with OnThePunt's resident Tennis expert
2010 ARCHIVE
NOVEMBER 22-28
WORLD TOUR FINALS
SURFACE: INDOOR HARD - DRAW: 8
POSTED BY 2300 AEDT (1200 GMT)
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ATP LONDON
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NOVEMBER 7-14
PARIS MASTERS
SURFACE: INDOOR HARD - DRAW: 48
POSTED BY 2000 AEDT (0900 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 2100
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ATP PARIS
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OCTOBER 25-31
ST PETERSBURG
SURFACE: INDOOR HARD - DRAW: 28
POSTED BY 1900 AEST (0800 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 1900
AEST/0800 GMT)
VIENNA
SURFACE: INDOOR HARD - DRAW: 32
POSTED BY 1900 AEST (0800 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 2100
AEST/1000 GMT)
MONTPELLIER
SURFACE: INDOOR HARD - DRAW: 28
POSTED BY 1900 AEST (0800 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 2100
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ATP ST PETERSBURG
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ATP VIENNA
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Oct 26
Zemja to bt Ilhan
2 at 2.50
2.35
+3
Two qualifiers meet here. Ilhan did well at a
few challengers in September but I'm far from convinced that he is at his
best right now. A first round qualifying struggle against Thiem seems to
indicate as much. Zemja goes well indoors and on his recent form should be
fighting for favouritism here.
ATP MONTPELLIER
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OCTOBER 18-24
STOCKHOLM
SURFACE: INDOOR HARD - DRAW: 32
POSTED BY 1800 AEST (0700 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 2000
AEST/0900 GMT)
MOSCOW
SURFACE: INDOOR HARD - DRAW: 32
POSTED BY 1800 AEST (0700 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 1800
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ATP STOCKHOLM
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Oct 19
F Lopez to bt F Mayer
3.5 at 2.05
1.90
-3.5
Both players lost out to Tsonga last week with
similar scorelines. Lopez has a very solid record in Stockholm while Mayer
is playing in his first visit here. Familiarity with the surroundings has to
count for something.
ATP MOSCOW
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Oct 21
Kunitsyn to bt Golubev
2.5 at 2.30
2.10
+3.25
I see no reason to jump off the local today.
Kunitsyn just goes well here and doesn't appear to suffer any nerves at
home. Golubev is a huge prospect for the future. But I'm not convinced that
he is all that suited here. He admitted as much after the last match against
M Gonzalez when he said that the 'heavy balls and slow court' here dont suit
him.
Oct 21
Troicki to bt Tsonga
2.5 at 2.50
2.20
+3.75
Troicki was pushed against Tursunov in the
opening round here but he should come out much sharper for the run. Tsonga
meanwhile, is first-up back indoors and has a loss on the board to Troicki
indoors in Bangkok last year.
Oct 19
Cuevas to bt Brands
2.5 at 2.35
2.10
+3.37
Cuebas has had somewhat of a tough preparation
for this with delayed flights in getting to Moscow. I'm going to assume that
he can put that behind him today. He played well here last year and has
great challenger form. Brands has been poor since Bangkok while the slower,
higher bouncing conditiions won't suit.
Oct 19
Marchenko to bt Istomin
2.5 at 2.39
2.20
-2.5
Marchenko has average recent form but he
should be able to lift a gear or two returning to a venue where he reached
the semi finals last year. Istomin is on an 0-3 run. He steps down a class
but I'm not convinced he should be starting so short today.
Oct 19
Kunitsyn to bt Andreev
3 at 2.30
2.15
+3.9
I can never feel too confident about taking
Igor Kunitsyn, but the Russian does have a spectacular record here and he
breezed through quallies, indicating that he finds the new surface suitable.
Andreev did okay in Kuala Lumpur recently, but his overall indoor record is
nothing to write home about.
OCTOBER 10-17
SHANGHAI MASTERS
SURFACE: HARD - DRAW: 56
POSTED BY 1300 AEST (0200 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 1400
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ATP SHANGHAI
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OCTOBER 4-10
TOKYO
SURFACE: HARD - DRAW: 32
POSTED BY 1200 AEST (0200 GMT)
(STARTS 1000 LOCAL = 1200
AEST/0200 GMT)
BEIJING
SURFACE: HARD - DRAW: 32
POSTED BY 1200 AEST (0200 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 1400
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TOKYO
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Oct 5
R-Vasselin to bt Chardy
1.5 at 3.30
3.00
-1.5
Interesting battle of two Frenchman here.
Roger-Vasselin quallied without too many problems. Hopefully he has put the
thrashing to Soderling last week in KL out of his mind. Chardy is back on
hardcourts after the Bucharest clay. I'm not convinced that he is in the
best form and on a fast court here should be pushed all the way.
Oct 4
Del Potro to bt F Lopez
4 at 1.73
1.70
-4
I'm tipping Del Potro to come out much better
for his first up loss to O Rochus last week in Bangkok. He looks to be fit
and will be hungry to get a win on the board. Lopez is first up since the US
Open and might have a few a personal problems a his plate and the moment. He
pulled out of Bangkok last week.
BEIJING
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 1200 AEST (0200 GMT)
Oct 5
Marchenko to bt Lu
3.5 at 1.90
1.85
-3.5
Marchenko quallied very solidly and now comes
up against Lu, who is on an 0-4 run and must be low on confidence. He has
yet to reproduce his heroic performance from SW19 and without his coach
might be found wanting today.
Oct 4
Simon to bt Querrey
4 at 1.75
1.70
+3
Simon should be more suited here to the
slowish conditions in Beijing. The Frenchman is riding high on confidence
after a tournament win at home. Querrey hasn't quite made it back to his
best and is returning after a poor match at a clay Davis Cup tie a few weeks
ago.
AUGUST 30-SEPTEMBER 12
2009 U.S. OPEN
SURFACE: HARD - DRAW: 128
POSTED BY 2300 AEST (1300 GMT)
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U.S. OPEN
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Sep 5
Isner to bt Youzhny
2.5 at 2.33
2.20
-2.5
Isner came into the tournament with a concern
over his ankle but all appears okay now. He gets the prime time spot on the
big court here and the home crowd should be offering up huge support.
Youznhy has experience on his side but the Russian will have to absorb
plenty of Isner bombs. Can see a long, tight match here, so the value looks
to be with Isner.
Sep 5
Robredo to bt Llodra
2.5 at 2.30
2.20
+3.25
Robredo hasn't done much at Slam level this
year, but lets not forget that the Spaniard reached the fourth round here in
five of the previous six years. Llodra has hit some form recently, but up
against a very solid backcourt type he will need to be at his very best to
justify this price.
Sep 3
Simon to bt Kohlsch.
4 at 1.90
1.80
+3.6
I was quite impressed with Simon's lead-up. He
lost to the likes of Nalbandian, Youzhny and Fish, but all were competitive
and the form of all has held up. Kohlschreiber wasn't all that impressive
against Kamke by all accounts so he will need to lift for this one.
Sep 3
Robredo to bt Benneteau
2.5 at 2.29
2.20
+3.25
One is never quite sure what to expect from
Robredo these days but I like his chances today. He breezed past Rosol in
the opening round and thrashed the Frenchman earlier in the year in Dubai.
Benneteau got past Stepanek in what looked like a grueling encounter but
it's hard to read too much into that one as Stepanek was coming in well
underdone.
Sep 2
Schwank to bt Clement
3 at 2.15
2.00
Void
Clement outlasted Baghdatis in the heat while
Schwank justified his preparation in Toronto and New Haven with a surprise
win over Ginepri. The Argentine isn't the worst clay type on hardcourts and
will be confident today. Clement was in poor form coming into this event and
I'm not convinced that he is anywhere near back to his best.
Sep 2
Polansky to bt Blake
2 at 2.75
2.50
-2
This promises to be a length affair. Polansky
is a big improver and has the game to do very well in these conditions. Very
hard to get a read on Blake's form but it has to be said that this has been
a horror year and it won't take too much to see his confidence failing him
again.
Sep 2
Dodig to bt De Bakker
1 at 4.51
4.00
-1
De Bakker had a solid hardcourt lead-up season
but he has to be going around under the odds today. Dodig leads the
head-to-head 1-0 (indoor '09) and despite getting through courtesy of a
Gonzalez retirement, looks to be in some solid form.
Sep 2
Berankis to bt Melzer
1.5 at 3.25
3.00
-1.5
The 20 year-old Berankis is gaining quite a
reputation as one to watch. He put out a local hope Sweeting in the first
round quite comfortably after breezing in quallies. By his own admission,
Melzer played poorly against Tursunov and this can only be harder.
Aug 30
Przysiezny to bt Montanes
1.5 at 3.26
3.00
-1.5
Montanes isn't the worst going around on
hardcourts but he comes into this with no preparation. He last played at ATP
level on the clay on 30/7 and has since withdrawn from Bundesliga matches.
Przysiezny has average form and is on an 0-7 run but he has been competitive
and has done okay at quallies here the last few years which tells me he
doesn't mind the conditions.
Aug 30
Phau to bt Mello
2.5 at 2.45
2.25
-2.5
Fail to see why Mello is such a jolly here.
Phau had a tight loss to Canada's Bester in the lead-up but he should be
much better for the run and by all accounts the solid practise since. Mello
has form at challenger level but it's a different ball game at Grand Slam
level and Phau has the edge mentally.
Aug 30
Dent to bt Falla
4 at 1.98
1.90
+3
Falla has some decent form and as many readers
will know, is usually one of my favourites, but just about everything looks
to be in Dent's favour today. Can't see it being easy, but Dent gets the hot
and fast conditions on the intimate Grandstand court where he will get
plenty of support.
Aug 30
Devvarman to bt Anderson
1.5 at 3.45
3.00
-1.5
Anderson gets some hot and fast conditions to
suit, but he looks to have come up very short. Can see this going to four or
five and the South African isn't the most mentally stable player on the
tour. Devvarman has been solid in the lead-up and will have good memories of
some solid play here from quallies last year.
AUGUST 22-29
NEW HAVEN
SURFACE: HARD - DRAW: 48
POSTED BY 2300 AEST (1300 GMT)
(STARTS 1000 LOCAL = 0000
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ATP NEW HAVEN
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Aug 24
Luczak to bt Stakhovsky
2 at 2.75
2.50
-2
Luczak posted a big win over Leo Mayer
yesterday and I'm tipping him to be right in this one also. The slowish
hardcourt conditions to suit very well and he comes in match-fit. Stakhovsky
has only won a single match since Wimbledon so I'm not sure he deserves such
a short price today.
Aug 24
Robredo to bt Dent
3.5 at 1.97
1.95
+3.39
Dent got through a second set lapse against
Schwank yesterday but I feel that he may need to lift a notch or two for
this one. Robredo hasn't done anything of note for a long time but if he can
serve half decent, he should get some chances on the Dent ball.
Aug 24
Kukushkin to bt De Bakk.
2.5 at 2.51
2.40
-2.5
Kukushkin is flying at the moment. He brought
he challenger form to ATP level with three qualifying wins and a first round
win over Gruel all without dropping a set. De Bakker hasn't beat anyone of
real note since Tsonga back in April, and he may not appreciate the slowish
conditions.
Aug 24
Hajek to bt F Mayer
1.5 at 3.58
3.25
-1.5
Hard to tip up Hajek on hardcourts but Mayer
can lose to just about anyone on any day. He had a bit of a struggle in his
first hardcourt outing in Cincy. Hajek boasts a 2-0 head-to-head (clay) and
comes in with a match under the prevailing conditions.
Aug 24
Lacko to bt Bellucci
2.5 at 2.44
2.25
+3.6
Going with another player who had to play
their way into the second round. Bellucci has the class but he is yet to
convince me that he is to be supported when going around at these prices.
Lacko has been on the North American hardcourts for the last month and is
well capable of matching it with the Brazillian in the these conditions.
AUGUST 15-23
CINCINNATI
MASTERS
SURFACE: HARD - DRAW: 56
POSTED BY 2300 AEST (1300 GMT)
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ATP CINCINNATI
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Aug 17
Benneteau to bt Llodra
3 at 2.06
2.00
+3.18
Llodra has an awful record at this venue,
never having won a match. You generally either love or hate Mason (as we saw
with Petzchner yesterday) and I'm guessing Llodra is in the latter category.
Betting on matches involving two Frenchman carries risk, but I'm looking for
Benneteau to come out on top here.
Aug 17
Simon to bt Fish
2 at 2.50
2.40
-2
I know Fish has been in some solid form in
recent times, but he will need to serve the lights out today to justify this
price. I saw these two play a few years ago and it was all Simon. The
Frenchman is getting back on track and has the game to upset the American.
Aug 16
Almagro to bt Wawrinka
2 at 2.64
2.50
-2
These two are 1-1 on hardcourts and recent
meetings have been close. Almagro was okay last week against Marchenko and
Llodra while Wawrinka went out to Nadal. Hot conditions won't bother the
Spaniard and Wawrinka hasn't had that many matches recently.
Aug 16
Petzschner to bt Querrey
1.5 at 3.73
3.40
-1.5
Far from convinced about Querrey's form at the
moment despite his win at the recent LA tourney. Petzschner is 1-0 on hard
and has the slow paced solid game that can frustrate the American. Faster
conditions might even help Petz get a few more free points on serve.
Aug 16
Becker to bt Bellucci
4 at 1.94
1.85
-4
Bellucci put in a feeble effort against Gulbis
last week and I'm not sure that he can find something a week later in these
fast conditions against a match-fit big server. Much has been said about
Becker;s game, but he might not have to do anything but stay solid today to
get over the line here.
Aug 16
Devvarman to bt Ginepri
3 at 2.18
2.00
-3
Devvarman quallied well with two good wins
over Chiudinelli and Smyczek so he comes in match-fit and well acclimatised
to the hot conditions. Still not convinced about Ginepri. He is past his
prime and I'm not sure he even deserves to bt fave here.
AUGUST 9-15
CANADA
MASTERS
SURFACE: HARD - DRAW: 56
POSTED BY 2300 AEST (1300 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 0100
AEST/1500 GMT)
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ATP TORONTO
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Aug 12
Nalbandian to bt Soder.
3.5 at 1.90
1.85
+3.15
Nalbandian hasn't played this many matches in
a two-week period for years but yesterday's easy win over Robredo should
have him ready for a long struggle today if required. Conditions should suit
here and Soderling wasn't all that impressive first up on hardcourt against
Gulbis.
Aug 11
Polansky to bt Hanescu
2.5 at 2.38
2.20
-2.5
Polansky held his nerve very well to get past
Melzer on Monday. Can see this being a long and drawn out affair but I'm not
conviced by a win over Raonic that Hanescu is out of his slump.
Aug 11
Llodra to bt Almagro
2 at 2.59
2.40
+3.18
Llodra looks to be fit and well and will
surely be giving this 100%. If he serves his best, he will be tough to get
past today. Almagro had a big struggle last round and doesn't look to be
travelling all that well.
Aug 11
Chardy to bt Verdasco
2 at 2.80
2.50
+3.6
Chardy got the better of Verdasco indoors
earlier in the year so he shouldn;t hold any fear today. He beat Baghdatis
in an impressive opening round. Verdasco continued his struggle against
Schwank - this will be tougher.
Aug 11
Mathieu to bt Lu
3.5 at 2.08
2.00
-3.5
Average form from Lu in recent times. He had a
soft opener but this will be tougher. This is the sort of match I expect
Mathieu to do better in. Slower conditions should suit, and can bounce back
from loss to Nieminen in final round quallies.
AUGUST 1-8
WASHINGTON
SURFACE: HARD - DRAW: 48
POSTED BY 2300 AEST (1300 GMT)
(STARTS 1600 LOCAL = 0600
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ATP WASHINGTON
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Aug 3
Troicki to bt Fish
1.5 at 3.43
3.00
-1.5
Fish is coming off back to back wins and what
he correctly states is the form of his career, but its a new tourney this
week. An early loss and extra prep for a Masters Series event may not be the
worst situation. His for at this venue is average and Troicki, off an easy
win over Kim, is a former finalist here.
Aug 3
Dabul to bt Chiudinelli
4 at 1.88
1.80
-4
Chuidinelli is a capable player on this
surface but he hasn't done much on hard in recent times - his last hardcourt
match was a loss to the lowly King-Turner at Challenger level. Dabul
quallied well, has hot conditions to suit and his hardcourt challenger form
is excellent. He won't get a better chance than today.
Aug 3
Clement to bt Tipsarevic
1.5 at 3.39
2.80
-1.5
Tipsarevic made the semis last week in LA but
I'm not quite convinced by the quality and form of the players he got past.
Clement got the better of him at Wimbledon recently and he is a former
winner ('06) at this tourney. Should be a close one.
Aug 2
Kunitsyn to bt Nishikori
2.5 at 2.47
2.30
+3.67
Nishikori looks to be slowly getting back to
some of the form he showed a year or two back when he was injury free.
Kunitsyn is somewhat of a non-winner but he has quallied with a win over
Russell and has plenty of experience in these conditions. If he can stay
solid he looks right in this.
Aug 2
L Mayer to bt Istomin
3 at 2.17
2.00
-3
Mayer is on a five match losing streak but
should be better than his poor showing against Blake last week. Istomin goes
okay on this surface but might need a match or two in the hot conditions to
get his hardcourt campaign into gear.
Aug 2
Zemlja to bt Becker
1.5 at 3.18
2.75
+3.27
Becker wasn't all that impressive according to
most reports coming out of LA last week. Zemlja beat the Donald in quallies
yesterday and should be match fit. It was 76 75 75 to Becker when these two
met at the Oz Open earlier in the year and Becker was 1.28 best of five. He
is too short today.
Aug 2
Tursunov to bt Gabashvilli
3 at 2.02
1.85
+3.06
Tursunov hasn't managed to notch up a win at
ATP-level for some time, but he was competitive at LA quallies and should be
better for the run. He has a 2-0 head-to-head against Gabashvilli and the
Russian has posted two poor losses in the lead-up.
JULY 19-25
HAMBURG
SURFACE: CLAY - DRAW: 48
POSTED BY 1800 AEST (0800 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 1900
AEST/0900 GMT)
ATLANTA
SURFACE: HARD - DRAW: 28
POSTED BY 2300 AEST (1300 GMT)
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ATP HAMBURG
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Jul 21
Bolelli to bt Bellucci
2 at 3.06
2.80
-2
Bellucci has the talent but he is first up on
the dirt and is actually playing his first ATP match in Germany. Bellucci
quallied and beat Greul in a tight match in the opening round. Being
match-fit on clay coming into this one must be a huge advantage. I'm looking
for the Italian to be right in this.
Jul 21
Chardy to bt Petzschner
3.5 at 2.05
1.90
+3.67
Petzschner is coming off the Wimbledon Doubles
title high and was dissapointing in Stuttgart last week. He should be better
for the run, but Chardy has the class to make quick work of the German
should he be anything but on top of his game today.
ATP ATLANTA
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JULY 12-18
BASTAD
SURFACE: CLAY - DRAW: 28
POSTED BY 1800 AEST (0800 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 1900
AEST/0900 GMT)
STUTTGART
SURFACE: CLAY - DRAW: 28
POSTED BY 1800 AEST (0800 GMT)
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ATP BASTAD
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Jul 13
Skugor to bt Istomin
1.5 at 3.70
3.40
+4.05
Istomin was playing at an indoor Davis Cup tie
in Korea over the weekend, so he might take a while to get used to the
conditions on the dirt. Skugor breezed through quallies and has been in
winning form.
ATP STUTTGART
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Jul 13
Berrer to bt Greul
2 at 2.60
2.40
-2
Two Germans meet at home and if Berrer can
serve well in what should be quick conditions, then he has to be a huge
show. He is by all accounts over the injury that forced him out of
Wimbledon. Greul has won their last two meetings on dirt but he has been up
and down all year.
Jul 13
Gimeno to bt Chardy
2 at 2.75
2.40
+3.5
These two have split prior meetings on clay in
what were very tight matches. Gimeno is coming straight off the dirt from
challenger final while Chardy is first up since SW19. The Frenchman looks
too short here.
JULY 5-11
NEWPORT
SURFACE: GRASS - DRAW: 32
POSTED BY 2200 AEST (1200 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 0100
AEST/1500 GMT)
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ATP NEWPORT
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JUNE 21 - JULY 4
WIMBLEDON
SURFACE: GRASS - DRAW: 128
POSTED BY 1900 AEST (0900 GMT)
(STARTS 1200 LOCAL = 2100
AEST/1100 GMT)
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2010 WIMBLEDON
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Jun 24
Fischer to bt Bellucci
2.5 at 2.36
2.20
-2.5
Fischer beat the likes of Hrbaty, Phau and
Delgado in quallies before smashing the poor Soeda in the opening round.
Experience at this level is a minor concern but on form, I made him a fave.
Not sure how much to read into Bellucci's win over Mello. The Brazillian has
comparbly little experience on the grass and he lost to Fischer in their
only prior meeting on hardcourt last year.
Jun 24
Chardy to bt Lacko
4 at 2.02
2.00
+4.08
Lacko got the better of Chardy in their
opening match of the grass season at Halle. That was a close one, but I'm
tipping Chardy to turn it around here. The former junior winner is serving
well by all acounts and looks to have an edge over best of five. Lacko beat
an out of sorts Baghdatis but this will be another challenge.
Jun 23
Brands to bt Davydenko
2 at 2.53
2.30
+3.06
Davydenko can consider himself a little
fortunate to get through the opening round agaisnt Anderson. I expect Brands
to have a little more composure than the South African. He should be a
little more consistent from the back of the court too. Davydenko's lack of
recent matches should prove a deciding factor.
Jun 23
Montanes to bt Evans
4 at 1.89
1.80
+3.56
Evans has been winning a few matches on grass
in the lead-up but now he will be fully tested against a top-50 player.
Montanes prefers dirt but the courts dont look that fast at this stage of
the tournament. The Spaniards class and experience should be enough to see
him through.
Jun 22
Marchenko to bt Berrer
4 at 1.80
1.75
Void
Berrer comes in on a five-match losing streak
and has had an injury-affected preparation. The ankle has been getting
treatment and he says he is ready to go but its surely not an ideal prep.
Marchenko had some good matches at Eastbourne and I expect him to go well
today.
Jun 22
Kamke to bt G-Lopez
1.5 at 3.50
3.00
+3.75
Garcia-Lopez had a nice run to the final at
Eastbourne but this looks a tricky opening round for the Spaniard. The
German qualifier Kamke is in form and comes into the main draw with three
solid qualifying matches. Should go very close.
Jun 22
Mahut to bt Isner
2.5 at 2.22
2.20
-2.5
Can't see too many extended rallies in this
one. Isner obviously has the game for grass but he is just 1-5 on the
surface, losing to Gulbis in his only start here. He is first up since a
very poor end to the French Open so looks a good risk today.
Jun 22
Kavcic to bt Kubot
2 at 3.00
2.60
-2
Kavcic posted a loss to Daniel in his only
grass lead-up at Queens. That does look very poor but I'm looking for him to
bounce back and be very competitive today. Kubot has been having a very
ordinary run of late and this price has to be opposed.
Jun 22
Mutli/Parlay
Benneteau to bt Vliegen
Russell to bt Riba-Madrid
Gicquel to bt Mathieu
2 at 2.80
2.60
-2
Benneteau should have too much for Vliegen,
who still looks to be struggling for confidence. Russell had two competitive
losses in the lead-up so I'm looking for him to edge Riba, who is coming
straight off a clay challenger. Mathieu was horrible at the French and I's
be surprised if he can turn his form around so soon here.
Jun 21
Kuznetsov to bt Hanescu
2 at 2.92
2.60
-2
Hanescu went okay with a few matches at an
exhibition in the lead-up, but he will need to be at his best to justify
this price up against the Russian youngster. Kuznetsov makes his first main
draw of any slam, but he has had some solid matches in the lead up and is no
stranger to grass having won the junior title here last year.
Jun 21
Zeballos to bt Lu
4 at 2.10
1.95
-4
Lu is just the ultimate non-winner in my book.
He gets very tight at times and even if this goes the distance I can see him
choking away a potential victory. Zeballos beat Lacko and lost to Marchenko
at Eastbourne in competitive matches and he looks to have a lot more fight
in him.
Jun 21
Delgado to bt Gabashvilli
2.5 at 2.36
2.15
-2.5
Gabashvilli has been playing well on clay in
recent times but whether that form translates onto the grass is another
question. The veteran Delgado is travelling quite well this year and comes
in with matches on grass under the belt.
Jun 21
Mutli/Parlay
Berankis to bt Ball
Troicki to bt Kunitsyn
3.5 at 2.16
2.00
+4.06
Berankis won the recent Nottingham challenger
on grass and is a former semi-finalist in the juniors here. An 0-2
head-to-head has to be overcome, but despite his big serve, Ball has a
relatively poor record on grass. Troicki should have far too much class for
Kunitsyn. The Russian struggled at Eastbourne while I think Troicki will be
much better for the loss to Giraldo last week in Holland.
JUNE 13-19
EASTBOURNE
SURFACE: GRASS - DRAW: 32
POSTED BY 1900 AEST (0900 GMT)
(STARTS 1200 LOCAL = 2100
AEST/1100 GMT)
s-HERTOGENBOSCH
SURFACE: GRASS - DRAW: 28
POSTED BY 1900 AEST (0900 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 1900
AEST/0900 GMT)
Date
Match
Units/Price
Rec Bookie
Bet to
Result
EASTBOURNE
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 1900 AEST (0900 GMT)
Jun 16
Istomin to bt Almagro
4 at 1.83
1.75
Void
Istomin had a good run at Queen's last week,
winning a few matches before pushing Nadal in the third round. He smashed
Schwank in the opening round here. The matches under the belt must give him
the advantage. Almagro edged Kubot in a less than convincing display and he
will need to lift today.
Jun 15
Zeballos to bt Marchenko
4 at 1.81
1.75
-4
I'm not too sure if we can read too much into
Marchenko's round one win over Seppi. By all reports it was a match of very
poor quality. Zeballos had a good fight with Lacko and I believe he will
have the class edge in this one. The forecast strong winds should'nt bother
the back-courter too much.
s-HERTOGENBOSCH
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 1900 AEST (0900 GMT)
Jun 15
Nieminen to bt Becker
2 at 2.89
2.60
-2
I know Becker is coming off a semi final last
start and is the defending champion here but he has come up short enough for
mine today. Previous meetings between the two have been very tight and I can
easily see a few points either way deciding this one.
Jun 15
Vliegen to bt Stakhovsky
2.5 at 2.40
2.15
-2.5
It's been a long while since Vliegen has
notched up a win at this level, but this looks a great chance. He quallied
with two solid enough wins but has gone okay on grass in the past.
Stakhovsky likes it fast but conditions are historically a little on the
slow side here.
Jun 15
Falla to bt Ljubicic
2 at 2.75
2.50
+3.5
A few things going in Falla's favour today.
His form in improving and he has a match under the belt - a very solid win
over Serra. And he beat the Croat last time they met on a fast indoor
surface. Ljubicic has done well here in the past but first up on grass has
to be a risk for mine.
JUNE 7-13
LONDON (QUEENS)
SURFACE: GRASS - DRAW: 56
POSTED BY 1900 AEST (0900 GMT)
(STARTS 1200 LOCAL = 2100
AEST/1100 GMT)
HALLE
SURFACE: GRASS - DRAW: 32
POSTED BY 1900 AEST (0900 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 1900
AEST/0900 GMT)
Date
Match
Units/Price
Rec Bookie
Bet to
Result
ATP LONDON (QUEENS)
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 1900 AEST (0900 GMT)
Jun 9
Anderson to bt Bennet.
3.5 at 2.11
2.00
-3.5
Can't see too much in this one so I will side
with the odds against. If anything, Anderson's superior serve on this
surface should be an advantage should it get to the business end of each
set. Benneteau got past Clement in the first round but is record here is
poor.
Jun 9
Mahut to bt Cilic
2 at 2.85
2.60
-2
Both players well suited to grass, but the
Frenchman Mahut has a good record at this venue. He beat him here last year
at a price of 2.78 so we are getting a better price today when he has come
through quallies and Cilic is first up on the surface since the French Open.
Jun 7
Ram to bt K Beck
4 at 1.85
1.80
+3.4
Beck was very poor on the dirt (0-4) since he
was injured in late April. He does have a wealth of grass court experience
but I just cant see him turning around his confidence so quickly. Ram had a
match at the Nottingham challenger so the time on the grass could only be of
assistance today.
Jun 7
Giraldo to bt Korolev
3.5 at 1.90
1.85
+3.15
Korolev is another who had a very poor clay
season. And at just 1-7 on grass, I have to oppose him today. Giraldo was
solid through the clay season and was competitive here last year. He has the
value here.
ATP HALLE
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 1900 AEST (0900
GMT)
Jun 9
Petzschner to bt Troicki
4.5 at 1.78
1.70
+3.51
Petzschner should be well suited at home. He
had a confidence boosting win over Baghdatis in the first round. Troicki got
past Garcia-Lopez but I'm not convinced that he is near to his best form at
present.
Jun 9
A Beck to bt Kiefer
2 at 2.61
2.50
+3.22
I know Beck has been on a horror run in recent
times but the signs are there that he has turned it around. Kiefer is just a
few tourneys back from a layoff so I can't have him this short. Being
training partners, they know each other's game well so there might not be
much in this.
Jun 8
Serra to bt Zverev
4 at 1.87
1.80
-4
Zverev is at home in Germany and he does lead
the head-to-head 4-2, but thats about where the positives end as far as I
can see. His form over the past few months has been dreadful. He should
improve on the faster courts but its hard to see him turning it around first
up on the grass. Serra goes okay on grass and his recent form is solid.
Jun 7
G-Lopez to bt Troicki
3 at 2.13
2.00
-3
I give the slight edge to the Spaniard here.
Garcia-Lopez handles the grass well and his form through the clay season was
solid enough. Troicki is not the worst on the surface but his two prior
starts at this tourney have been poor losses so his expectations may not be
too high today.
MAY 23-JUNE 6
2009 FRENCH OPEN
SURFACE: CLAY - DRAW: 128
POSTED BY 1800 AEST (0800 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 1900
AEST/0900 GMT)
Date
Match
Units/Price
Rec Bookie
Bet to
Result
ROLAND GARROS
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 1800 AEST (0800 GMT)
May 24
Llodra to bt Bellucci
2 at 2.88
2.50
-2
Lots of matches today, but I couldn't find a
lot of value. There is a big class gap on this surface between these two,
but Llodra has been going okay in the lead-up. He made the final of a clay
challenger and had some solid matches at an exho last week. Bellucci has the
game but he can be a little spasmodic at this stage of his career so I will
oppose him at the shorts.
May 23
Ouanna to bt Kubot
2.5 at 2.30
2.20
+3.25
Ouanna will get some great support at home and
he goes okay over the distance. He will have some confidence after beating
Roddick at an exho last week. Kubot has been very poor since making the
final of a clay event in South America earlier in the year.
May 23
Devvarman to bt Chuid.
3.5 at 1.95
1.85
-3.5
Chiudinelli notched up a few wins on the dirt
recently but his form on the surface over the past few years is poor.
Devvarman put in a solid qualifying performance and will be riding high on
confidence.
May 23
Anderson to bt R-Vassel.
4 at 1.75
1.70
-4
Anderson has been a big improver over the last
12-18 months. And he is no bunny on the clay. Roger-Vasselin beat Serra on
clay last month but there is a big question mark over his recent form. The
warm and fast conditions should only help the South African and his big
serve.
May 23
Kamke to bt Robert
2.5 at 2.50
2.35
+3.75
Robert is at home and has shown some
improvement over the past year but his recent form is average. He is on an
0-5 run at ATP and does get very tight at stages, something that might be
exacerbated at home. Kamke is just 0-2 best of five but the qualifying
matches will be a positive.
May 23
Yani to bt Lacko
3 at 2.04
1.95
-3
Clay isn't Yani's best surface but his
qualifying run will give him some confidence. Lacko has some very average
form under his belt. He did talke a set off Youzhny in Madrid but I make him
just one from his last seventeen matches on dirt.
MAY 16-23
NICE
SURFACE: CLAY - DRAW: 32
POSTED BY 1800 AEST (0800 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 1900
AEST/0900 GMT)
WORLD TEAM CHAMPIONSHIP
SURFACE: CLAY - DRAW: RR
POSTED BY 1800 AEST (0800 GMT)
(STARTS 1200 LOCAL = 2000
AEST/1000 GMT)
Date
Match
Units/Price
Rec Bookie
Bet to
Result
ATP NICE
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 1800 AEST (0800 GMT)
ATP WORLD TEAM CHAMPIONSHIP
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 1800 AEST (0800 GMT)
MAY 9-16
MADRID MASTERS 1000
SURFACE: CLAY - DRAW: 56
POSTED BY 1730 AEST (0730 GMT)
(STARTS 1000 LOCAL = 1800
AEST/0800 GMT)
Date
Match
Units/Price
Rec Bookie
Bet to
Result
ATP MADRID
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 1730 AEST (0730 GMT)
May 12
Lopez to bt Roddick
2.5 at 2.47
2.30
Void
Lopez has an 0-6 head-to-head to overcome but
the two haven't met on clay before. Lopez loves the big stage and on centre
court at home against a rusty Roddick, he must be a huge show. I can't quite
understand the prices here, maybe it's because of the h2h, but I have to
take this price.
May 12
Almagro to bt Soderling
2 at 2.75
2.50
+3.5
A lot of expectations from last year's French
Open finalist coming into the clay season, but he looked flat last start
against Wawrinka in Roma and this time comes up against another genuine clay
courter in Almagro. The Spaniard has beaten the Swede on dirt before and
should go well at home.
May 10
Anderson to bt Melzer
2 at 2.90
2.50
-2
Winning form is good form and the big-serving
South African has been doing a lot of winning lately. His form on the dirt
has been surprisingly solid. He has two easy qualifying matches under the
belt and has won his last seven against lefties. Melzer still up and down
looks well unders today.
MAY 2-9
MUNICH
SURFACE: CLAY - DRAW: 32
POSTED BY 1830 AEST (0830 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 1900
AEST/0900 GMT)
ESTORIL
SURFACE: CLAY - DRAW: 28
POSTED BY 1830 AEST (0830 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 2000
AEST/1000 GMT)
BELGRADE
SURFACE: CLAY - DRAW: 28
POSTED BY 1830 AEST (0830 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 1900
AEST/0900 GMT)
Date
Match
Units/Price
Rec Bookie
Bet to
Result
ATP MUNICH
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 1830 AEST (0830 GMT)
ATP ESTORIL
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 1830 AEST (0830 GMT)
May 6
Tavares to bt G-Lopez
1 at 5.61
5.00
-1
Garcia-Lopez is no world beater and looks to
be a bit short today. Tavares got past an allbeit ill-prepared Mello in the
first round and should lift in front of his home crowds. Big lift in class
but should be competitive.
May 6
A Martin to bt Monfils
1 at 4.21
3.50
Void
Huge class gap here but Monfils is first up on
the dirt for the year and first up since Indian Wells back in March. He only
arrived here on Tuesday night so motivation and expectations must be
questioned. Martin leads the head-to-head 2-1, has been on the dirt all year
and will certainly be giving 100%.
May 6
Gil to bt Giraldo
2 at 2.72
2.50
+3.44
Giraldo has improved in recent times but he is
0-2 on dirt against Gil. His results are solid but he is certainly going
around short enough today. Gil posted a handy win over Mayer in the opening
round and the crowd support can only be an advantage.
ATP BELGRADE
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 1830 AEST (0830 GMT)
May 6
Seppi to bt Gasquet
1.5 at 3.25
2.90
-1.5
It's been a long while since Seppi has won two
matches in a row at this level, but he did play well here last year making
the semis, so conditions look to suit. Gasquet demolished Ollie Rochus again
but he continues to be very inconsistent. Just not sure he is over his
crisis of confidence.
APRIL 26-MAY 2
ROME MASTERS 1000
SURFACE: CLAY - DRAW: 56
POSTED BY 2000 AEST (1000 GMT)
(STARTS 0100 LOCAL = 2100
AEST/1100 GMT)
Date
Match
Units/Price
Rec Bookie
Bet to
Result
ATP ROME
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 2000 AEST (1000 GMT)
Apr 28
Isner to bt Bellucci
2 at 3.10
2.80
-2
Bellucci has all the dirt cred on his side but
he wouldn't come up against too many serves like Inser's too often. The
higher bounce here must also give the American some advantage. The Brazilian
starts a deserved fave but I can see him slumping the shoulders should he
struggle to get near Isner's serve.
Apr 28
Ljubicic to bt Almagro
2.5 at 2.42
2.30
+3.55
Almagro took a while to get the better of
Kubot yesterday but finished off well, while Ljubicic swept past Mathieu.
Can't see a lot in this one, Ljubicic has the form and the experience to
edge the Spaniard should he play close to his best.
APRIL 19-25
BARCELONA
SURFACE: CLAY - DRAW: 56
POSTED BY 1800 AEST (0800 GMT)
(STARTS 1030 LOCAL = 1830
AEST/0830 GMT)
Date
Match
Units/Price
Rec Bookie
Bet to
Result
ATP BARCELONA
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 1800 AEST (0800 GMT)
Apr 21
Hajek to bt Tsonga
1 at 5.57
5.00
-1
Big class gap here but Tsonga has to be some
risk today. He got up for Monte Carlo, but he is not at home on dirt and
motivation might be a slight concern here. Could do worse than have a dabble
on Hajek at the handicaps.
Apr 21
Chardy to bt Gulbis
2.5 at 2.26
2.15
-2.5
I had this one at take your pick. Gulbis had a
struggle agaisnt a travel weary Luczak and he will need to improve on that
form today. Chardy is back on the dirt and showing some signs of a return to
form. Big price here.
Apr 21
Hanescu to bt Bellucci
3 at 2.21
2.00
-3
I just can't have Bellucci a clear fave here.
Hanescu is coming off that final in Casablanca and he demolished Beck
yesterday. Bellucci did well in the South American clay swing but back in
Europe may not be as confident. He can slump the shoulders a little too
often also.
Apr 21
Istomin to bt F Lopez
1.5 at 3.38
3.10
-1.5
Lopez is at home but he is way too short for
mine. Istomin has got a very handy serve so there surley wont be too much in
this one at the end of the day. He posted a solid win over Robert yesterday
so he will have some confidence.
Apr 20
Ilhan to bt Hewitt
1 at 4.19
3.80
-1
Ilhan quallified with a couple of solid wins
here. The improving Turk doesn't play a lot on clay, but he couldn't choose
a better time to come up against Hewitt. The Aussie must be rusty with just
2x matches at Houston since the Oz Open in January.
Apr 20
Martin to bt Seppi
1.5 at 3.23
3.00
Void
Beto Martin is on a six-match losing streak,
but he has been competitive and has been on the dirt all year. Seppi put in
an indifferent performance in Monte Carlo and looks to be going around under
the odds today.
Apr 19
C Rochus to bt G-Lopez
1.5 at 3.38
3.00
-1.5
Garcia-Lopez has shown a bit this year but he
remains an inconsistent type and is 0-4 at his home tourney. Rochus has had
a poor run at ATP level but recent results at clay challengers suggests that
he is improving.
Apr 19
Kubot to bt Granollers
2.5 at 2.28
2.20
-2.5
Granollers has been the subject of some
support in the market but at 0-8 at this venue, its a little hard to
justify. Kubot may have his mind on matters at home, but he is a
professional and he should be focused on the tennis. The fast conditions
here should suit.
APRIL 12-19
MONTE-CARLO
MASTERS 1000
SURFACE: CLAY - DRAW: 56
POSTED BY 1800 AEST (0800 GMT)
(STARTS 1030 LOCAL = 1830
AEST/0830 GMT)
Date
Match
Units/Price
Rec Bookie
Bet to
Result
MONTE CARLO
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 1800 AEST (0800 GMT)
Apr 15
Berdych to bt Verdasco
3.5 at 1.93
1.90
-3.5
Can easily see a long and tight encounter
here, but Berdych will be confident with a 6-3 head-to-head and a recent win
in Miami. As long as he can stay mentally fit, I see a little value at this
price.
Apr 15
Montanes to bt Cilic
2 at 2.78
2.50
+3.56
Wasn't that impressed with Cilic's first up
effort on the dirt, it was a big struggle against Andreev. He should be
better for the run, but up against a genuine clay courter he must be a risk.
Apr 15
Robredo to bt Nalbandian
2.5 at 2.23
2.10
-2.5
Nalbandian had a very long match against
Youzhny yesterday and by all accounts it was a very scrappy affair. This
will be tougher. Robredo can throw in some mixed peformances but I have to
be on him at this price.
Apr 13
Llodra to bt Fognini
2 at 2.83
2.50
+3.66
Bit of a tricky one here. If Llodra is fit he
should be right in this. Will be putting in 100% at Masters level in front
of a French crowd surely. Fognini has not been at his best in recent times.
Apr 13
Kubot to bt Troicki
2.5 at 2.40
2.20
-2.5
Kubot will be doing it for a grieving Poland
and I'm tipping a much better showing than last week. They played out a
tight one at Rolland Garros last year - see no different today.
Apr 13
Hanescu to bt Wawrinka
1.5 at 3.25
2.80
-1.5
Interesting one here with Hanescu looking for
revenge following his final loss to Wawrinka in Casablanca on Sunday. It was
a relatively comfortable win there, but Hanescu has the motivation edge here
in my opinion.
Apr 12
Golubev to bt Chardy
2 at 2.72
2.50
+3.44
A solid qualifying effort from Golubev. The
matches in the cool conditions here should be invaluable. Chardy's back is
reportedly okay, but his fitness will surley be tested in these conditions.
Apr 12
Dolgopolov to bt Benn.
3 at 2.15
2.00
-3
Dolgopolov has shown very good form in the
dirt challengers recently and he has matches under the belt in quallies
here. Benneteau is just average at this venue and hasn't played a tour level
match on clay in over six months.
Apr 12
Nieminen to bt Monaco
1.5 at 3.35
3.00
-1.5
Nieminen went back to the clay challengers to
get some confindence and it looks to have worked. He leads Monaco 2-0 (none
on clay) and should have some confidence.
APRIL 5-11
CASABLANCA
SURFACE: CLAY - DRAW: 28
POSTED BY 1900 AEST (0900 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL =
2100 AEST/1100 GMT)
HOUSTON
SURFACE: CLAY - DRAW: 28
POSTED BY 0000 AEST (1300 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL =
0200 AEST/1600 GMT)
Date
Match
Units/Price
Rec Bookie
Bet to
Result
ATP CASABLANCA
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 1900 AEST (0900 GMT)
Apr 6
O Rochus to bt Gasquet
2 at 2.70
2.40
-2
Ollie got one up on the Frenchman last start
in Miami and it wouldn't surprise me to see a similar result today. Gasquet
is coming in with just one win from his last eight matches and his
confidence must be low. This is his first visit to Casablanca and with the
courts playing relatively fast, his advantage on clay should be minimal.
ATP HOUSTON
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 0000 AEST (1300 GMT)
MARCH 24-APRIL 4
MIAMI MASTERS 1000
SURFACE: HARD - DRAW: 96
POSTED BY 2300 AEST (1200 GMT)
(STARTS 1000 LOCAL = 0200
AEST/1600 GMT)
Date
Match
Units/Price
Rec Bookie
Bet to
Result
ATP MIAMI
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 2300 AEST (1200
GMT)
Mar 27
Falla to bt Melzer
1.5 at 3.84
3.50
-1.5
Falla turned around a poor run with a hard
fought win over Hanescu in the opening round. He should be carrying forward
some confidence into this one with Melzer who is first up and very average
at this venue.
Mar 27
Giraldo to bt Youzhny
1.5 at 3.75
3.00
-1.5
Youzhny edged a third set breaker when these
two met at this level last summer and it's hard not to imagine another close
one today. Giraldo is match-fit through quallies and has the abilty to fight
out a close one.
Mar 27
Lu to bt Gonzalez
1 at 4.01
3.75
-1
Bit of a spec play here as Lu has been in my
'non-winner' category for some time, but he comes in match-fit and fired up
after his confrontation with Fognini last round. Gonzelez will get support
but he is first up since the clay Davis Cup tie at home and make take a
while to get into this one. Handicaps should also be considered.
Mar 25
Zeballos to bt Seppi
2 at 2.62
2.40
+3.24
Zeballos started the year in dreadful form as
he returned from an injury layoff, but he looks ready to produce some better
tennis. Seppi is just average against lefties and does look some risk here.
Mar 25
Sela to bt Korolev
2 at 2.69
2.40
+3.38
Korolev shows some signs of being a more
consistent player but in reality he remains very up and down. Sela might
just be able to bore him into error today.
Mar 25
Mello to bt Anderson
3.5 at 2.11
2.00
-3.5
Both of these are showing some decent form but
I'm going to side with the more experienced Mello. Should it go the
distance, which looks a good chance, I like his chances of outlasting the
South African.
Mar 25
Starace to bt N Lapentti
2 at 2.68
2.45
-2
It's never an easy proposition to part with
your hard-earned on Starace, but he looks over the odds today. Lapentti will
get some support in Miami, but he is a part-time player these days hasn't
shown much for a while.
Mar 25
L Mayer to bt Fish
3.5 at 2.20
2.00
-3.5
Fish has lost to Clement and Massu last two
starts here and on recent form I just have to oppose him today. Mayer got
him 4 & 0 indoors in Memphis earlier in the year and he had four good
matches at the Sunrise challenger which is usually a great lead-up to this.
MARCH 11-21
INDIAN WELLS MASTERS 1000
SURFACE: HARD - DRAW: 96
POSTED BY 2300 AEST (1200 GMT)
(STARTS 1000 LOCAL = 0500
AEST/1800 GMT)
Date
Match
Units/Price
Rec Bookie
Bet to
Result
ATP INDIAN WELLS
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 2300 AEST (1200
GMT)
Mar 13
Petzschner to bt Kohlsch.
2 at 2.78
2.40
-2
Kohlschreiber has all the class in this all
German match-up but Petzschner is going well this year and I'm tipping him
to take the fight up to his countryman. Conditions won't be a problem and he
has the all-important match under the belt.
Mar 12
Levine to bt Sela
2.5 at 2.35
2.10
-2.5
This looks to be the young American's best
chance of notching up a win at this level. He is 0-2 here but both matches
were very competitive against higher ranked opposition. Sela is on a 1-8 run
and is coming off a Davis Cup tie on clay which is hardly the best
preparation for this.
Mar 11
Falla to bt Serra
2.5 at 2.28
2.10
-2.5
I'm going to assume that Falla is 100% over
the knee injury that has kept him out recently. Just to be sure, I'd advise
taking this one at a "match-complete" book. The Columbian will give 100%
which is often more than you can say for the shoulder slumping Serra. I
marked this one take your pick in these conditiions.
Mar 11
Garcia-Lopez to bt Lacko
2 at 2.63
2.40
+3.26
Garcia-Lopez is winless on tour this year but
he looks to get a decent chance to get on the board today. The Spaniard will
appreciate the slower conditions and he has been here since Saturday
preparing. Lacko is improving but he is yet to prove himself at this level.
Coming off an indoor Davis Cup tie might not be the best preparation.
Mar 11
Dabul to bt L Mayer
2 at 3.10
2.80
+4.2
These two Argies haven't played each other
since '08 but the 3-0 h-h in favour of Dabul has to count for something.
Dabul was only broken once in his two convincing qualifying wins and will be
the who will more appreciate the conditions. Mayer also coming off an indoor
Davis Cup tie might not be the best preparation.
Mar 11
Alves to bt Schuettler
2 at 2.61
2.40
-2
Decent performance from Schuettler to get back
Bogomolov and G Lapentti in quallies but I can't see him having it all his
own way today. He was on a 1-9 run prior to this tournament and his camp
doesn't sound too confident for mine. Alves quallied and is another who wont
mind it slow.
FEBRUARY 22-28
DUBAI
SURFACE: HARD - DRAW: 32
POSTED BY 1900 AEST (0800 GMT)
(STARTS 1400 LOCAL = 2100
AEST/1000 GMT)
DELRAY BEACH
SURFACE: HARD - DRAW: 32
POSTED BY 2300 AEST (1200 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 0300
AEST/1600 GMT)
ACAPULCO
SURFACE: CLAY - DRAW: 32
POSTED BY 2300 AEST (1200 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL =
0400 AEST/1700 GMT)
Date
Match
Units/Price
Rec Bookie
Bet to
Result
ATP DUBAI
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 1900 AEST (0800 GMT)
Feb 23
Stakhovsky to bt Berrer
2.5 at 2.30
2.10
-2.5
These two haven't met in five years so I'm
going to disregard the 3-0 head-to-head advantage of Berrer. Stakhovsky is
improving all the time and it's worth mentioning that he pushed Murray all
the way here in the first round last year. Berrer has been going well
indoors, but back out side I can't justify this price.
ATP DELRAY BEACH
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 2300 AEST (1200
GMT)
Feb 23
Petzschner to bt Karlovic
2 at 2.89
2.50
-2
Back outside in the elements (its often breezy
at Delray), Karlovic must be risk today. Petzschner hasn't done a lot of
note on hardcourts in recent times, but he can only have gained confidence
from his semi final appearance in Memphis.
ATP ACAPULCO
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 2300 AEST (1200
GMT)
Feb 24
Bellucci to bt Ferrer
2 at 2.50
2.30
-2
Wouldn't want to be taking too much shorter,
but Bellucci looks to be in this up to his eye balls. The Brazillian is just
about back to his best and will be keen to make the most of the remainder of
the South American swing. Ferrer is just average against lefties and is
coming off the Buenos Aires final.
Feb 24
Greul to bt Schwank
2 at 2.80
2.60
-2
Greul cracked a losing streak with a win over
Isner yesterday. Much different match up today, but he'll carry some
confidence through from that win. Schwank qualified and he loves the dirt
but by all reports he wasn't all that impressive against Giraldo in the
opening round.
FEBRUARY 15-21
MARSEILLE
SURFACE: INDOOR HARD - DRAW: 28
POSTED BY 1900 AEST (0800 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 2100
AEST/1000 GMT)
MEMPHIS
SURFACE: INDOOR HARD - DRAW: 32
POSTED BY 2300 AEST (1200 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 0300
AEST/1600 GMT)
BUENOS AIRES
SURFACE: CLAY - DRAW: 32
POSTED BY 2300 AEST (1200 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL =
0000 AEST/1300 GMT)
Date
Match
Units/Price
Rec Bookie
Bet to
Result
ATP MARSIELLE
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 1900 AEST (0800 GMT)
Feb 18
Mertens to bt Rufin
3.5 at 2.01
1.90
-3.5
Bit of a strange one here. Rufin has the
higher ranking and is at home but he is far better on clay - before
yesterday's tight win over Recouderc he was 0-5 indoors. Mertens on the
other hand goes well inside. He quallied well and posted a win over Hajek in
the first round. I must say I had the Belgian a strong fave.
Feb 15
Zverev to bt Guez
3.5 at 2.02
1.90
+3.57
It's fair to say that Zverev isn't all that
confident at the moment having won just one of his last 17 matches. But I
think the German can bounce back here in what are his best conditions. Guez
goes okay indoors but his most recent form leaves a little to be desired.
ATP MEMPHIS
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 2300 AEST (1200 GMT)
ATP BUENOS AIRES
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 2300 AEST (1200 GMT)
Feb 18
Granollers to bt Andreev
2 at 2.62
2.35
-2
Granollers steamed past Junqueira in the first
round so should be very confident coming into this. Andreev had a solid week
in Brazil, but his form prior was very average. He hasn't quite shown enough
for me to warrant this price today.
Feb 15
Schwank to bt Hanescu
3.5 at 1.83
1.80
-3.5
At his best, I'd expect Hanescu to be right in
this one, but coming off an injury he doesn't look to be travelling all that
well at the moment. And he is having his first start at this tournament. The
dirt-loving Schwank posted an excellent clay challenger win then posted
losses to Bellucci and Ferrero but this should be easier.
FEBRUARY 8-14
ROTTERDAM
SURFACE: INDOOR HARD - DRAW: 32
POSTED BY 1900 AEST (0800 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 2100
AEST/1000 GMT)
SAN JOSE
SURFACE: INDOOR HARD - DRAW: 32
POSTED BY 2300 AEST (1200 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 0600
AEST/2200 GMT)
COSTA DO SAUIPE
SURFACE: CLAY - DRAW: 32
POSTED BY 2300 AEST (1200 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL =
0100 AEST/1400 GMT)
Date
Match
Units/Price
Rec Bookie
Bet to
Result
ATP ROTTERDAM
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 1900 AEST (0800 GMT)
Feb 10
Clement to bt Berrer
2.5 at 2.30
2.15
-2.5
Berrer has played a lot of tennis in the last
two weeks. He backed up a challenger win with the final in Zagreb. Winning
form is good form but I can't help but think that he is a little short
today. Clement started a slight fave and got the better of Berrer indoors in
Stockholm late last year. The Frenchman is passed his prime but he plays his
best in these conditions.
Feb 10
Mayer to bt Robredo
2 at 2.71
2.50
+3.42
Robredo is very up and down these days and by
all accounts he wasn't all that impressive in the opening round against
Haase. Mayer should have a lot of confidence after his opening round win
over Tipsarevic. They played out a tight one in Shanghai late last year,
hopefully the German can come out on top this time.
Feb 9
Golubev to bt Youzhny
1.5 at 3.19
2.90
-1.5
Golubev was pushed in final round quallies by
Hajek, but he did finish well on top. The matches under the belt in these
conditions can only be a positive. Youzhny is first up since his
wrist-related withdrawl from Melbourne. Golubev is playing the best tennis
of his career and loves the indoor conditions, should go very close.
Feb 8
Haase to bt Robredo
1.5 at 3.56
3.00
-1.5
Haase looks be slowly getting back to the
level where he was pre-injury in 2008. He failed to get through quallies
last week in Zagreb but has to be better for the indoor practise. Robredo is
first up since a poor opening round loss in Melbourne and has to be going
around a little short today.
ATP SAN JOSE
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 2300 AEST (1200
GMT)
Feb 11
Berankis to bt Phau
2.5 at 2.27
2.15
+3.17
Not sure how much we can read into Phau's win
over a less than 100% Chardy in the opening round. Berankis has been in
great challenger form and he has carried it through to ATP level with a
qualifying run and then a win over Ginepri here. He is playing with great
confidence and should be suited to the fast conditions.
ATP COSTA DO SAUIPE
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 2300 AEST (1200 GMT)
FEBRUARY 1-7
JOHANNESBURG
SURFACE: HARD - DRAW: 32
POSTED BY 1900 AEST (0800 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 2000
AEST/0900 GMT)
ZAGREB
SURFACE: INDOOR HARD - DRAW: 32
POSTED BY 1900 AEST (0800 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL = 2000
AEST/0900 GMT)
SANTIAGO
SURFACE: CLAY - DRAW: 32
POSTED BY 2300 AEST (1200 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL =
0100 AEST/1400 GMT)
Date
Match
Units/Price
Rec Bookie
Bet to
Result
ATP JOHANNESBURG
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 1900 AEST (0800 GMT)
ATP ZAGREB
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 1900 AEST (0800 GMT)
Feb 3
O Rochus to bt Melzer
2 at 2.80
2.50
-2
There hasn't been too much between these two
over the years and I don't see much different today. Both players have
struggled through the early part of the season but both go well indoors. I
had it a lot closer than what bookies have come up with.
Feb 1
Dodig to bt Korolev
1.5 at 3.60
3.00
+3.9
Dodig is coming off a nice run through
quallies in Melbourne. He notched up wins over Andreev and Gulbis here last
year so this looks well within his reach. Korolev pushed Gonzo in Melbourne,
goes okay inside but remains inconsistent as ever. Has come up very short
today.
ATP SANTIAGO
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 2300 AEST (1200 GMT)
JANUARY 18-31
2010 AUSTRALIAN OPEN
SURFACE: HARD - DRAW: 128
POSTED BY 1000 AEST (2300 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL =
1100 AEST/0000 GMT)
Date
Match
Units/Price
Rec Bookie
Bet to
Result
AUSTRALIAN OPEN
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 1000 AEST (2330
GMT)
Jan 31
Murray to bt Federer
2 at 2.65
2.50
-2
Is the ghost of Fred Perry finally about to be
laid to rest? I think there is a very good chance of it happening today.
Lets not forget that Federer had lost four of eight prior to the Oz Open. He
was only tested against Davydenko and it was the Russian who capitulated
after an early lead. Far too much has been made of Federer's strong showing
against a tired Tsonga in the semis. Murray could hardly have been more
impressive through the two weeks here and he is much fitter and stronger
both physically and mentally now. Looks like an indoor affair with some rain
about but I don't think this will be of any concern for the Brit.
Jan 26
Nadal to bt Murray
3.5 at 2.10
2.00
-3.5
Murray has failed to drop a set in his run to
a debut Australian Open quarter-final appearance. But he faces a huge class
jump now. He knows what it takes to beat Nadal, but I'm expecting slowish
night conditions to suit Nadal nicely. The Spaniard has dropped a few sets
enroute, but I've been fairly impressed with his form starting the year
fresh. Just fail to see why he isn't a favourite today.
Jan 23
Cilic to bt Del Potro
2 at 2.80
2.50
+3.6
Have been largely unimpressed with Del Potro
through the first week of the tournament. Cilic must be riding high on
confidence having not dropped a match all year and he looks to be getting
the Argentine at the right time. Should be a serve fest in the indoor
confines of HiSense Arena but the value looks to be with Cilic to make it
back-to-back Slam quarter finals.
Jan 21
Robert to bt Montanes
3 at 2.35
2.10
-3
Robert is in unchartered waters at this stage
of a Slam but I feel that he has to have the advantage on this surface. He
played well at challenger level late last year, was competitive in Chennai
and played solid against Starace in the first round. Montanes will grind all
day but will surely struggle more on serve as the match goes on.
Jan 19
C Rochus to bt Young
2.5 at 2.45
2.30
-2.5
The Donald showed some solid qualifying form
with wins over M Lopez, Phau and Suzuki but best of five represents another
story. He is just 1-8 at this level over his short career. Rochus has been
poor for a while now but he has the experience to grind this one out.
Jan 19
Marchenko to bt Moya
3 at 2.25
2.15
+3.75
Moya was competitive agaisnt Tipsarevic in
Chennai but he has to be coming in underdone after the 10-month injury
layoff. Marchenko is very capable on hardcourts in his '09 hard challenger
form is anything to go by. Moya has been a losing streak here and it looks
like a good chance to continue.
Jan 19
Youzhny to bt Gasquet
2 at 2.51
2.40
+3.02
Gasquet is coming off the final in Sydney and
while the matches under the belt make him a deserved favourite, he still
looks to short. Youzhny will be better since the round one Stakhovsky loss
in Doha and is much better under pressure.
Jan 19
Malisse to bt Almagro
3.5 at 2.02
1.90
-3.5
Almagro has made the third round of his last
five slams but has only a poor loss to Gicquel in the Auckland lead-up as a
lead-in. Was training hard in Barca in December but reports are that he
sustained a broken wrist in New Zealand last week. Malisse is a much
maligned headcase but I'm willing to support him here.
Jan 19
Zemlja to bt Becker
1.5 at 3.75
3.00
-1.5
Zemlja posted a 10-8 3rd set qualifying win
over Darcis to make his first Oz Open main draw. Becker pulled from doubles
in Sydney with an arm injury so he may not quite be 100% here. Has
experience and huge serve on his side but it may not be enough.
Jan 19
Multi/Parlay
Koubek to bt R Ram
Berrer to bt Vliegen
Kubot to bt Zverev
2 at 3.26
3.00
+4.52
Huge effort from Koubek in quals, his work in
Dubai with Federer in December should start to pay dividends. Ram is
improving but he needs faster conditions. Berrer is volatile but he should
have far too much for Vliegen who only started practicing three weeks ago
off his back problems. While Zverev has been terrible, just 1-14 all tours
since July last year. Kubot played well in Doha and has a superior best of
five set record.
Jan 18
Schuettler to bt Querrey
1 at 4.49
4.00
+3.49
Just a note to start on - condtions in
Melbourne on Monday are forecast to be very, very windy. Some players with
handle these condtions better than others - but caution is advised. Querrey
has the weapons but went 0-2 in return since his post-US Open glass cut
mishap, maybe not as confident as he could be. Schuettler's best days are
gone, but he is a former finalist here and the difficult conditions
shouldn't bother him.
Jan 18
Ilhan to bt Grosjean
3 at 2.31
2.15
+3.93
Ilhan gets another chance after a tough final
round qual loss in which he twice served for the match against Kindlmann. He
comes in match fit and is known to be a fighter. Grosjean was better than
expected in Auckland after resuming from an injury-hit second half of '09
season. Best of five will put him to the test however.
Jan 18
Acasuso to bt Kunitsyn
3.5 at 1.87
1.80
-3.5
This one has 4-5 sets written all over it but
I can't touch Kunitsyn with his abysmal 2-14 record in best of five matches.
Acasuso has the 1-0 h-h (New Haven '09) and all reports suggest he is
motivated again after an injury-hit '09 season.
Jan 18
G-Lopez to bt Wawrinka
1 at 5.50
4.00
-1
G-Lopez posted losses to Darcis and Isner in
the lead-up but he is no stranger to posting upset wins. Wawrinka played
well in Chennai but he pulled from Sydney with a neck strain and isn't the
most reliable in long five-setters.
Jan 18
N Lapentti to bt Troicki
1 at 4.43
3.00
-1
Troicki has the class, but he struggled to
handle some wind in Sydney last week (l. Baghdatis) and it's going to be
much stronger today. Lapentti loves the five setters but you can be sure he
will be competitive and will fight to the death.
Jan 18
Lacko to bt L Mayer
2 at 2.74
2.40
+3.48
Leonardo Mayer will be match-fit after a nice
run from quallies to a quarter final in Sydney but this is a new tournament.
Lacko is also playin well and has some excellent hardcourt challenger form
late last year and was solid in Chennai. Not much separating the two for
mine.
Jan 18
Multi/Parlay
Odesnik to bt Kavcic
Kohlsch. to bt Zeballos
Falla to bt Daniel (Tues)
3 at 2.51
2.40
+4.53
The infamous Grand Slam multi returns. Kavcic
gave his all to get past Devvarman in final round quallies but I feel that
he will find best of five much harder. Odesnik was looking very solid in
Brisbane. Zeballos is coming off an injury and is no where near the sort of
form he showed last slam in New York, so hard to go past Kohlschreiber. And
Falla, while posting a dissapointing loss to Chela in Sydney, has far too
much on hardcourts for the clay-loving Daniel who is just 1-13 in best of
five matches.
JANUARY 11-16
AUCKLAND
SURFACE: HARD - DRAW: 28
POSTED BY 0900 AEST (2200 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL =
0900 AEST/2200 GMT)
SYDNEY
SURFACE: HARD - DRAW: 28
POSTED BY 1030 AEST (2330 GMT)
(STARTS 1100 LOCAL =
1100 AEST/0000 GMT)
Date
Match
Units/Price
Rec Bookie
Bet to
Result
ATP AUCKLAND
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 0900 AEST (2200 GMT)
Jan 13
Bellucci to bt Kohlsch.
3.5 at 1.98
1.95
-3.5
I'm not going to read too much into
Kohlschreiber's first round win over a lowly ranked opponent. He was poor at
the Hopman Cup and Bellucci is moving up the rankings with a bullet.
Conditions to suit.
Jan 12
G-Lopez to bt Isner
2 at 2.52
2.40
-2
Hopman Cup not the ideal lead-up for mine.
Last meeting was tight can see no different today. But slowish conditions
must favour the Spaniard.
ATP SYDNEY
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 1030 AEST
(2330 GMT)
Jan 13
Cuevas to bt L Mayer
2.5 at 2.21
2.10
-2.5
Mayer has played a lot of tennis here and
while he will be match fit, he wont be used to it. Ceuvas is developing into
a very handy player with good pop in his serve.
Jan 13
Korolev to bt Fish
3 at 2.12
2.00
-3
Mardy Fish wasn't all that convincing
yesterday against Ball. Back on the outside courts might struggle. Korolev
beat another big serving American yesterday and should be confident here.
Jan 12
Chela to bt Becker
3.5 at 2.02
1.85
-3.5
Hard to see why Chela not a clear fave here.
Has the qualifying matches under the belt and should be suited to what are
historically slowish conditions.
Jan 12
Sela to bt Benneteau
2.5 at 2.40
2.20
-2.5
Sela had four very solid matches last week in
Chennai which must give him an advantage against the first up Benneteau.
JANUARY 3-10
BRISBANE
SURFACE: HARD - DRAW: 32
POSTED BY 1030 AEST (2330 GMT)
(STARTS 1030 LOCAL =
1130 AEST/0030 GMT)
CHENNAI
SURFACE: HARD - DRAW: 32
POSTED BY 2100 AEST (1000 GMT)
(STARTS 1700 LOCAL =
2230 AEST/1130 GMT)
DOHA
SURFACE: HARD - DRAW: 32
POSTED BY 2100 AEST (1000 GMT)
(STARTS 1500 LOCAL =
2300 AEST/1200 GMT)
PERTH
(ITF HOPMAN CUP)
SURFACE: HARD (I) - DRAW: 8
POSTED BY 1030 AEST (2330 GMT)
(STARTS 1030 LOCAL =
1230 AEST/0130 GMT)
Date
Match
Units/Price
Rec Bookie
Bet to
Result
ATP BRISBANE
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 1030 AEST (2330 GMT)
Jan 4
Falla to bt Chardy
2 at 2.70
2.50
+3.4
Can't see a lot in this one. Chardy's most
recent form is average and did have some back issues towards end of last
season. Falla puts in 100% all day.
ATP CHENNAI
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 2100 AEST (1000 GMT)
Jan 7
Lacko to bt Ginepri
2 at 2.75
2.50
+3.5
Think there could have been an over-reaction
here to Ginepri's win over Soderling. If these two met in the opening round
the market would be a lot closer. Lacko ended the year in great form and his
opening round win was very solid.
Jan 6
Devvarman to bt Tips.
1.5 at 3.50
3.00
-1.5
Devvarman has improved his game in recent
times and in India will be ultra-motivated to perform. Tipsarevic's
motivation level isnt so clear.
ATP DOHA
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 2100 AEST (1000
GMT)
Jan 6
Kubot to bt Stakhovsky
3 at 2.12
3.00
+3.36
Can't see a lot in this one. Stakhovsky had
some good results indoors, but conditions should be a bit slower here and he
has an 0-2 head-to-head to overcome.
Jan 4
Fognini to bt Karlovic
1.5 at 3.13
2.75
-1.5
Fognini improved big time last year and
Karlovic ended very poorly. A late match in what could be heavy conditions I
give the Italian a very good chance.
ITF PERTH
ANY PLAYS POSTED DAILY BEFORE 1030 AEST (2330
GMT)
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FUTURES
GOLF
2012 US MASTERS
Mickelson, Phil 6.00
Mcilroy, Rory 7.00
Woods, Tiger 8.50
Westwood, Lee 21.00
Donald, Luke 21.00
Watney, Nick 26.00
Kaymer, Martin 34.00
Johnson, Dustin 34.00
Scott, Adam 34.00
Schwartzel, C 34.00
Day, Jason 34.00
Mahan, Hunter 36.00
Garcia, Sergio 36.00
Mcdowell, Graeme 36.00
Watson, Bubba 36.00
Kim, Anthony 36.00
Ogilvy, Geoff 36.00
Fowler, Rickie 36.00
Harrington, P 41.00
Stricker, Steve 41.00
Poulter, Ian 41.00
Cabrera, Angel 41.00
Kuchar, Matt 41.00
Simpson, Webb 41.00
+3
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AUS
OPEN 2012