while he relinquished an early break in the 3rd
set, the result never looked in doubt. This will be much tougher. Stepanek
has reached the third round in for the second time in as many starts at
SW19 and is having his best year on tour. It's the usual story, if the
Scud's serve goes missing, he's in trouble and I certainly believe the
Czech will be able to take advantage of such an eventuality.
OTHER
3RD ROUND MATCHES FOR SATURDAY (SELECTIONS IN BOLD)
Robin Soderling SWE v. Tim Henman GBR (10)
- The Swede has been labeled the next big
thing by those in the know from his homeland. His big serve makes him
well suited to grass and he will certainly go for his shots, but he
hasn't seen centre court before and with a bunch of screaming Poms all
against him, it may prove too much.
Sebastien Grosjean FRA (13) v. Wesley
Moodie RSA
- The Frenchman has really impressed this
week. The runner-up to Roddick at Queen's looks to have provided a big
confidence boost coming into this week. He is serving brilliantly - 14
aces and 0 doubles in his last match alone. A win here would equal his
best result at Wimbledon. Moodie is well suited to grass and always does
well at this time of the year in the lower tiered events, but he lacks
the all-round ability to be in this.
Olivier Rochus BEL v. Jarkko Nieminen FIN
(30)
- Rochus has won both hardcourt meetings
between these two and on this surface must be favoured to advance. Nieminen
has done well to get past qualifier Verdasco and lucky loser Galvani,
but definitely likes it a lot slower that this. Rochus has made the
third round for the third time in four starts at the All England Club,
so I like his chances to progress.
Younes El Aynaoui MAR (27) v. Andre Agassi
USA (2)
- This should be a very entertaining match
to watch. El Aynaoui got past Massu in a very tight match on Thursday
and looks to be able to adapt his game very well to grass court
conditions. An 0-4 head-to-head record with Agassi however, suggest he
struggles with the relentless scrambling and all-round ability of
Agassi's game.
The German had few problems with Santoro
on Wednesday while Martin picked up his serve and disposed of Kuerten.
You can be sure Schuettler will run down everything, but the veteran
Yank will get a few more free points on serve and has the grass court
pedigree. I must say I rated
Martin a slight favourite under these conditions.
OTHER
3RD ROUND MATCHES FOR FRIDAY (SELECTIONS IN BOLD)
Ivo Karlovic CRO v. Max Mirnyi BLR
- Mirnyi has notched up solid wins over
Spadea and Ljubicic coming into this. He looks to be serving well with
very few errors to his name. Karlovic backed up his giant-killing win
over Hewitt with a respectable performance against Baccanello on
Wednesday, but this will be much tougher. There is just too much
reliance on the serve for my liking.
Jonas Bjorkman SWE v. Justin
Gimelstob USA
- Gimelstob surprised many with his
performance on Wednesday when he stormed home over the in-form Clement
in the fifth set. He certainly likes the fast conditions here, but his
opponent today is equally at home here. Bjorkman impressed in the lead
up and should use his edge at the net to great advantage today.
Paradorn Srichaphan THA (12) v. Rafael
Nadal ESP
- You've got to admire the fighting spirit
of the Thai. He was down and out against Mutis on Wednesday before a
truly remarkable comeback. He still clearly hasn't fully adjusted his
free-hitting game to the vagaries of grass court tennis but his heart is
keeping him in it. Nadal has come here with few expectations and with
two solid wins already this week, he must be rated a big show today.
Tommy Robredo ESP (25) v. Andy Roddick
USA (5)
- Roddick leads the head-to-head 4-0 (1-0
on grass). Robredo has defeated the likes of Acasuso and Vahaly - as he
should have - this week but you don't need me to tell you that he faces
a tougher test today. The A-Rod will have to be careful not to suffer a
let down after the big build-up to his match with Rusedski, but if can
maintain anything near to his serving level in his first two matches, this looks
comfortable.
Roger Federer SUI (4) v. Mardy Fish
USA
- An out of form J-M Gambill proved no
match for Mardy Fish on Wednesday as predicted, but I feel that he'll
have to play to his absolute best to be a chance today. Federer looks to
be running into some form here this week and is looming as a major
threat to be in action at SW19 well into next week.
Flavio Saretta BRA v. Feliciano Lopez
ESP
- The heavy hitting Saretta came out on
top in a five-set marathon against Calleri on Wednesday, while Lopez
once again proved his ability on faster surfaces with a straight-sets
win over Youzhny. I'm giving Lopez a slight edge, but with another
marathon on the cards, I'm willing to sit this one out.
Victor Hanescu ROM v. Sjeng Schalken
NED (8)
- The improving Romanian has come through
quallies (albeit as lucky loser in controversial circumstances) and then
notched up wins over Portas and Chela. Schalken has the class and
all-round grass court game to make quick work of this - the only
question mark surrounds his fitness should this one go the distance. The
Dutchman is coming of a win at Rosmalen last Sunday, a match on Monday
and then a draining four-hour marathon against Lapentti in the second
round here on Wednesday.
The talented Blake had no problems with
the journeyman Larkham in the first round, but he'll need to be wary of
the experienced Armenian. Sargsian made very quick work of the in-form
Bogdanovic on Tuesday and he certainly has the ability to exploit the
mental weakness in the American's game.
The French Open champ showed few signs
of a hangover as he swept aside Lisnard on Tuesday. He'll need to do a
little more to be certain of advancing today. Escude was pushed by Greek
qualifier Economidis in the first round. On that performance and given
that he was coming into this week under an injury cloud (groin at Halle),
I'm willing to side with the confident Spaniard.
Reports are that the Scud was less than
convincing against Zabaleta on Tuesday. The trainer was called at one
stage and the big serving Aussie complained of feeling 'flat' in
post-match interviews. Saulnier flew through qualifying and then had a
confidence building win over last year's semi finalist Malisse. His
Grand Slam record coming into this week read a shocking 1-9, but if the
Philippoussis serve goes missing for an extended period, I can certainly
see him being right in this match.
Both advanced on Tuesday with
comfortable wins - El Aynaoui over wildcard Hilton and the well backed
Massu over Krajan in what can only be described as a very "suspect"
match. The Chilean is no stranger to grass, having won a junior doubles
title here some years ago, and I'm not sure that El Aynoui is all that
comfortable with the low bouncing conditions.
Last year's finalist Nalbandian hasn't
had the greatest form coming into this, but he got by a past semi
finalist here in Voltchkov on Tuesday. Andre Sa has just turned around a
horrific start to the year in the last few weeks but you can't read to
much into his win over a 'dead' Puerta in the first round.
Karol Kucera
SVK to bt Takao Suzuki JPN
The Japanese qualifier did very well to
get past Dick Norman in a tight three-set encounter but this will much
tougher. Karol Kucera is very confident on grass, and while I'm not
reading anything into his win over an unfit Ferreira on Tuesday, he has
the lead-up form to suggest that this will be well within his reach.
Raemon
Sluiter NED to bt Alexander Popp
GER
The Dutchman demonstrated his love of
the grass with an excellent come from behind win over Kafelnikov on
Tuesday. Popp beat Arazi in three sets in the first round and does look
to have the edge in the serving department, but Sluiter has a lot more
all-round game.
Jiri Novak CZE
(11) to bt David Ferrer ESP
Clay courter David Ferrer comes off a
win over Martin Lee but he'll need to do a lot more to be in this. Novak
had a slow start against Horna and as previously mentioned, has not
advanced past the second round here in seven attempts, but he'll find
this a lot easier.
OTHER
2ND ROUND MATCHES FOR THURSDAY (SELECTIONS IN BOLD)
Robin Soderling SWE v. Gilles
Elseneer BEL
- Two qualifiers meet. Elseneer posted a
win over Kiefer in his first Grand Slam match. The German came in under
an injury cloud and does throw in the odd shocker so I'm willing to run
a line through that one. Soderling meanwhile, was very impressive
against French Open finalist Verkerk. Although the Dutchman looked very
ill at ease on the grass, he still managed to crank up the serve and
heap the pressure on the young Swede. Elseneer clearly enjoys these
conditions and has some respectable challenger form on the year but I'm
giving the edge to Soderling.
Michael Llodra FRA v. Tim Henman
GBR (10)
- Just as another dose of Henmania is
about to set in, up comes a tricky opponent in the doubles specialist
Llodra. The Frenchman was impressive in qualifying and got the job done
against Sanchez on Tuesday while Henman was hardly convincing against
the lowly Zib. The Brit has the crowd and centre court experience behind
him but this game has danger written all over it.
Sebastien Grosjean FRA (13) v. Wayne Arthurs AUS
- Grosjean came back yesterday and was
very impressive against Enqvist while Arthurs advanced after beating
Alberto Martin. If the Frenchman can serve like he did against Enqvist,
he'll have too much for the more one-dimensional Arthurs. But with the
Arthurs serve, it would take a brave soul to put this one in your multi.
Wesley Moodie RSA v. Frederic
Niemeyer CAN
- Another two qualifiers meet up here.
Both love the fast low bouncing conditions. Moodie got past Rosset in
the first round while Niemeyer had a win over clay courter Mantilla.
Very tough match to call, but on available grass court form, you have to
go with the South African.
Olivier Rochus BEL v. Anthony
Dupuis FRA
- The pint-sized Belgian got past the clay
courter Coria in a match that resembled anything but regulation grass
court tennis. He came into Wimbledon with some very mixed form but he
has clearly taken a liking to conditions here. Dupuis did what he had to
against British wildcard Bloomfield and did have a quarter final at
Queen's in the lead-up, but his Grand Slam record - only past the second
round in one of 12 prior appearances - leaves a lot to be desired.
Stefano Galvani ITA v. Jarkko Nieminen
FIN (30)
- The lucky-loser Galvani defeated Boutter
in a lengthy five-set encounter on Tuesday, but he comes up against an
opponent with a more damaging all-round game today. Nieminen came back
from two sets to one down against the promising Verdasco and while he
possesses no great weapon for the grass, he does has the clear edge in
class here.
Scott Draper AUS v. Radek Stepanek
CZE (35)
- Draper improved his Wimbledon record to
3-7 with a hard fought win over the promising Frenchman Mathieu while
Stepanek defeated qualifier Mertinak. The Czech is one of the big
improvers on the tour this year and has a solid all-round game well
suited to grass court tennis.
Lars Burgsmuller GER v. Andre Agassi
USA (2)
- Agassi comes into this after dropping a
set to Delgado on Tuesday while the German finished off the clay courter
Montanes yesterday. Burgsmuller has
been competitive in the lead-up but he clearly lacks a weapon and the
talent to trouble Agassi today.
The out of form Thai made hard work of
Hrbaty while Mutis came from two sets down to Squillari. The Frenchman
has climbed from 235 to 76 on the champions race this year, so he has
clearly lifted his game to a new level. If the Srichaphan serve goes missing
as it has in recent times, I do feel this will be a close one.
Gambill holds a notable 3-0 head-to-head
advantage, the most recent win coming in the Delray Beach (hard) final earlier
in the year, but the highly rated Fish is improving all the time. The
Nottingham runner-up had a solid win over the dangerous Gaudio on Monday
and looks to be carrying the better form into this.
Both of these have had very little
success on grass before. Neither had too many problems in the opening
round - Chela over Behrend and Hanescu storming home over Portas. The
Romanian has improved his game appreciably in recent times and for mine
is right in this.
Melzer upset the heavy hitting Gonzalez
on Monday. He came into this with shocking form, but it's worth noting
that he won the junior title here in '99 so he is no stranger to grass.
Bjorkman meanwhile, had few problems with Luxa after coming into this
week with some solid lead-up form - albeit on the faster courts at
Nottingham. The veteran Swede will have to be on his game, but will
prove too consistent.
Rafael Nadal 1.50 ESP to bt Lee Childs GBR
Plenty of smiles here as Childs got past Davydenko on Monday, but I, along with many others I presume,
underestimated the grass court ability of Nadal. In what was meant to be
a learning experience, the 17-year old Spaniard took out one of the
pre-tournament fancies in Ancic. Lefties are always tough on grass and
he may just have too much class for the Brit.
Tommy Robredo 1.45 ESP (25) to bt Brian Vahaly USA
Both advance after four-set wins on
Monday - Robredo, having a little more trouble than expected over
Asasuso and Vahaly likewise against the clay-courter Volandri. The
American came out on top when these two met earlier in the year at
Indian Wells when on an excellent run, but the cool Spaniard has a lot
more experience at this level and should be
able to turn the tables today.
Sjeng Schalken 1.28
NED (8) to bt Nicolas Lapentti ECU
Lapentti turned around some poor form on
Monday with a win over Carlsen while Schalken did well to come from
Sunday's Rosmalen final to get past Parmar. Lapentti had a fine result
this time last year, but on current form, the Dutchman looks strong in
this one.
OTHER
2ND ROUND MATCHES FOR WEDNESDAY (SELECTIONS IN BOLD)
Ivo Karlovic CRO vs. Paul
Baccanello AUS
- Both are coming off their first win at
Wimbledon - Karlovic with his much publicised win over the defending
champ Hewitt and Baccanello over Heuberger. The big question here is
whether the big Croatian can come back down to earth and play his best
tennis or still have his mind on his last Monday's heroics. If his serve is on
song, it's hard to see the Aussie having too much of a show, but tennis
is a funny game and it would be no surprise to see Karlovic suffer a let
down today.
Ivan Ljubicic CRO vs. Max Mirnyi
BLR
- Don't expect too many breaks of serve
between these two. Both have very similar records on grass in recent
times, but maybe Mirnyi was more impressive in his opening round win
over Spadea. I'm not touching this one.
Justin Gimelstob USA vs. Arnaud Clement
FRA (15)
- The Frenchman survived a marathon
two-day match with Ginepri and has played a lot of tennis in the
lead-up, but he would be confident of his chances today. The journeyman
Gimelstob has struggled to play out the five sets for some time now, so
this looks very tough.
Greg Rusedski GBR vs. Andy Roddick
USA (5)
- A match-up that could well pass as
quarter or semi final. You don't need me to tell you that the serve will
dominate in this one - and that's where Roddick probably has the edge at
the moment. The big, pressure packed points will be a big deciding
factor and for mine, this is where Rusedski is vulnerable. The Brit came
out on top with relative ease in the third round here last year but
a lot of water has passed under the bridge since then.
Roger Federer SUI (4) vs. Stefan
Koubek AUT
- It's fair to say that Federer was less
than convincing towards the end of his match with H-T Lee on Monday. He
became very inconsistent and blew at least seven match points. Koubek
doesn't possess a weapon to hurt Federer, the only concern being the
Swiss' apparent fragile mental state. Not at this price.
Agustin Calleri ARG (23) vs. Flavio
Saretta BRA
- If ever a match was worthy of
take-your-pick status, this has to be it. Calleri got past an injured
Voinea on Monday and while he has done little on grass, he is a big
improver over the last year or so. Saretta had few problems with Mackin
and showed last year that he doesn't mind the fast and low bouncing
conditions.
Feliciano Lopez ESP vs. Mikhail Youzhny
RUS (16)
- Lopez did what he had to against
promising American Kendrick while Youzhny had very few problems with an
out of form Beck. Apart from a terrible loss to Bjorkman at Nottingham,
Youzhny had a very promising lead-up and looks far more suited to these
conditions.
Rainer Schuettler GER (9) vs. Fabrice
Santoro FRA
- The German, despite his unorthodox
preparation of playing a clay challenger at home last week, came through
his first round match with Kratochvil in four sets, coming back from a
break down late in the final set. Santoro meanwhile, came back from two
sets to one down against Vinciguerra. Both are competitive on grass, but
the Frenchman is the one who'll look to finish off the points.
Todd Martin USA vs. Gustavo Kuerten
BRA (17)
- Guga advances thanks to a Van Lottum
retirement while Martin made very tough work of Vicente. The veteran
American is not getting any younger and having played a tough five
setter compared to the set and a half of his opponent won't bode well
should this go the distance, but on this surface it's hard to go against
him.
Last year's runner-up has drawn a very
tough 1st round encounter. Voltchkov is a past semi-finalist here ('00)
and while his 8-11 record for '03 doesn't excite, he appears to have
come good at the right time for this. After losing to Luczak at Queen's,
he beat Gimelstob and the in-form Bogdanovic before taking eventual
winner Rusedski right to the wire in the quarter finals at Nottingham.
Nalbandian meanwhile has reportedly failed to overly impress at the
Stoke Park exhibition. A past finalist deserves respect but this one
looks certain to be much tighter than the odds suggest. Voltchkov's
right ankle was heavily strapped in his match with Rusedski at
Nottingham and looked to be causing him some discomfort, so as a precaution this is
with an 'injury-void' bookie.
The Swede holds an imposing 4-0 (0-0 on
grass) head-to-head advantage here and the Frenchman is coming in under
a slight injury cloud. He withdrew from doubles last week at Rosmalen
citing a lower back strain shortly after losing to Vacek in a second
round singles encounter. He did final at Queen's when recording wins
over the likes of Kratochvil, Hewitt and Henman, but this stands out as
a danger game. Enqvist went down to Gambill in two breakers at Queen's
and then had three warm-up matches last week at Stoke Park. He's had a
very disappointing year-to-date, but with a solid record here, he must
be rated a decent chance.
The 18-year old Soderling has not played
a single match this year at ATP level, but he came through quallies by
dropping just one set and has some respectable form in hardcourt
challengers. Verkerk meanwhile, is going from a French Open final to
club tennis to a loss to Burgsmuller in his first grass court match to
his first Wimbledon match! He can certainly play on fast courts, but
whether he will have the time adjust to the subtleties of grass court
tennis is another question. If the Swedish youngster can get enough
Verkerk bullets back into play then he'll be right in this.
Moodie has popped up during the grass
court swing over the past few years - he defeated Bogdanovic to win the
Surbiton challenger after a runner-up in '02. He qualified at Roehampton
with a couple of rather unconvincing wins to make it through to his
first Grand Slam main draw. Rosset beat Van Lottum and Nieminen before a
tight loss to Malisse at Queen's and has been serving very well in
recent times.
The young Spaniard is a promising type
who has posted some handy results when stepping up to the top level this
year. This will be his first main draw Grand Slam match. His only
senior-level grass
court experience came with his three qualifying wins at Roehampton
however. Nieminen is coming off an excellent clay season, but he is just
2-5 on grass himself, so I don't expect him to have everything go his
way today.
Kafelnikov has never played his best at
Wimbledon despite having had more success in the lead-up tournaments.
He's won 19 consecutive first round matches at Grand Slams, but he faces
a very tricky opponent here. Sluiter is 15-8 on grass over the past
three years and has some very respectable form in the lead-up.
There's a big gap in grass-court
experience in this match-up, but I don't think there will be much in
this. Novak has dropped off this year from his career best '02 and
Wimbledon is historically his worst Slam - he has not advanced past the
second round in seven attempts. The improving Horna is more at home on
the clay and is playing on grass for the first time in his senior
career, but it's worth noting that he won the junior doubles title here
as a youngster so he won't be totally lost.
Malisse made it to the semis here last
year, defeating Rusedski and Krajicek before going down to Nalbandian in
five. He has had a solid lead-up, losing to Agassi at the Queen's
quarters and defeating Roddick in three tight sets last week at Stoke
Park. Saulnier meanwhile, has enough form to present quite a danger
today. He beat Draper and Mirnyi at Queen's before taking Henman to
three sets and then comfortably come through qualifying at Roehampton.
His Grand Slam record (1-9) doesn't do much for me, but Malisse remains
one of the less mentally stable players on the tour, so I'm willing to
get on the dog here.
Suzuki had a win over Stoliarov at
Surbiton as his only win in four challenger starts this year. He posted
a heavy loss to Sangunietti in the 2nd round of Surbiton but he
qualified at Roehampton without dropping a set. Norman also qualified
with relative ease and with lead up form at Queen's when defeating Fish
and Sa before pushing Hewitt to three sets, he must be favoured to
advance here.
Michael Llodra 1.22 FRA to bt David Sanchez ESP
Hard to see Sanchez getting close in
this one. He comes off a clay challenger in Germany (1st rnd l. to
Vinciguerra) and at 0-2 career on grass, it's fair to say he doesn't
feel all that comfortable on the surface. Doubles specialist Llodra
qualified with three very good wins over the likes of W Black, Reid and
Galvani, so this should be comfortable.
Wayne Arthurs 1.14 AUS to bt
Alberto Martin ESP
Martin has won the odd match or two on
grass throughout his career, but this will be tough. The big-serving Arthurs is at his best on grass and despite losses to Dupuis and Arazi
in the lead-up, will have far to much.
Mark
Philippoussis 1.10 AUS to bt Mariano Zabaleta ARG
The Argentinean had a win over Blake
last week at Stoke Park, but it's hard to see him having any answers for
the big-serving Scud. Zabaleta is just 0-3 here and despite recent
improvements, will continue to struggle on grass.
Lars Burgsmuller 1.25
GER to bt Albert Montanes ESP
Neither would list grass as their
favourite surface, especially the Spaniard who struggled in his only
match on grass against Clement here last year. Burgsmuller, despite not
winning a match in three starts here, has had a solid lead-up and with
the clear edge in experience should get on the board today.
OTHER
1ST ROUND MATCHES FOR TUESDAY (SELECTIONS IN BOLD)
Andre Sa BRA v.
Mariano Puerta ARG
- Puerta is stepping up from clay
challengers, the most recent last week in Germany, to a surface where he
is a career 0-2. Sa may have had a shocking 1st half of the year, but
two wins on grass in the lead-up should have last year's surprise
quarter-finalist ready for this.
Karol Kucera SVK
v. Wayne Ferreira RSA (28)
- Both are well suited to the grass,
perhaps the veteran South African even more so, but until we know how
the groin has come up this looks like one to avoid. Of course, Ferreira
has not played since being carted out of Roland Garros on a stretcher in
his match with Schuettler, and he may feel more inclined to turn up to
extend his amazing record of 50 consecutive slams.
Gilles Elseneer BEL v. Nicolas Kiefer GER
- Another recent injury to consider here.
Kiefer, fresh from a final at Halle, would normally be penciled in as
the winner here, but he withdrew from his first round match at Rosmalen
last week citing a leg injury. Elseneer came through some tight
qualifying matches to reach his first Grand Slam main draw after posting
losses to Bastl and Sa in the lead-up, but it all depends on the
German's fitness.
Tomas Zib CZE v. Tim Henman GBR (10)
- Zib took a set off Verdasco in the final
round quallies before getting in as a lucky loser, but this looks like a
fairly comfortable opener for the Brit.
Frederic Niemeyer CAN
v. Felix Mantilla ESP (22)
- Niemeyer has come through qualifying
with wins over Gamonal, Jones and Kendrick. He is just 5-11 at ATP level
but his recent future and challenger form is respectable. He defeated
Gimelstob at Surbiton before going down to Bogdanovic and Clement after
qualifying for Halle. Mantilla is not totally lost on grass but it's
fair to say the majority of his wins on the surface have come up against
lower ranked and more unsuited opponents.
James Blake USA (26) v. Todd Larkham AUS
- Blake hardly did anything to impress
last week at Stoke Park when losing matches to Corretja and Zabaleta but
one would have to assume he'll have too much firepower for the Aussie
journeyman who is just 2-8 at Grand Slams.
Sargis Sargsian ARM v. Alex Bogdanovic GBR
- Sargsian has posted first round losses
to Federer in Halle and Arazi at Nottingham so he won't be too confident
coming up against Great Britain's new hope. Bogdanovic was a runner-up
to Moodie at the Surbiton challenger before defeating Parmar and holding
match points against Dupuis at Queen's. He then posted his biggest win
over Gambill at Nottingham. He'll have the crowd support but I fear
his lack of experience may be the deciding factor.
Nicolas Escude FRA v.
Konstantinos Economidis GRE
- Yet another injury question mark here
after Escude retired hurt last start at Halle with a groin strain. Economidis
comes through qualies - possibly courtesy of a 'sporting' retirement
from Hanescu in the final round. He plays just his second main draw
Grand Slam match after losing to here in the first round last year.
Looks like one to avoid.
Jean-Rene Lisnard FRA v. Juan Carlos Ferrero
ESP (3)
- The Frenchman only won six games when
these two met at the Aussie Open in January and I'm not sure if he'll
fare much better on this surface at his first match at Wimbledon.
Ferrero is first-up since his French Open win so it would not be
unreasonable to expect a slow start today, but class should prevail.
Guillermo Coria ARG (7) v. Olivier Rochus BEL
- Coria hasn't played on grass since
losing a five-setter to Meligeni here in '01, but it's worth noting he
teamed up with Nalbandian to win the '99 junior doubles title. A lot of
water has gone under the bridge since then and he comes up against on
opponent who has notched up some handy results on grass, most notably a
win over Safin here last year. I rate this fairly even - given that most
books make Coria a narrow fave, I'll side with the value.
Richard Bloomfield GBR v.
Anthony Dupuis FRA
- Don't know much about the young wildcard
Brit who is literally stepping up from futures for this. A win over
Voltchkov at the Surbiton challenger can't be overlooked, but he's
moving into uncharted waters today. Dupuis has some solid lead-up form
and with a decent serve and the big advantage in experience he must be
favoured to advance.
Stefano Galvani ITA v. Julien Boutter FRA
- One might expect the big serving Boutter
to have a decent record on grass, but he has gone just 0-4 over the past
three years and has not played a grass court match in the lead-up.
Galvani meanwhile, has just as little to go on after losing to Alberto
Martin in his only recent grass court match in the first round here last
year. He qualifies as a lucky loser, but he did struggle against Llodra
in the final round.
Hicham Arazi MAR v. Alexander Popp GER
- Both of these are coming off some
excellent match practice at Nottingham last week. Arazi got past
Sargsian, Mirnyi and Arthurs before going down to eventual winner
Rusedski 75 75, while Popp used his solid serve to great advantage when
defeating Spadea and Sa before taking Fish to three sets. The German
made the quarters in his one and only appearance here in '00 but the
slower conditions this year might be more beneficial to Arazi.
David Ferrer
ESP v. Martin LeeGBR
- The journeyman Lee is competing in his
seventh Wimbledon and has had a lot more experience but I need to know
that he's fully fit before I consider him at this price. He has been
struggling with injury of late and a 5 & 0 loss to Gimelstob last week
at Stoke Park does not flatter. Ferrer is untested on grass and has been
struggling on clay all year but I can't bring myself to get involved in
this one.
Scott Draper AUS v. Paul-Henri Mathieu FRA
- A look a Draper's record here indicated
that he is quite often over-rated for his ability on grass - he is just
2-7 at Wimbledon - and his lead-up form consisting of losses to Bachelot
and Saulnier doesn't read well. The young Frenchman Mathieu by
comparison is very inexperienced on grass - he played here last year and
lost a tight second round three-setter to Nalbandian - but he
looks to be getting back to his best after an injury hampered start to
the year. Losses to Youzhny and Parmar in the lead-up does not represent
the worst form going around by any means.
Michal
Mertinak SVK v. Radek Stepanek CZE (35)
- Qualifier
Mertinak has some solid hardcourt futures results this year but he takes
a giant leap up to his first Grand Slam match today. Stepanek has lifted
his game a cog or two this year and with a few matches under his belt at
Halle, I'd be very surprised if he were not to advance.
Younes El Aynaoui MAR (27) v.
Mark Hilton GBR
- Mark Hilton may get a wildcard as one of
the best Brits, but he is out of his depth at this level. El Aynaoui is
yet to fully master grass, but his lead-up has been solid.
Zeljko Krajan CRO v. Nicolas Massu CHI
- The heavy hitting Massu must be favoured
to advance here, but there are still some minor doubts over his fitness.
He retired against Ferrero at Roland Garros and then lost in the first
round of a clay challenger in Germany last week. He is another who has
won a junior doubles title here. Krajan prefers the clay and in his
first match at SW19, may struggle to adjust.
Jamie Delgado GBR v. Andre Agassi USA (2)
- The Brit runs into Agassi for the second
time in three years. Hard to see him getting close.
Two qualifiers meet here with the young Aussie Baccanello having come
through quallies without dropping a set to Kas and the capable Carraz
and Motomura. He has grass form from futures events in his homeland and
must be rated a decent chance against the more experienced opponent.
Heuberger certainly likes it fast, but his form in qualifying and his
0-3 record at ATP level in 2003 does leave a lot to be desired.
There's a bit of a whisper going around
about the young Brit Childs. He had a win at Surbiton and made the semis of the
Manchester (grass) challenger last year, so he can play on the surface. Davydenko has had an excellent year winning two tourney's but he is very
inexperienced on grass.
Very tough to price this one up on current form, but I have to give
the edge to Koubek. Rochus defeated Ancic at big odds last week before
suffering a humiliating double-bagel defeat to Schalken, while Koubek
did manage to take seven games off Kratochvil at Nottingham. The
Austrian looks to have the edge in consistency and all-round game.
Kratochvil took Henman to five sets in the fourth round of Wimbledon last year
and has gone 2-2 in the lead-up, losing to eventual finalists Grosjean and Fish.
Schuettler, as he did last year, took the unusual step of playing on grass at
Halle (d. Carlsen; l. Stepanek) and then going back to a clay challenger (also
in Germany) where he struggled to beat qualifier Goellner before withdrawing and
citing a right foot tendon. He played the same schedule last year and beat Arazi
and Sargsian here but I have to oppose him today.
Van Lottum is somewhat of a journeyman but
he is more than competitive when he gets on the grass. He lost a tight
match to Rosset at Queen's before notching up two wins at Rosmalen and
going down to Sluiter 75 64. Kuerten is back on grass for the first time
since 2000. Some say he is a proven performer on the surface - but a
look at those who he has defeated at SW19 - Woodruff & Bower in '00 and
Wilkinson, Prinosil, Zimonjic and Manta in '99 - doesn't read too well.
Voinea is coming off a very ordinary
clay season but he took Sluiter to a first set breaker at Queen's in his
only lead-up event. He won a couple of matches here last year to bring
his Wimbledon record to 2-5. Calleri, without a grass lead-up event and
0-2 at Wimbeldon, likes it slow and has had some respectable results on
hardcourts in the past year but I like the Romanian here.
Federer could hardly have drawn a more dangerous opponent as he tries
to break the 1st round hoodoo. H-T Lee has losses to Vicente and Fish
(three sets) as his preparation but he has the game and composure to be
right in this. Federer is all class and won his only grass start at
Halle to make it four wins on three different surfaces this year but the
Grand Slams are a different ball game at the moment.
Lopez proved how fickle grass court form
can be here last year when winning a few tight matches and getting
through to the fourth round with little or next to no experience on the
surface. He played the lead-up this year with mixed success - d. Davydenko, l. Kiefer (three sets) and l. Van Scheppingen. Kendrick (a
lucky loser from quallies - l. to Niemeyer) lost to Dent in his only
lead-up at Queen's but he has been very competitive when rising to ATP
level this year. Not the roughest going around today by any means.
Schalken has the rather unenviable task
of competing in the Rosmalen final on Sunday and them coming straight to
London for a Monday encounter at Wimbledon. It won't be easy to adjust
to the different courts - these are likely to be somewhat slower - and
Parmar is at his best on grass. The class gap is great, but this is
overs.
Luxa has a decent serve and has come through quallies at Roehampton
(albeit in some very tight matches) but he'll have no match for the
savvy grass court game of Bjorkman.
Mario Ancic 1.22 CRO to bt
Rafael Nadal ESP
No it's not the juniors! The young Spaniard Nadal has impressed on the
clay but one would have to think that this will be a learning
experience. Ancic had an unexplainable 2 & 3 loss to C Rochus last week
at Rosmalen, but last year's conqueror of Federer should prevail with
relative ease today.
Tommy Robredo 1.09 ESP (25)
to bt Jose Acasuso ARG
Both traditional clay courters, but it's Robredo with the more
penetrating back court game that will do more damage on this surface. The
Spaniard followed up his excellent French Open with a couple of wins
last week at Rosmalen, notably inc. a win over Carlsen. Acasuso is 0-3
on grass and with no great weapon, will struggle to win a match on this
surface in his career.
Brian Vahaly 1.36 USA to bt Filippo Volandri ITA
Vahaly is having a break-out year and has been competitive in the
grass court lead-up. He pushed Santoro to three sets in Halle before
succumbing to the power of Dent last week at Nottingham. Volandri had an
excellent clay season but he is a pure clay courter - he has not played
a match off the stuff this year and is by my reckoning playing his first
competitive match on grass today.
Jan-Michael Gambill 1.14 USA
to bt Igor Kunitsyn RUS
The lucky loser Kunitsyn has a respectable future and challenger
record over the past few years, but he might find the big Gambill serve
too much of a weapon today. The American has posted losses to youngsters
Reid and Bogdanovic in the lead-up but he shouldn't let this one slip.
Fabrice Santoro 1.36 FRA to bt
Andreas Vinciguerra SWE
Santoro has shown in the past that he is
more than capable of using his crafty game to good measure on the grass.
He's had a mixed lead-up (d. Vahlay, l. Kucera) at Halle but should
progress rather comfortably today. Vinciguerra has gone 2-3 in three
clay court challengers over the past three weeks, so it's hard to see
him getting close here.
Todd Martin 1.36 USA to bt Fernando
Vicente ESP
Vicente came into this grass season 0-4 on
the surface over the past two years before defeating H-T Lee at Halle
and then posting wins over Sanguinetti and Burgsmuller at Rosmalen. He
does have a miserable 1-4 record here - his last win over Mamiit in '99
- so one cannot say he has mastered the grass court game just yet! The
only concern here is that Martin withdrew from Queen's with a "pectoral
muscle tear" and has not played competitively since - so we'll make sure
this one is taken at an "injury = void" shop.
OTHER
1ST ROUND MATCHES FOR MONDAY (SELECTION IN BOLD)
Lleyton Hewitt AUS (1) v. Ivo Karlovic CRO
- A tricky first-up encounter for the defending champion. Karlovic
fiery big server who is
making a big step from future events at times this year to top billing
on centre court at the All England Club - but he has been more than
competitive this season on grass. The giant Croatian reached the semis
at the Surbiton challenger and won a match at Queen's (d. Gimelstob)
before qualifying for this. A 3 & 2 win over Sluiter at Surbiton is
particularly noteworthy. He then qualified by serving 40 aces in his
final match. One might expect Hewitt to get plenty back however and have
too much back court game. Hewitt won't win Wimbledon, and as far as I'm
concerned has quite a fight on his hands today.
Taylor Dent USA v. Ivan Ljubicic CRO
- Have to favour the big-serving Dent over the improving Ljubicic, but
until we know how the back that forced him to pull out of Nottingham has
come up, this looks one to avoid.
Max Mirnyi BLR v. Vincent Spadea USA (31)
- "The Beast" has the game for grass but at just 3-7 on the surface over
the past three years, he's either had a lot of bad luck or he just can't
adjust his game for the subtleties that grass calls for. Spadea pulled
out of doubles in Nottingham last week citing a hip injury, so again,
too much uncertainty at this stage.
Fernando Gonzalez CHI (19) v. Jurgen Melzer AUT
- The heavy hitting Gonzalez is first-up following his impressive
showing at Roland Garros. Although he likes the fast conditions, his
commitment to playing and confidence on this surface is questionable.
Trying to find a case for Melzer but his form is dreadful.
Irakli Labadze GEO v. Justin Gimelstob USA
- Gimelstob always struggles in best-of-five conditions and his recent
form is nothing to write home about. He did however notch up wins over M
Lee and Gaudio at the Stoke Park exhibition last week. Labadze beat El Aynaoui in the
second round here last year and would be worth considering today but he
retired from a match at Nottingham last week citing a left shoulder.
Robby Ginepri USA v. Arnaud Clement FRA (15)
- The improving Ginepri went 5-2 on grass last year but has notched up
losses to the likes of Rusedski and Mirnyi this campaign. Clement, fresh
from his performance at Rosmalen has a very limited preparation for the
different conditions at SW19, but has the clear edge in grass court
experience.
Paradorn Srichaphan THA (12) v. Dominik Hrbaty SVK
- Srichaphan had a rare win last week - a three setter over qualifier
Logtens at Rosmalen - before going out to Sluiter in the second round.
Of course, he took out Agassi here last year. He is 0-2 against Hrbaty,
including their most recent four-set meeting at the French Open. Hrbaty
however, is just 1-5 at Wimbledon and was forced to withdraw from a
doubles match at a clay challenger (evidence of how he rates the grass
season) last week with a lower back strain.
Olivier Mutis FRA v. Franco Squillari ARG
- Lead-up form and match play on grass will surely predict the winner
here. Squillari comes off 1st round losses at two clay challengers while
Mutis won a match at Rosmalen when responsible for finishing off the
career of Krajicek. Squillari is 1-5 here - his only win coming over
Puerta in '98 - while Mutis, although very short of senior experience on grass
(he did win the juniors here),
has the better form.
Alexander Waske GER v. Greg Rusedski GBR
- The German has the game to be competitive on grass and he did go close
against El Aynaoui at Nottingham last week, but Rusedski was ultra
impressive in Sunday's final. He has had a day off from that win over
Fish and will be tough to beat today.
Davide Sanguinetti ITA v. Andy Roddick USA (5)
- Sanguinetti took Henman to a third-set breaker in the second round of
Queen's a fortnight ago before losing to Vicente last week at Rosmalen.
Roddick lost to Malisse in three sets before withdrawing from the Stoke Park exhibition but one assumes that
there is nothing of a major concern.
Mardy Fish USA v. Gaston Gaudio ARG (29)
- Fish, who is now entrenched into the
top-50 in the race, is coming off a final at Nottingham. He posted good
wins over H-T Lee, Kratochvil and Bjorkman before going down to Rusedski
on Saturday. Gaudio is just 1-4 here and posted a loss to Gimelstob last
week at Stoke Park but he is one of those who is most likely to be
suited by the slower conditions.
Flavio Saretta BRA v. Alan Mackin GBR
- Mackin gets another wildcard but he is
still out of his depth at this level. Saretta made to the third round
here last year in his first appearance with wins over Johansson and
Waske. He is a heavy hitter with a big serve and despite not playing
since the French Open, he won't be easy to get past today.
Karol Beck SVK v. Mikhail Youzhny RUS (16)
- Karol Beck is fast becoming a very
inconsistent type. He has posted losses to Nieminen and Sluiter in the
lead-up, but he did go 9-1 at the two post-Wimbledon grass challenger
events last year. Youzhny has an excellent 6-2 record here after
reaching the fourth round in his first two appearances. He possesses a
solid game for grass but a 2 & 0 first round loss to Bjorkman last week
to follow up his semi final at Halle is hard to explain.
Juan Ignacio Chela ARG (32) v. Tomas Behrend GER
- It doesn't get much tougher than this.
Two clay-courters, neither playing any grass lead-up matches. Chela is
0-2 here and 0-3 on grass since '99 while Behrend has not played a
single game on the surface! Have to lean towards the more experienced
Argentinean.
Victor Hanescu ROM v. Albert Portas ESP
- Hanescu upset a few people when retiring
from his final round qualifying match against Economidis knowing that a
lucky loser spot in the main draw was a certainty. His clay form is
excellent, but apart from those few matches at Roehampton, his grass
court record in non-existent. Portas has and will always struggle on
grass and he does have more experience but such are the wraps on Hanescu
it's hard to oppose him today.
Kenneth Carlsen
DEN v. Nicolas Lapentti ECU
- Few will forget Lapentti's heroics here
last year when he won a host of lengthy battles and made it through to
the quarters when losing a five-setter to eventual finalist Nalbandian.
His form this time around suggests an early exit may be the more likely
scenario this year. He struggled through much of the clay season and of
course let go a big lead to Costa in the third round at the French Open.
He lost to Nalbandian and Enqivst last week at the Stoke Park exhibition
before pulling out of Saturday's game citing a back injury. Carlsen has
a solid 9-8 ATP grass record over the past three years and should get
plenty of free points serving on the fresh court today.
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